Bloomberg /LA Times National Poll

December 20-23 and 26, 2007

 

 

 

Interviews -  Among 2,312 adults in Iowa and 1,459 adults in New Hampshire were interviewed:

IA:  Reg  2145 (+/-2) ; Dem Voters 580 (+/-4) Dem Likely Voters 389 (+/-5); Rep Voters 310 (+/-6);  Rep Likely Voters  174 (+/-7)

NH:  Reg  1279 (+/-3) ; Dem Voters 519  (+/-4) Dem Likely Voters 361 (+/-5); Rep Voters 442 (+/-5);  Rep Likely Voters 318 (+/-6)

NOTE: "-" indicates a result of less than .5%

Column Headings:

                IAREG/NHREG                      Iowa/New Hampshire Registered Voters

                IADEM/NHDEM                    Iowa/New Hampshire Democratic Voters

                IAREP/NHREP                        Iowa/New Hampshire Republican Voters

                IALKL/NHLKL                       Iowa/New Hampshire Likely Voters

 

Note:   Q8 To Q32  asked of Democratic Primary/Caucus Voters

                Q33 To Q60 asked of Republican Primary/Caucus Voters

                Q61 To Q69 asked of all registered voters

 

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

(ASKED OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS)

 

Q1. Many people don't pay much attention to political campaigns. How about you? So far this year, would you say you have been very interested in following the political campaign for president, or somewhat interested, or somewhat uninterested, or very uninterested in following the political campaign for president?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Interest (net)                                           87                98               98                99               93                96               95             100

   Very interested                                    46                74               63                84               61                71               61                71

   Somewhat interested                         42                23               35                15               32                25               34                29

Uninterested (net)                                  12                  2                  1                  1                  6                  3                  5                   -

   Somewhat uninterested                       5                  1                   -                   -                  3                  2                  3                   -

   Very uninterested                                 7                  2                  1                  1                  3                  1                  2                   -

D/Know (net)                                            1                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1                   -                   -

 

(ASKED OF DEMOCRATS AND INDEPENDENTS/ UNDECLARED VOTERS IN ALL SAMPLES WHO PLAN TO VOTE OR LEAN TOWARD VOTING IN A DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY OR CAUCUS)

 

Q7. When it comes time to vote for president in the Democratic [primary/caucus] in January, which of these statements comes closest to what you are going to do: "I know I won't get to vote," or "I may get to vote, but I doubt it," or "I may get to vote and I may not," or "I'm pretty sure I will get to vote," or "I know I will vote in the Democratic [primary/caucus], unless of course something happens to me between now and then"?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Pr/sure (net)                                            88             100                   -             100               95             100                   -             100

   I'm pretty sure I will                           21                24                   -                13               19                20                   -                   -

   I know I will                                        67                76                   -                87               77                80                   -             100

Other (net)                                              12                   -                   -                   -                  5                   -                   -                   -

   I know I won't                                       2                   -                   -                   -                  2                   -                   -                   -

   I may, but I doubt it                            1                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -

   I may and I may not (50-50

 chance)                                                     5                   -                   -                   -                  2                   -                   -                   -

 

(ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS WHO ARE PRETTY SURE OR KNOW THEY WILL VOTE) I realize that the Democratic presidential caucuses and primaries for the 2008 election are weeks away. But...

 

Q8. If the Democratic [primary/caucus] for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were New York Senator Hillary Clinton, Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, Delaware Senator Joe Biden, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, Illinois Senator Barack Obama, Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich and former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel, for whom would you vote: Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Biden, Richardson, Obama, Kucinich or Gravel? I could repeat the names if you wish.   Well, as of today do you lean more toward Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Biden, Richardson, Obama, Kucinich or Gravel?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Biden                                                         4                  4                   -                  6                  2                  2                   -                  1

Clinton                                                    29                29                   -                31               30                30                   -                30

Dodd                                                          1                  1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -

Edwards                                                  25                25                   -                25               18                18                   -                20

Kucinich                                                    2                  2                   -                  2                  2                  2                   -                  1

Obama                                                    26                26                   -                22               32                32                   -                32

Richrdsn                                                    6                  6                   -                  7                  5                  5                   -                  4

D/Know                                                     7                  7                   -                  6               11                11                   -                12

 

(ASKED OF THOSE WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)

 

Q9. Are you certain you are going to vote for that candidate, or is it possible that you might end up voting for somebody else?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Certain                                                    71                71                   -                72               65                65                   -                67

Might vote for someone else               27                27                   -                25               33                33                   -                31

Not sure                                                     2                  2                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  2

 

(ASKED OF THOSE WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)

 

Q10. Can you tell me the one particular reason why you are supporting your candidate? By that I mean, either a personal quality or trait, or stand or position your candidate holds that has most attracted you to him or her?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Nothing in particular                               5                  5                   -                  7                  3                  3                   -                  3

Agree on all issues                                 16                16                   -                15               12                12                   -                14

Friendly to business                                 1                  1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                   -

Handling the budget deficit                    -                   -                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                  1

Economy                                                  4                  4                   -                  4                  3                  3                   -                  2

Education                                                 4                  4                   -                  3                  3                  3                   -                  2

Environmental issues                              1                  1                   -                  1                  2                  2                   -                  1

Foreign affairs                                          1                  1                   -                  1                  2                  2                   -                  2

Foreign trade                                            1                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -

Gun control                                                -                   -                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -

Health care/solving the problem

 of health care                                        13                13                   -                14               19                19                   -                20

Can improve homeland security           -                   -                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                  1

