MISSOURI SURVEY RESULTS – JANUARY 2008

 

The Research 2000 Missouri Poll was conducted for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch and KMOV-TV from January 21 through January 24, 2008. A total of 800 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

 

 

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY: (500 sample size margin of error is 4.5%)

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 Democratic Primary for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED):

 

                                                         ALL            MEN            WOMEN

 

Hillary Clinton                                  44%             33%                55%

Barack Obama                                  31%              38%                24%

John Edwards                                    18%             21%                15%

Dennis Kucinich                                 1%               1%                  1%

Undecided (NOT READ)                   6%               7%                  5%

 

 

 

                                  CLIN   OBA   EDW     KUC    UND                                                              

                                           

ALL                            44%     31%     18%       1%        6%

 

WHITE                       46%     28%     20%      1%         5%

BLACK                      34%     45%     10%       -          11%

OTHER                      37%     35%     11%       -          17%

 

ST. LOUIS CITY       43%     35%     18%       1%       3%

ST. LOUIS SUB        46%      28%    19%       1%        6%

KANSAS CITY         43%     33%     19%       1%        4%

NORTH/SE                46%     30%     18%       1%        5%

SOUTHWEST           40%     30%     17%       -          13%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY: (500 sample size margin of error is 4.5%)

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 Republican Primary for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED):

 

                                                         ALL             MEN           WOMEN

 

John McCain                                     31%             34%                28%

Mike Huckabee                                 25%             27%                23%

Mitt Romney                                     21%             19%                23%

Rudy Giuliani                                      8%              6%                 10%

Ron Paul                                              6%              8%                   4%

Fred Thompson                                   1%               1%                  1%

Undecided (NOT READ)                   8%               5%                 11%

 

 

                                     MC     HUC    ROM      GIU     PAU   THO    UND

 

ALL                              31%      25%     21%        8%       6%      1%      8% 

 

ST. LOUIS CITY         32%      14%      20%      12%    12%      1%       9%

ST. LOUIS SUB          34%       17%     21%      11%     11%      1%      5%

KANSAS CITY           35%       16%     20%      11%     12%      1%      5%

NORTH/SE                  28%      32%      23%       6%       2%       1%      8%

SOUTHWEST             27%       34%     23%       5%       1%       1%      9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALL VOTERS: (800 sample size margin of error is 3.5%)

 

                                                     FAVORABLE    UNFAVORABLE   NO OPINION

 

Hillary Clinton                       46%                        50%                          4%

Mitt Romney                               43%                        51%                          6%    

Rudy Giuliani                             41%                        52%                          7%     

John McCain                                46%                        45%                          9%    

Mike Huckabee                          39%                        46%                        15%

John Edwards                            47%                        37%                        16%

Barack Obama                          49%                        33%                         18%

Dennis Kucinich                        15%                       18%                         67%

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?

                                            CLINTON           GIULIANI          UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         47%                       37%                       16% 

 

MEN                                        41%                       44%                       15%

WOMEN                                 53%                       31%                       16%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        81%                         7%                       12%

REPUBLICANS                       9%                       71%                        20%

INDEPENDENTS                   47%                       36%                       17%

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican?

                                             CLINTON           ROMNEY          UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         47%                       39%                        14% 

 

MEN                                        42%                       45%                        13%

WOMEN                                 52%                       33%                        15%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        81%                         6%                        13%

REPUBLICANS                       9%                       76%                        15%

INDEPENDENTS                   47%                      37%                        16%

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Mike Huckabee, the Republican?

                                          CLINTON           HUCKABEE        UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                       47%                       38%                         15%

 

MEN                                      42%                       43%                         15%

WOMEN                               52%                       33%                         15%    

 

DEMOCRATS                      81%                         6%                         13%

REPUBLICANS                     9%                       74%                         17%

INDEPENDENTS                47%                        37%                         16%

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican?

                                            CLINTON          MCCAIN          UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         45%                    44%                       11% 

 

MEN                                        40%                    50%                       10%

WOMEN                                 50%                    38%                       12%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        79%                    11%                       10%

REPUBLICANS                       8%                    82%                       10%

INDEPENDENTS                   44%                    43%                      13%

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?

                                            OBAMA               GIULIANI           UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         48%                       37%                       15% 

 

MEN                                        42%                       44%                       14%

WOMEN                                 54%                       30%                       16%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        82%                         7%                       11%

REPUBLICANS                       9%                       71%                        20%

INDEPENDENTS                   49%                       36%                       15%

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican?

                                             OBAMA           ROMNEY           UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         49%                    39%                       12% 

 

MEN                                        44%                    44%                       12%

WOMEN                                 54%                    34%                       12%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        84%                      6%                       10%

REPUBLICANS                       9%                     79%                       12%

INDEPENDENTS                   50%                    35%                       15%

 

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mike Huckabee, the Republican?

                                            OBAMA           HUCKABEE         UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                          49%                    38%                       13% 

 

MEN                                        44%                     43%                       13%

WOMEN                                 54%                     33%                       13%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        84%                      6%                        10%

REPUBLICANS                       9%                     78%                       13%

INDEPENDENTS                   50%                    34%                       16%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican?

                                            OBAMA              MCCAIN           UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         47%                       42%                       11% 

 

MEN                                        42%                       48%                       10%

WOMEN                                 52%                       36%                       12%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        82%                         9%                         9%

REPUBLICANS                       8%                        79%                       13%

INDEPENDENTS                   48%                       42%                       10%

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?

                                          EDWARDS           GIULIANI           UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         47%                       38%                        15% 

 

MEN                                        43%                       43%                        14%

WOMEN                                 51%                       33%                        16%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        83%                         7%                        10%

REPUBLICANS                       9%                        72%                       19%

INDEPENDENTS                   46%                       38%                       16%

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican?

                                          EDWARDS           ROMNEY           UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         47%                       40%                        13% 

 

MEN                                        43%                       45%                        12%

WOMEN                                 51%                       35%                        14%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        83%                         7%                        10%

REPUBLICANS                       9%                        77%                       14%

INDEPENDENTS                   46%                       40%                       14%

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and Mike Huckabee, the Republican?

                                          EDWARDS           HUCKABEE         UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         47%                       39%                        14% 

 

MEN                                        42%                       44%                        14%

WOMEN                                 52%                       34%                        14%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        83%                         6%                        11%

REPUBLICANS                       8%                        78%                       14%

INDEPENDENTS                   46%                       37%                       17%

 

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican?

                                           EDWARDS           MCCAIN          UNDECIDED

 

ALL                                         46%                       42%                       12% 

 

MEN                                        41%                       48%                       11%

WOMEN                                 51%                       36%                       13%    

 

DEMOCRATS                        81%                         9%                        10%

REPUBLICANS                       7%                        79%                       14%

INDEPENDENTS                   46%                       42%                       12%