Bloomberg /LA Times National Poll
December 20-23 and 26, 2007
Interviews - Among 2,312 adults in Iowa and 1,459 adults in New Hampshire were interviewed:
IA: Reg 2145 (+/-2) ; Dem Voters 580 (+/-4) Dem Likely Voters 389 (+/-5); Rep Voters 310 (+/-6); Rep Likely Voters 174 (+/-7)
NH: Reg 1279 (+/-3) ; Dem Voters 519 (+/-4) Dem Likely Voters 361 (+/-5); Rep Voters 442 (+/-5); Rep Likely Voters 318 (+/-6)
NOTE: "-" indicates a result of less than .5%
Column Headings:
IAREG/NHREG Iowa/New Hampshire Registered Voters
IADEM/NHDEM Iowa/New Hampshire Democratic Voters
IAREP/NHREP Iowa/New Hampshire Republican Voters
IALKL/NHLKL Iowa/New Hampshire Likely Voters
Note: Q8 To Q32 asked of Democratic Primary/Caucus Voters
Q33 To Q60 asked of Republican Primary/Caucus Voters
Q61 To Q69 asked of all registered voters
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________
(ASKED OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS)
Q1. Many people don't pay much attention to political campaigns. How about you? So far this year, would you say you have been very interested in following the political campaign for president, or somewhat interested, or somewhat uninterested, or very uninterested in following the political campaign for president?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Interest (net) 87 98 98 99 93 96 95 100
Very interested 46 74 63 84 61 71 61 71
Somewhat interested 42 23 35 15 32 25 34 29
Uninterested (net) 12 2 1 1 6 3 5 -
Somewhat uninterested 5 1 - - 3 2 3 -
Very uninterested 7 2 1 1 3 1 2 -
D/Know (net) 1 - 1 - 1 1 - -
(ASKED OF DEMOCRATS AND INDEPENDENTS/ UNDECLARED VOTERS IN ALL SAMPLES WHO PLAN TO VOTE OR LEAN TOWARD VOTING IN A DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY OR CAUCUS)
Q7. When it comes time to vote for president in the Democratic [primary/caucus] in January, which of these statements comes closest to what you are going to do: "I know I won't get to vote," or "I may get to vote, but I doubt it," or "I may get to vote and I may not," or "I'm pretty sure I will get to vote," or "I know I will vote in the Democratic [primary/caucus], unless of course something happens to me between now and then"?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Pr/sure (net) 88 100 - 100 95 100 - 100
I'm pretty sure I will 21 24 - 13 19 20 - -
I know I will 67 76 - 87 77 80 - 100
Other (net) 12 - - - 5 - - -
I know I won't 2 - - - 2 - - -
I may, but I doubt it 1 - - - - - - -
I may and I may not (50-50
chance) 5 - - - 2 - - -
(ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS WHO ARE PRETTY SURE OR KNOW THEY WILL VOTE) I realize that the Democratic presidential caucuses and primaries for the 2008 election are weeks away. But...
Q8. If the Democratic [primary/caucus] for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were New York Senator Hillary Clinton, Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, Delaware Senator Joe Biden, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, Illinois Senator Barack Obama, Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich and former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel, for whom would you vote: Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Biden, Richardson, Obama, Kucinich or Gravel? I could repeat the names if you wish. Well, as of today do you lean more toward Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Biden, Richardson, Obama, Kucinich or Gravel?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Biden 4 4 - 6 2 2 - 1
Clinton 29 29 - 31 30 30 - 30
Dodd 1 1 - 1 - - - -
Edwards 25 25 - 25 18 18 - 20
Kucinich 2 2 - 2 2 2 - 1
Obama 26 26 - 22 32 32 - 32
Richrdsn 6 6 - 7 5 5 - 4
D/Know 7 7 - 6 11 11 - 12
(ASKED OF THOSE WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)
Q9. Are you certain you are going to vote for that candidate, or is it possible that you might end up voting for somebody else?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Certain 71 71 - 72 65 65 - 67
Might vote for someone else 27 27 - 25 33 33 - 31
Not sure 2 2 - 3 2 2 - 2
(ASKED OF THOSE WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)