Supported war in Iraq/voted for

 war                                                            3                  3                   -                  4                  2                  2                   -                  2

Wants troops out of Iraq as soon

 as possible/timed withdrawal               4                  4                   -                  3                  3                  3                   -                  2

Social security                                          1                  1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -

Terrorism/protect country from

 attacks/national security                       -                   -                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                  1

Unemployment/jobs                               1                  1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                  1

Best of the lot                                           3                  3                   -                  2                  5                  5                   -                  5

Charismatic personality                         5                  5                   -                  6                  4                  4                   -                  4

Can win in November                             2                  2                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1

Experience/track record                       11                11                   -                13               11                11                   -                13

Family values/conservative

 family values                                          1                  1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1

Intelligent                                                  3                  3                   -                  3                  4                  4                   -                  4

Leadership quality                                  5                  5                   -                  5                  5                  5                   -                  5

More liberal                                              1                  1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                   -

Morality/integrity/honesty                     7                  7                   -                  8                  7                  7                   -                  7

Fresh/new idea                                         3                  3                   -                  2                  3                  3                   -                  3

Personal relationship                               1                  1                   -                  1                  2                  2                   -                  3

Represents change                                  2                  2                   -                  1                  3                  3                   -                  5

Shares my values                                    6                  6                   -                  7                  5                  5                   -                  4

Straight shooter/says what he

 believes                                                     6                  6                   -                  7                  5                  5                   -                  2

Time for a woman                                  1                  1                   -                  1                  3                  3                   -                  2

True Democrat                                         2                  2                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  2

Other  (specify)                                      10                10                   -                11               12                12                   -                11

Not sure                                                     2                  2                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                   -

 

(ASKED OF IOWANS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)

 

Q11. Do you have a second choice in the Democratic caucus for president on January 3rd, or not?

Would that be Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Joe Biden, Bill Richardson, Barack Obama, Mike Gravel, or Dennis Kucinich? I could repeat the names if you wish.  Well, as of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Biden, Richardson, Obama, Gravel or Kucinich?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

N/2nd                                                      23                23                   -                20                   -                   -                   -                   -

Biden                                                         3                  3                   -                  4                   -                   -                   -                   -

Clinton                                                    16                16                   -                15                   -                   -                   -                   -

Dodd                                                          2                  2                   -                  2                   -                   -                   -                   -

Edwards                                                  23                23                   -                23                   -                   -                   -                   -

Kucinich                                                    1                  1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -

Obama                                                    18                18                   -                20                   -                   -                   -                   -

Richrdsn                                                    8                  8                   -                  9                   -                   -                   -                   -

D/Know                                                     6                  6                   -                  6                   -                   -                   -                   -

 

(ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS)

 

Q12. Looking to the general election in November. What if Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate in the November 2008 general election for President... are there any of those three candidates that you just could not vote for under any circumstances, or would you be willing to vote for all of them? Is there another candidate that you could not support?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Could not vote for any of them           7                  7                   -                  7               10                10                   -                10

Hillary Clinton                                       12                12                   -                12               13                13                   -                12

John Edwards                                           8                  8                   -                  7                  9                  9                   -                  8

Barack Obama                                      12                12                   -                13               11                11                   -                10

Could vote for all of them                   61                61                   -                63               52                52                   -                54

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  2                  8                  8                   -                  8

 

 

 

 

 

Q13. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the selection of Democratic presidential candidates in the race?  Is there any particular person that you would like to have run for president?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Satisfied with candidates                     92                92                   -                91               88                88                   -                89

Dissatsf (net)                                            4                  4                   -                  5                  8                  8                   -                  7

   Al gore                                                    1                  1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1

   Other (specify)                                       -                   -                   -                  1                  3                  3                   -                  4

   Dissatisfied/not sure                             3                  3                   -                  3                  4                  4                   -                  3

D/Know (net)                                            4                  4                   -                  4                  4                  4                   -                  4

 

 

Q14. Which of the following is most important to you in choosing a candidate for president: The value of experience or the need for new ideas?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Neither/something else                           2                  2                   -                  2                  3                  3                   -                  1

Value of experience                              29                29                   -                32               27                27                   -                29

Need for new ideas                               42                42                   -                40               48                48                   -                47

Both equally                                          25                25                   -                23               20                20                   -                20

Not sure                                                     2                  2                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  3

 

Q15. Regardless of your choice for president, which Democratic candidate do you think has the best chance of beating the Republican candidate in November: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                  2                   -                  3                  1                  1                   -                   -

Hillary Clinton                                       34                34                   -                31               36                36                   -                36

John Edwards                                        22                22                   -                26               14                14                   -                17

Barack Obama                                      22                22                   -                19               33                33                   -                31

All equally                                              10                10                   -                11                  5                  5                   -                  5

Not sure                                                   10                10                   -                10               11                11                   -                11

 

 

Q16. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think is more likely to produce new ideas: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                  2                   -                  2                  1                  1                   -                  1

Hillary Clinton                                       21                21                   -                22               20                20                   -                19

John Edwards                                        20                20                   -                22               14                14                   -                14

Barack Obama                                      46                46                   -                42               57                57                   -                59

Other candidate                                       2                  2                   -                  3                  1                  1                   -                  1

All equally                                                 5                  5                   -                  6                  3                  3                   -                  3

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  3                  4                  4                   -                  3

 

 

Q17. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think will substantially change the way things are done in Washington: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           4                  4                   -                  5                  9                  9                   -                  8

