Date: Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Romney Takes 2% Lead Over McCain in Florida, Giuliani Takes Over Third Place Alone
Romney 34%, McCain 32%, Giuliani 13%, Huckabee 10%
EAST LANSING, Mich.— U.S. Sen. John McCain, who had a 2% lead after polling Sunday night, now finds himself trailing former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 34%-32% according to results of a telephone poll conducted Sunday and Monday nights January 27-28, 2008. Rudy Giuliani, who was tied with Mike Huckabee at 12%, has now taken a 3% lead over Huckabee (13%-10%). Ron Paul has 3%, and 7% are undecided..
The telephone poll of likely voters in the Florida Republican Primary Election was conducted by Mitchell Interactive, an East Lansing, Michigan and Washington, DC based national political polling and market research company. The survey of 964 likely Republican Presidential Primary voters has a margin of error of +-3.16% at the 95% level of confidence.
“This is basically a dead heat. Romney gained a point since last night while McCain dropped 3%. A major change came from those who have already voted. On Sunday night, Romney and McCain were tied among the 33% who said they already voted. After Monday night’s polling, Romney had a 9% lead among those voters. Romney also cut McCain’s lead among those who say they will be “definitely voting” from 4% in Sunday’s polling to 2% at the end of polling on Monday night,” Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Interactive said.
Page 2 of 2 Mitchell Interactive Florida GOP Primary Poll 1-29-2008
Romney leads by less than 1% with women but has a 3% lead with men, who comprise 53% of the voters.
Romney leads with 60 year old plus voters by 1% (on Sunday night he trailed by 1%) and leads among 40-59 year olds by 5% (on Sunday night he led by 2%). McCain has a lead with 18-39 year old voters, but they make up the smallest age demographic.
“It looks as though this we will not know the winner of the Florida Republican Primary until all the votes have been counted,” Mitchell concluded.
Mitchell Interactive’s final poll in South Carolina showed McCain winning by 3%, he won by 3%. In Michigan, the company was the only pollster polling during the last week to have Romney ahead. Its final poll had Romney leading by 6%, he won by 9%.