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Comeback Gal: What Was Senator Clinton's Strategy?
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Wha' Happened!?

Were we all wrong? Was it The Bradley Effect? Or was it the Sbornak Effect? Marc Ambinder explains:


The Bradley/Wilder effect -- voters were afraid to tell pollsters they didn't want to vote for a black person, so a certain percentage of them lied about their preferences. But wait -- the pre-election polls did NOT overstate Barack Obama's support. He averaged 36.7%, according to Mark Blumenthal's compilations.

If anything, they understated Hillary Clinton's support by nine points. Let's name this phenomenon the "Dorothy Sbornak" effect -- for some reason, older women voters refused to disclose their preferences to pollsters, or refused to admit that they favored Hillary Clinton.


We've heard a lot on the last day about the Clinton GOTV effort. Does the Field staff need a raise?

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