Hillary Clinton                                       25                25                   -                24               24                24                   -                24

John Edwards                                        24                24                   -                27               14                14                   -                17

Barack Obama                                      36                36                   -                33               44                44                   -                44

Other candidate                                       2                  2                   -                  2                   -                   -                   -                   -

All equally                                                 5                  5                   -                  7                  3                  3                   -                  3

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  2                  6                  6                   -                  4

 

Q18. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has more honesty and integrity: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                  2                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  2

Hillary Clinton                                       21                21                   -                21               18                18                   -                18

John Edwards                                        29                29                   -                28               21                21                   -                21

Barack Obama                                      30                30                   -                26               37                37                   -                39

Other candidate                                       3                  3                   -                  4                  3                  3                   -                  3

All equally                                              11                11                   -                14               12                12                   -                12

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  4                  7                  7                   -                  5

 

Q19. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has the right experience to be president: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           3                  3                   -                  3                  5                  5                   -                  5

Hillary Clinton                                       48                48                   -                47               47                47                   -                45

John Edwards                                        21                21                   -                24               13                13                   -                15

Barack Obama                                      10                10                   -                  7               18                18                   -                17

Other candidate                                       3                  3                   -                  4                  3                  3                   -                  4

All equally                                              10                10                   -                12                  8                  8                   -                  9

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  3                  6                  6                   -                  5

Refused                                                     1                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -

 

Q20. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at fighting terrorism and protecting national security: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                  2                   -                  3                  3                  3                   -                  4

Hillary Clinton                                       36                36                   -                35               37                37                   -                36

John Edwards                                        21                21                   -                23               12                12                   -                14

Barack Obama                                      19                19                   -                17               23                23                   -                23

Other candidate                                       2                  2                   -                  3                  4                  4                   -                  4

All equally                                              10                10                   -                12                  8                  8                   -                  9

Not sure                                                   10                10                   -                  7               13                13                   -                10

 

Q21. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling the economy: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                  2                   -                  3                  1                  1                   -                  1

Hillary Clinton                                       40                40                   -                42               40                40                   -                40

John Edwards                                        27                27                   -                26               15                15                   -                19

Barack Obama                                      18                18                   -                16               25                25                   -                23

Other candidate                                       2                  2                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  3

All equally                                                 5                  5                   -                  6                  5                  5                   -                  5

Not sure                                                     6                  6                   -                  4               12                12                   -                  9

 

Q22. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling health care: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                  2                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  1

Hillary Clinton                                       40                40                   -                37               47                47                   -                48

John Edwards                                        28                28                   -                32               21                21                   -                22

Barack Obama                                      20                20                   -                18               16                16                   -                17

Other candidate                                       2                  2                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  3

All equally                                                 4                  4                   -                  4                  4                  4                   -                  4

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  3                  8                  8                   -                  5

 

Q23. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has been best at saying what they believe rather than saying what they think the voters want to hear: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           3                  3                   -                  4                  2                  2                   -                  2

Hillary Clinton                                       22                22                   -                24               21                21                   -                20

John Edwards                                        28                28                   -                30               26                26                   -                26

Barack Obama                                      34                34                   -                29               41                41                   -                41

Another candidate                                  3                  3                   -                  3                  3                  3                   -                  2

All equally                                                 6                  6                   -                  6                  4                  4                   -                  5

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  4                  3                  3                   -                  4

 

Q24. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling the war in Iraq: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           4                  4                   -                  4                  3                  3                   -                  5

Hillary Clinton                                       33                33                   -                32               34                34                   -                37

John Edwards                                        23                23                   -                24               15                15                   -                17

Barack Obama                                      22                22                   -                18               27                27                   -                28

Other candidate                                       5                  5                   -                  8                  3                  3                   -                  2

All equally                                                 6                  6                   -                  7                  7                  7                   -                  3

Not sure                                                     7                  7                   -                  7               11                11                   -                  8

 

Q25. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling foreign trade: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                  2                   -                  2                  1                  1                   -                  1

Hillary Clinton                                       40                40                   -                39               41                41                   -                40

John Edwards                                        24                24                   -                26               14                14                   -                18

Barack Obama                                      15                15                   -                13               22                22                   -                22

Other candidate                                       4                  4                   -                  6                  3                  3                   -                  4

All equally                                                 3                  3                   -                  4                  3                  3                   -                  2

Not sure                                                   12                12                   -                10               16                16                   -                13

 

Q26. Do you think Hillary Clinton is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does she need a few more years to prepare, or will she never be prepared enough?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Prepared well enough                           79                79                   -                80               81                81                   -                82

Needs a few more years                         6                  6                   -                  5                  7                  7                   -                  6

Never be prepared enough                  11                11                   -                12                  9                  9                   -                10

Not sure                                                     4                  4                   -                  3                  3                  3                   -                  2

 

Q27. Do you think Barack Obama is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Prepared well enough                           43                43                   -                40               50                50                   -                50

Needs a few more years                       48                48                   -                50               41                41                   -                42

Never be prepared enough                     4                  4                   -                  5                  5                  5                   -                  6

Not sure                                                     5                  5                   -                  5                  4                  4                   -                  2

 

Q28. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on the timing of a troop withdrawal from Iraq, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on the timing of a troop withdrawal from Iraq, but agreed with you on most other issues?

Some voters have a specific issue that is so important to them that they will only consider voting for candidates who share their view. What about you?

