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Granite Blogging (Updated)

Stay with RealClearBlogs all day long, while we bring you reactions, predictions and all of the latest from the New Hampshire primary. Bloggers will be typing long into the night, so check in regularly to catch all of the latest!

To start us off, get the final tracking numbers from RCP to see where the candidates stand this morning.


Some early predictions:

Patterico's Pontifications

Obama's betting odds have gone from 3-1 against to 2-1 for in the last 10 days or so. If it goes the way I think it will, Hillary may be out after Feb. 5.

McCain is now the listed favorite for the Republicans with Rudy the two-seed and Huck as third-most-likely winner, though I think the betting public is not as optimistic as it ought to be on Romney.

For Rudy to win, he's going a different direction than all other candidates in history. People have blown off Iowa before, but ditching Iowa and New Hampshire is pretty shocking. I think that severely impacts his ability to win in California, and helps McCain - another moderate Republican.

Outside The Beltway

Obama becomes the clear frontrunner; after tonight, it's his race to lose. He'll likely go on to win South Carolina, with Edwards finishing second. My guess is that Clinton continues to give him a fight and rebounds to win several states. Unless she implodes and it becomes a two man race, though, I don't see a plausible scenario whereby Edwards gets the nomination.

Race 4 2008

This is going to be a very close race. In four recent polls, Romney has led in one of them by 3 points. He has trailed in the other three polls by 1, 4, and 5. However, most of these polls were taken prior to the debate Sunday night where Romney had a strong performance. Most people expected McCain to steadily gain after Romney's defeat in Iowa just as they expected Obama to gain against Clinton. Obama has gained against Clinton, but McCain, though still leading in most polls, has actually lost ground to Romney. I doubt more than 3 points will separate either candidate tomorrow night. Neither candidate will be out of the race because of these results.

Also, has the media found their darling?


Captain Ed is live-blogging it all.

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