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Texas Redistricting Fallout

One of the effects of the Supreme Court's upholding Texas's mid-decade redistricting is that now Democrats can try the same trick in states where they have control of the governorship and the legislature.

From ABC's The Note:

In an interview with ABC News, DCCC Chairman Rahm Emanuel identified Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Louisiana, New Mexico, and North Carolina as the ripest targets for Democrats to pursue mid-decade redistricting.

"Every party is going to squeeze every last bit of pulp out of this lemon to make lemonade and they are going to go after this with every thing that they have got," Emanuel told ABC News.

How big is this? LA Times political reporter Peter Wallsten (author of the new One Party Country, on how the GOP's electoral machine works) writes that: "By some estimates, this could mean at least five new House seats for Democrats, along with a host of newly competitive Republican seats -- an outcome that would inject parity to a political map that has tilted in the GOP's favor for more than a decade."

However, he notes that Democrats face a couple of political and structural problems that are likely to prevent them from taking advantage.

First of all, many Democrats are on the record as vociferously opposed to gerrymandering, including likely incoming New York governor Eliot Spitzer.

What's more, the racial politics would be difficult for the Democrats to manage. Typically, civil-rights leaders have looked for concentrations of black voters to elect black representatives. Distributing these black voters differently might lead to more Democrats being elected, but fewer African Americans.

Is this palatable to black leaders as part of a strategy to even the electoral playing field with Republicans? Or is it too politically volatile?