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Candidate must agree                          30                30                   -                28               32                32                   -                32

Candidate can differ                            59                59                   -                60               57                57                   -                58

Not sure                                                   10                10                   -                11                  9                  9                   -                  8

Refused                                                     1                  1                   -                  1                  2                  2                   -                  2

 

Q29. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on illegal immigration, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on illegal immigration, but agreed with you on most other issues?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Candidate must agree                          22                22                   -                18               23                23                   -                23

Candidate can differ                            66                66                   -                71               67                67                   -                69

Not sure                                                   11                11                   -                11                  9                  9                   -                  6

Refused                                                     1                  1                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                  2

 

Q30. In your opinion, do you think Barack Obama's race will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor? Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Issue - positive                                       16                16                   -                12               18                18                   -                13

Issue - negative                                      26                26                   -                29               26                26                   -                29

Not an issue                                            46                46                   -                48               45                45                   -                49

Not sure                                                   11                11                   -                11               10                10                   -                  9

Refused                                                     1                  1                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                   -

 

Q31. In your opinion, do you think Hillary Clinton's gender will be an underlying issue in her bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor? Will it be a positive or a negative factor for her?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Issue - positive                                       18                18                   -                14               21                21                   -                16

Issue - negative                                      29                29                   -                28               29                29                   -                28

No issue                                                   47                47                   -                52               42                42                   -                48

Not sure                                                     6                  6                   -                  6                  7                  7                   -                  8

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                   -

 

 

Q32. Regardless of your choice for president, who has done more negative campaigning: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards or Barack Obama?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                         15                15                   -                14               16                16                   -                16

Hillary Clinton                                       29                29                   -                31               40                40                   -                41

John Edwards                                        12                12                   -                12               11                11                   -                12

Barack Obama                                      11                11                   -                13                  6                  6                   -                  6

Other candidate                                       1                  1                   -                  1                  2                  2                   -                  1

All equally                                              10                10                   -                10                  8                  8                   -                  8

Not sure                                                   21                21                   -                19               17                17                   -                16

Refused                                                     1                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -

 

 

 

(ASKED OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS/ UNDECLARED VOTERS IN ALL SAMPLES WHO PLAN TO VOTE OR LEAN TOWARD VOTING IN A REPUBLICAN PRIMARY OR CAUCUS)

 

Q33. When it comes time to vote for president in the Republican [primary/caucus] in January, which of these statements comes closest to what you are going to do: "I know I won't get to vote," or "I may get to vote, but I doubt it," or "I may get to vote and I may not," or "I'm pretty sure I will get to vote," or "I know I will vote in the Republican [primary/caucus], unless of course something happens to me between now and then"?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Pr/sure (net)                                            90                   -             100             100               95                   -             100             100

   I'm pretty sure I will                           20                   -               22                  8               16                   -               17                   -

   I know I will                                        70                   -               78                92               79                   -               83             100

Other (net)                                              10                   -                   -                   -                  5                   -                   -                   -

   I know I won't                                       3                   -                   -                   -                  2                   -                   -                   -

   I may, but I doubt it                            3                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -

   I may and I may not (50-50

 chance)                                                     3                   -                   -                   -                  2                   -                   -                   -

 

(ASKED OF REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS WHO ARE PRETTY SURE OR KNOW THEY WILL VOTE)

 

Q34. If the Republican [primary/caucus] for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, California Congressman Duncan Hunter, Arizona Senator John McCain, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson, or Texas Representative Ron Paul for whom would you vote: Giuliani, Huckabee, Hunter, McCain, Romney, Thompson or Paul? I could repeat the names if you wish.  Well, as of today do you lean more toward Giuliani, Huckabee, Hunter, McCain, Romney, Thompson or Paul?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Giuliani                                                      6                   -                  6                  8               14                   -               14                17

Huckabee                                               37                   -               37                36                  9                   -                  9                12

Hunter                                                       1                   -                  1                  2                  1                   -                  1                  1

McCain                                                   11                   -               11                  8               21                   -               21                20

Paul                                                            2                   -                  2                  1                  6                   -                  6                  4

Romney                                                  23                   -               23                28               34                   -               34                34

Thompson                                              11                   -               11                10                  4                   -                  4                  4

D/Know                                                     9                   -                  9                  7               11                   -               11                  8

 

(ASKED OF REPS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)

 

Q35. Are you certain you're going to vote for that candidate, or is it possible that you might end up voting for somebody else?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Certain                                                    72                   -               72                66               57                   -               57                58

Might vote for somebody else            25                   -               25                28               42                   -               42                41

Not sure                                                     3                   -                  3                  6                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

(ASKED OF REPS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)

 

Q36. Can you tell me the one particular reason why you are supporting your candidate? By that I mean, either a personal quality or trait, or stand or position your candidate holds that has most attracted you to him or her?  Any other reason?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Nothing in particular                               5                   -                  5                  7                  4                   -                  4                  4

Agree on issues                                      12                   -               12                10               10                   -               10                10

Friendly to business                                 2                   -                  2                   -                  2                   -                  2                  1

Budget deficit                                           1                   -                  1                   -                  2                   -                  2                  2

Economy                                                  2                   -                  2                  2                  5                   -                  5                  3

Education                                                  -                   -                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                  1

Environmental issues                              2                   -                  2                  3                   -                   -                   -                  1

Foreign affairs                                          5                   -                  5                  4                  6                   -                  6                  7

Foreign trade                                            1                   -                  1                  1                   -                   -                   -                  1

Gun control                                                -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                   -

Health care                                                -                   -                   -                   -                  2                   -                  2                  2

