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More on Marist

A couple of interesting results from the aforementioned Marist poll that deserve special mention.

First, this question:

Does the fact that Hillary Clinton will not say her vote was a mistake make you more or less likely to vote for her?

Among Democrats it's a total wash: 30% say they're more likely to vote for her for not apologizing, 32% said "less likely", and 38% said it made no difference.

The second question concerns Rudy Giuliani:

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is a pro-choice, pro-gun control, pro-gay rights Republican. Would the fact that Rudy Giuliani has these positions be a major factor, a minor factor, or not a factor in deciding if you would vote for Rudy Giuliani for president in 2008?

Among registered Republicans, 32% said Rudy's position on these issues would be a "major factor," 40% said they would be a "minor factor," and 28% they would "not be a factor." That represents a rather substantial shift versus the Marist poll from December 2006. Among Republicans in that survey (same question, exact same wording), 47% said Rudy's positions as "a pro-choice, pro-gun control, pro-gay rights Republican" would be a "major factor," 31% said they would be a "minor factor," and 22% said his views would "not be a factor."

Assuming those citing Rudy's views on social issues as a "major factor" are doing so in the negative (e.g. a major factor against his candidacy), the 15-point drop in that category among Republicans in the last couple of months would seem to be a significant, and positive, development for Giuliani.

However, despite that seeming piece of good news, when Republicans were asked whether they'd be more like or less likely to vote for Rudy based on those positions, 36% said "more likely," 48% said "less likely," and 16% said it would make "no difference."

In other words, even though it's impossible to know how this national survey of registered Republicans compares to the make up of the caucus goers and primary voters in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, it's evident that Rudy still has a long way to go to make the sale.