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October 2008

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Fighting It Out in Iowa

Sarah Palin is campaigning in Sioux City today, while John McCain will follow her tonight in Waterloo, reports CBS News' Scott Conroy:

The Democrats are maintaining a solid lead in the latest Iowa polls, and the state's dynamics would seem to suit the Democrats. Iowa was the state that catapulted Obama to the front of the Democratic pack after his victory in the state's caucuses in January, and John McCain finished a distant fourth in the Republican field.

Still, the Republicans have to compete in states with less than ideal conditions, and one GOP operative with strong Iowa ties recently told CBS News that internal polling numbers show that the state could be a lot closer than the polls indicate.

Well, the RCP Average of those polls gives Obama an 11.4-point lead in a state that went for Bush in 2004 at the moment, which might make some wonder why the McCain campaign would spend one of its precious few weekends left battling it out instead of going to some states a bit tighter in the polls. But, hey, they must know something we don't, right?