Can improve homeland security          2                   -                  2                  3                  3                   -                  3                  4

Opposed to abortion/pro-life                 4                   -                  4                  5                  2                   -                  2                  2

Supported war in Iraq                             1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1                  2

Keep troops in Iraq/supported

 surge                                                          1                   -                  1                  2                   -                   -                   -                   -

Social security                                           -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

Taxes/support Bush tax cuts                2                   -                  2                  1                  2                   -                  2                  3

Terrorism/national security                   4                   -                  4                  4                  3                   -                  3                  3

Best of the lot                                           2                   -                  2                  2                  3                   -                  3                  3

Charismatic                                              3                   -                  3                  1                  1                   -                  1                  1

Can win in november                             1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -                  1

Experience/track record                         5                   -                  5                  4               15                   -               15                16

Family values                                           8                   -                  8                  8                  7                   -                  7                  8

Gay/lesbian issues                                    -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

Intelligient                                                  -                   -                   -                   -                  2                   -                  2                  2

Leadership quality                                  3                   -                  3                  2                  7                   -                  7                  9

Military background                                -                   -                   -                   -                  3                   -                  3                  3

Conservative                                            3                   -                  3                  3                  4                   -                  4                  4

Morals/integrity/honesty                     14                   -               14                17               10                   -               10                11

Personal relationship                               2                   -                  2                  4                  2                   -                  2                  2

Shares my values                                  11                   -               11                  8                  6                   -                  6                  7

Says what he believes                             6                   -                  6                  6                  6                   -                  6                  5

True Republican                                      2                   -                  2                  4                  3                   -                  3                  2

Other  (specify)                                      13                   -               13                13                  8                   -                  8                  6

Not sure                                                     2                   -                  2                  1                  4                   -                  4                  3

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

(ASKED OF IOWANS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)

 

Q37. Do you have a second choice in the Republican caucus for president on January 3rd, or not?  Would that be Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Fred Thompson? I could repeat the names if you wish.  Well, as of today, do you lean more toward Giuliani, Huckabee, Hunter, McCain, Romney, Thompson or Paul?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

N/2ndch                                                  38                   -               38                38                   -                   -                   -                   -

Giuliani                                                      7                   -                  7                  5                   -                   -                   -                   -

Huckabee                                                 7                   -                  7                12                   -                   -                   -                   -

Hunter                                                       2                   -                  2                  2                   -                   -                   -                   -

McCain                                                     8                   -                  8                  6                   -                   -                   -                   -

Paul                                                            3                   -                  3                  4                   -                   -                   -                   -

Romney                                                  19                   -               19                14                   -                   -                   -                   -

Thompson                                              10                   -               10                12                   -                   -                   -                   -

S/Else                                                         2                   -                  2                  4                   -                   -                   -                   -

D/Know                                                     4                   -                  4                  3                   -                   -                   -                   -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS)

 

Q38. Looking to the general election in November. What if Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson were the Republican candidate in the November 2008 general election for President... are there any of those five candidates that you just could not vote for under any circumstances, or would you be willing to vote for all of them?  Is there another candidate you could not vote for?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Could not vote for any of them           6                   -                  6                  9               12                   -               12                  8

Rudy Giuliani                                         18                   -               18                19               10                   -               10                10

Mike Huckabee                                       6                   -                  6                  4               16                   -               16                16

John McCain                                            7                   -                  7                  6                  5                   -                  5                  4

Mitt Romney                                            9                   -                  9                  7                  7                   -                  7                  7

Fred Thompson                                       5                   -                  5                  3                  9                   -                  9                11

Could vote for all of them                   42                   -               42                45               35                   -               35                40

Not sure                                                   13                   -               13                14               13                   -               13                11

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  2

 

Q39. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the selection of Republican presidential candidates in the race?  Is there any particular person that you would like to see run for president?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Satisfied with candidates                     75                   -               75                81               75                   -               75                78

N/satisf (net)                                          19                   -               19                14               20                   -               20                18

   Arnold Schwarzenegger                        -                   -                   -                  1                  1                   -                  1                   -

   Mike Bloomberg                                    -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

   Newt Gingrich                                        2                   -                  2                  1                  2                   -                  2                  1

   Condoleeza rice                                    2                   -                  2                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -

   Other (specify)                                      3                   -                  3                  3                  4                   -                  4                  6

   Dissatisfied/not sure                          12                   -               12                  9               12                   -               12                10

D/Know (net)                                            6                   -                  6                  4                  5                   -                  5                  4

 

 

Q40. Which of the following is most important to you in choosing a candidate for president: their views on social issues, such as abortion and gay rights, or their position on national security and terrorism?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Neither/something else                           2                   -                  2                  1                  5                   -                  5                  5

Social issues                                           26                   -               26                24               16                   -               16                11

National security                                   52                   -               52                52               65                   -               65                68

Both/equally                                          20                   -               20                23               13                   -               13                15

Not sure                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

 

Q41. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has the best chance of beating the Democratic candidate in November: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1                   -

Rudy Giuliani                                         11                   -               11                13               19                   -               19                20

Mike Huckabee                                     25                   -               25                23                  5                   -                  5                  5

John McCain                                         13                   -               13                16               23                   -               23                22

Mitt Romney                                         25                   -               25                25               37                   -               37                38

Fred Thompson                                       5                   -                  5                  5                   -                   -                   -                  1

Other candidate                                       1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -

All equally                                                 3                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  2                  3

Not sure                                                   15                   -               15                15               12                   -               12                10

Refused                                                     1                   -                  1                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

Q42. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on social issues, such as abortion and gay rights: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                   -                  2                  1                  1                   -                  1                  1

Rudy Giuliani                                           8                   -                  8                11               17                   -               17                16

Mike Huckabee                                     44                   -               44                36               16                   -               16                17

John McCain                                            3                   -                  3                  3               13                   -               13                12

Mitt Romney                                         22                   -               22                24               32                   -               32                33

Fred Thompson                                     11                   -               11                13                  4                   -                  4                  4

Other candidate                                       1                   -                  1                  1                  3                   -                  3                  2

All equally                                                 2                   -                  2                  1                  2                   -                  2                  3

Not sure                                                     7                   -                  7                10               11                   -               11                11

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

Q43. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think will substantially change the way things are done in Washington: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney, or Fred Thompson?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                         12                   -               12                  8               10                   -               10                  9

Rudy Giuliani                                           8                   -                  8                  9               14                   -               14                14

Mike Huckabee                                     30                   -               30                29                  9                   -                  9                10

John McCain                                            6                   -                  6                  5               20                   -               20                21

Mitt Romney                                         22                   -               22                23               30                   -               30                31

Fred Thompson                                       8                   -                  8                11                  2                   -                  2                  3

Other candidate                                       2                   -                  2                  2                  6                   -                  6                  3

All equally                                                 1                   -                  1                  2                  2                   -                  2                  2

Not sure                                                   10                   -               10                11                  7                   -                  7                  7

Refused                                                     1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -

 

Q44. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best in fighting terrorism and protecting national security: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1                   -

Rudy Giuliani                                         22                   -               22                23               31                   -               31                31

Mike Huckabee                                     14                   -               14                14                  2                   -                  2                  3

John McCain                                         30                   -               30                29               37                   -               37                38

Mitt Romney                                         11                   -               11                11               20                   -               20                19

Fred Thompson                                     11                   -               11                12                  2                   -                  2                  2

Other candidate                                       3                   -                  3                  4                  1                   -                  1                  1

All equally                                                 1                   -                  1                  2                  2                   -                  2                  2

Not sure                                                     7                   -                  7                  4                  4                   -                  4                  4

 

Q45. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling the economy: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                   -                  2                  1                  1                   -                  1                  1

Rudy Giuliani                                         10                   -               10                15               14                   -               14                17

Mike Huckabee                                     18                   -               18                20                  4                   -                  4                  4

John McCain                                            5                   -                  5                  5               14                   -               14                14

Mitt Romney                                         41                   -               41                38               54                   -               54                53

Fred Thompson                                     10                   -               10                13                  2                   -                  2                  3

Other candidate                                       1                   -                  1                   -                  2                   -                  2                  1

All equally                                                  -                   -                   -                  1                  2                   -                  2                  1

Not sure                                                   13                   -               13                  7                  7                   -                  7                  6

 


Q46. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on taxes: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           4                   -                  4                  2                  2                   -                  2                  1

Rudy Giuliani                                         10                   -               10                12               15                   -               15                16

Mike Huckabee                                     18                   -               18                21                  5                   -                  5                  6

John McCain                                            6                   -                  6                  8               14                   -               14                13

Mitt Romney                                         23                   -               23                29               44                   -               44                45

Fred Thompson                                     17                   -               17                16                  4                   -                  4                  4

Other candidate                                       3                   -                  3                  2                  2                   -                  2                  1

All equally                                                 1                   -                  1                  2                  4                   -                  4                  5

Not sure                                                   18                   -               18                  8               10                   -               10                  8

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -                   -                  1

 

Q47. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling the war in Iraq: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           2                   -                  2                  1                  1                   -                  1                  2

Rudy Giuliani                                           9                   -                  9                12               16                   -               16                17

Mike Huckabee                                     12                   -               12                14                  5                   -                  5                  6

John McCain                                         40                   -               40                36               45                   -               45                49

Mitt Romney                                         11                   -               11                13               19                   -               19                16

Fred Thompson                                     11                   -               11                13                  2                   -                  2                  3

Other candidate                                       1                   -                  1                  1                  2                   -                  2                  1

All equally                                                 1                   -                  1                  1                  2                   -                  2                  1

Not sure                                                   13                   -               13                  9                  8                   -                  8                  5

 

Q48. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling the illegal immigration situation: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           4                   -                  4                  1                  2                   -                  2                  2

Rudy Giuliani                                           7                   -                  7                10               24                   -               24                25

Mike Huckabee                                     20                   -               20                21                  4                   -                  4                  5

John McCain                                         11                   -               11                11               15                   -               15                17

Mitt Romney                                         28                   -               28                28               33                   -               33                31

Fred Thompson                                     14                   -               14                18                  3                   -                  3                  5

Other candidate                                       5                   -                  5                  4                  4                   -                  4                  3

All equally                                                 1                   -                  1                  1                  3                   -                  3                  2

Not sure                                                   10                   -               10                  6               12                   -               12                10

 

Q49. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has been best at saying what they believe, rather than saying what they think the voters want to hear: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           3                   -                  3                  1                  1                   -                  1                  1

Rudy Giuliani                                           7                   -                  7                  8               18                   -               18                18

Mike Huckabee                                     40                   -               40                43               12                   -               12                13

John McCain                                         17                   -               17                17               39                   -               39                39

Mitt Romney                                         13                   -               13                11               17                   -               17                17

Fred Thompson                                     14                   -               14                13                  4                   -                  4                  4

Another candidate                                  3                   -                  3                  3                  3                   -                  3                  2

All equally                                                 1                   -                  1                  1                  2                   -                  2                  2

Not sure                                                     2                   -                  2                  3                  4                   -                  4                  4

 

Q50. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling foreign affairs: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of them                                           1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1                  1

Rudy Giuliani                                         11                   -               11                12               14                   -               14                16

Mike Huckabee                                     15                   -               15                14                  2                   -                  2                  3

John McCain                                         31                   -               31                31               42                   -               42                46

Mitt Romney                                         18                   -               18                19               26                   -               26                22

Fred Thompson                                     10                   -               10                12                  2                   -                  2                  3

Other candidate                                       2                   -                  2                  1                  2                   -                  2                  1

All equally                                                 1                   -                  1                  1                  1                   -                  1                  1

Not sure                                                   11                   -               11                  9               10                   -               10                  7

 

 

Q51. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on abortion, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on abortion, but agreed with you on most other issues?

Some voters have a specific issue that is so important to them that they will only consider voting for candidates who share their view. What about you?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Candidate must agree                          43                   -               43                46               31                   -               31                29

Candidate can differ                            51                   -               51                47               62                   -               62                63

Not sure                                                     6                   -                  6                  7                  6                   -                  6                  7

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

Q52. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on illegal immigration, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on illegal immigration, but agreed with you on most other issues?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Candidate must agree                          47                   -               47                49               40                   -               40                42

Candidate can differ                            48                   -               48                47               56                   -               56                55

Not sure                                                     5                   -                  5                  4                  4                   -                  4                  3

 

Q53. Do you think Rudy Giuliani is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Prepared well enough                           52                   -               52                51               61                   -               61                62

Needs a few more years                       23                   -               23                24               21                   -               21                21

Never be prepared enough                  21                   -               21                19               12                   -               12                13

Not sure                                                     4                   -                  4                  6                  6                   -                  6                  4

 

Q54. Do you think Mike Huckabee is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Prepared well enough                           52                   -               52                55               20                   -               20                22

Needs a few more years                       25                   -               25                24               32                   -               32                34

Never be prepared enough                  14                   -               14                14               29                   -               29                30

Not sure                                                     9                   -                  9                  7               19                   -               19                14

 

 

 

 

 

Q55. Do you think Mitt Romney is well prepared for the job as president, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Prepared well enough                           70                   -               70                74               71                   -               71                71

Needs a few more years                       16                   -               16                14               16                   -               16                19

Never be prepared enough                     9                   -                  9                  9                  8                   -                  8                  6

Not sure                                                     5                   -                  5                  3                  5                   -                  5                  4

 

Q56. Do you think John McCain is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG    NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Prepared well enough                           66                   -               66                68               78                   -               78                79

Needs a few more years                         9                   -                  9                  8                  4                   -                  4                  4

Never be prepared enough                  20                   -               20                19               14                   -               14                14

Not sure                                                     5                   -                  5                  5                  4                   -                  4                  3

 

 

Q57. In your opinion, do you think Mitt Romney's Mormon faith will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor?  Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Issue - positive factor                             6                   -                  6                  9                  7                   -                  7                  6

Issue - negative factor                          46                   -               46                42               33                   -               33                29

Not an issue                                            44                   -               44                46               56                   -               56                60

Not sure                                                     4                   -                  4                  3                  3                   -                  3                  4

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

Q58. In your opinion, do you think Mike Huckabee's Christian conservative belief will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor?  Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Issue - positive factor                           42                   -               42                40               27                   -               27                25

Issue - negative factor                          15                   -               15                16               30                   -               30                28

Not an issue                                            36                   -               36                39               35                   -               35                40

Not sure                                                     7                   -                  7                  5                  7                   -                  7                  6

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

Q59. In your opinion, do you think Rudy Giuliani's belief in abortion rights and his stance on other social issues will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor?  Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Issue - positive factor                             8                   -                  8                11               12                   -               12                11

Issue - negative factor                          61                   -               61                58               36                   -               36                35

Not an issue                                            24                   -               24                25               40                   -               40                43

Not sure                                                     7                   -                  7                  6               11                   -               11                  9

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  2

 

Q60. Regardless of your choice for president, who has done more negative campaigning: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney, or Fred Thompson?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Neither                                                     13                   -               13                13               14                   -               14                17

Rudy Giuliani                                           8                   -                  8                10               10                   -               10                11

Mike Huckabee                                       9                   -                  9                  7               16                   -               16                17

John McCain                                            6                   -                  6                  8                  4                   -                  4                  4

Mitt Romney                                         35                   -               35                35               15                   -               15                11

Fred Thompson                                       3                   -                  3                  4                  2                   -                  2                  2

Other candidate                                       3                   -                  3                  4                  1                   -                  1                  1

All equally                                                 3                   -                  3                  2                  5                   -                  5                  4

Not sure                                                   20                   -               20                17               32                   -               32                32

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

(ASKED OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS)

 

Q61. First, I would like to ask you where you usually get most of your information about the upcoming presidential election -- from newspapers articles, or from news broadcasts on television or the radio, or from magazine articles, or from the Internet in such places as blogs, YouTube and emails, or by political organizations contacting you directly, or from campaign commercials, or from talking to friends and acquaintances, or do you not pay all that much attention to the upcoming presidential election?  Is there another way you usually get information about the upcoming presidential election that you consider almost as important, or not?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Don't pay much attention                      1                   -                   -                   -                  2                  1                  1                  1

Newspapers articles                              39                47               37                43               35                35               36                38

Radio news broadcasts                        13                  9               23                13               22                22               23                23

TV news broadcasts                             64                60               55                57               57                56               57                58

Magazine articles                                    4                  6                  4                  7                  5                  6                  5                  6

Internet/blogs/you

 tube/emails/etc.                                    16                21               23                22               24                25               28                25

Political organizations contacting

 you                                                            4                  7                  4                  7                  2                  3                  2                  2

Campaign commercials in

 newspapers, radio & TV                        7                  8                  6                  5                  6                  5                  7                  5

Talking to friends/acquaintances         8                  8                  5                  8                  9                  9                  9                  7

Other (specify)                                         2                  4                  3                  5                  3                  4                  2                  2

Not sure                                                     1                  1                   -                  1                   -                   -                   -                   -

 

Q62. What issue or problem do you consider the top priority for candidates running for president to address this election: Is it the war in Iraq, or national security, or the economy, or education, or taxes, or morality and family values, or healthcare issues, or illegal immigration, or ethics in government or other social issues, such as abortion and gay rights, or is there another issue? I could repeat these if you wish.

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

None of these/all of these                      9                  8                  4                  7                  8                  8                  6                  7

War in Iraq                                             37                43               31                37               35                42               28                38

National security                                   11                  7               28                15               14                  4               29                18

Economy                                                23                28               19                28               27                26               29                27

Education                                                 9                10                  3                10                  6                  7                  3                  4

Taxes                                                         6                  2                  7                  3                  5                  4                  8                  6

Morality and family values                   7                  2               16                  6                  4                  1                  7                  3

Healthcare issues                                  27                39                  9                30               24                35               10                22

Illegal immigration                                14                  8               23                10               15                  6               27                17

Ethics in govt.                                           4                  6                  5                  5                  5                  7                  3                  4

Other social issues                                   4                  3                  8                  7                  6                  4                  9                  3

Other (specify)                                         3                  4                  2                  3                  6                  9                  3                  6

Not sure                                                     3                  1                  2                  1                  1                  1                  1                  1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q63. Which of these statements comes closer to your view: "A presidential candidate's religious beliefs and his relationship with God should play a part in his campaign," or "A presidential candidate's religious beliefs and his relationship with God are personal and should not be part of his campaign"?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Play a part                                              35                22               54                32               22                15               30                25

Should not play a part                         57                71               42                61               73                80               65                71

Not sure                                                     7                  6                  4                  6                  4                  4                  4                  3

Refused                                                     1                  1                   -                  1                  1                  1                  1                  1

 

 

Q64. If you found out that a presidential candidate you support had, in the past, had an extramarital affair, would that affect your support of that candidate, or not?  Once you knew that, would you be more or less likely to support that candidate?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

No effect                                                 57                73               39                65               61                72               52                66

More likely                                             13                  8               22                10               12                  7               18                10

Less likely                                               18                11               27                15               14                  8               20                13

It depends                                                 8                  5                  9                  7                  9                  9                  8                  8

Not sure                                                     4                  3                  3                  3                  3                  4                  1                  2

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

Q65. If you found out that a presidential candidate you support had, in the past, occasionally used illegal drugs, would that affect your support of that candidate, or not?  Once you knew that, would you be more or less likely to support that candidate?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

No effect                                                 56                73               51                65               67                76               59                70

More likely                                             12                  9               11                11                  8                  5               11                  8

Less likely                                               15                  7               19                11               10                  5               14                  8

It depends                                               13                10               15                12               12                10               13                11

Not sure                                                     3                  1                  2                  1                  2                  3                  2                  2

Refused                                                     1                   -                  2                   -                  1                  1                  1                  1

 

Q66. Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Right direction                                       22                  8               53                23               21                  8               40                24

Wrong track                                           69                89               40                73               72                88               49                68

Not sure                                                     9                  3                  7                  4                  6                  4                  9                  7

Refused                                                      -                   -                   -                   -                  1                   -                  2                  1

 

Q67. Generally speaking, do you think the nation's economy these days is doing very well, or fairly well, or fairly badly, or very badly?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Well (net)                                                44                28               74                42               39                21               64                43

   Very well                                                5                  2               12                  6                  5                  2               10                  6

   Fairly well                                            39                26               62                36               34                19               55                36

Badly (net)                                             52                70               25                56               59                77               34                55

   Fairly badly                                         31                37               17                27               35                47               21                35

   Very badly                                           21                33                  8                29               23                30               12                21

D/Know (net)                                            4                  2                  1                  2                  2                  2                  2                  2


Q68. All in all, do you think the situation in Iraq was worth going to war over, or not?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Yes, worth going to war                        35                12               73                28               28                  8               56                32

No, not worth going to war                  57                83               21                66               65                90               34                63

Not sure                                                     7                  5                  5                  6                  6                  2                  9                  4

Refused                                                     1                   -                  1                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1

 

Q69. In your opinion, should the United States withdraw troops from Iraq right away, or should the U.S. begin bringing troops home within the next year, or should troops stay in Iraq for as long as it takes to win the war?

 

                                                         IAREG      IADEM       IAREP       IALKL     NHREG   NHDEM      NHREP      NHLKL

Troops home right away                      20                28                  3                24               22                33                  7                19

Within the next year                             46                60               26                47               46                55               34                46

Long as it takes                                     28                  7               68                25               27                  9               54                31

Not sure                                                     6                  4                  3                  4                  4                  3                  4                  3

Refused                                                      -                  1                   -                   -                  1                   -                  1                  1