Q10. Can you tell me the one particular reason why you are supporting your candidate? By that I mean, either a personal quality or trait, or stand or position your candidate holds that has most attracted you to him or her?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Nothing in particular 5 5 - 7 3 3 - 3
Agree on all issues 16 16 - 15 12 12 - 14
Friendly to business 1 1 - 1 1 1 - -
Handling the budget deficit - - - - 1 1 - 1
Economy 4 4 - 4 3 3 - 2
Education 4 4 - 3 3 3 - 2
Environmental issues 1 1 - 1 2 2 - 1
Foreign affairs 1 1 - 1 2 2 - 2
Foreign trade 1 1 - - - - - -
Gun control - - - 1 - - - -
Health care/solving the problem
of health care 13 13 - 14 19 19 - 20
Can improve homeland security - - - - 1 1 - 1
Supported war in Iraq/voted for
war 3 3 - 4 2 2 - 2
Wants troops out of Iraq as soon
as possible/timed withdrawal 4 4 - 3 3 3 - 2
Social security 1 1 - 1 - - - -
Terrorism/protect country from
attacks/national security - - - - 1 1 - 1
Unemployment/jobs 1 1 - 1 - - - 1
Best of the lot 3 3 - 2 5 5 - 5
Charismatic personality 5 5 - 6 4 4 - 4
Can win in November 2 2 - 1 1 1 - 1
Experience/track record 11 11 - 13 11 11 - 13
Family values/conservative
family values 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1
Intelligent 3 3 - 3 4 4 - 4
Leadership quality 5 5 - 5 5 5 - 5
More liberal 1 1 - 1 1 1 - -
Morality/integrity/honesty 7 7 - 8 7 7 - 7
Fresh/new idea 3 3 - 2 3 3 - 3
Personal relationship 1 1 - 1 2 2 - 3
Represents change 2 2 - 1 3 3 - 5
Shares my values 6 6 - 7 5 5 - 4
Straight shooter/says what he
believes 6 6 - 7 5 5 - 2
Time for a woman 1 1 - 1 3 3 - 2
True Democrat 2 2 - 3 2 2 - 2
Other (specify) 10 10 - 11 12 12 - 11
Not sure 2 2 - 1 1 1 - 1
Refused - - - - 1 1 - -
(ASKED OF IOWANS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)
Q11. Do you have a second choice in the Democratic caucus for president on January 3rd, or not?
Would that be Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Joe Biden, Bill Richardson, Barack Obama, Mike Gravel, or Dennis Kucinich? I could repeat the names if you wish. Well, as of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Biden, Richardson, Obama, Gravel or Kucinich?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
N/2nd 23 23 - 20 - - - -
Biden 3 3 - 4 - - - -
Clinton 16 16 - 15 - - - -
Dodd 2 2 - 2 - - - -
Edwards 23 23 - 23 - - - -
Kucinich 1 1 - 1 - - - -
Obama 18 18 - 20 - - - -
Richrdsn 8 8 - 9 - - - -
D/Know 6 6 - 6 - - - -
(ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS)
Q12. Looking to the general election in November. What if Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate in the November 2008 general election for President... are there any of those three candidates that you just could not vote for under any circumstances, or would you be willing to vote for all of them? Is there another candidate that you could not support?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Could not vote for any of them 7 7 - 7 10 10 - 10
Hillary Clinton 12 12 - 12 13 13 - 12
John Edwards 8 8 - 7 9 9 - 8
Barack Obama 12 12 - 13 11 11 - 10
Could vote for all of them 61 61 - 63 52 52 - 54
Not sure 4 4 - 2 8 8 - 8
Q13. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the selection of Democratic presidential candidates in the race? Is there any particular person that you would like to have run for president?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Satisfied with candidates 92 92 - 91 88 88 - 89
Dissatsf (net) 4 4 - 5 8 8 - 7
Al gore 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1
Other (specify) - - - 1 3 3 - 4
Dissatisfied/not sure 3 3 - 3 4 4 - 3
D/Know (net) 4 4 - 4 4 4 - 4
Q14. Which of the following is most important to you in choosing a candidate for president: The value of experience or the need for new ideas?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Neither/something else 2 2 - 2 3 3 - 1
Value of experience 29 29 - 32 27 27 - 29
Need for new ideas 42 42 - 40 48 48 - 47
Both equally 25 25 - 23 20 20 - 20
Not sure 2 2 - 3 2 2 - 3
Q15. Regardless of your choice for president, which Democratic candidate do you think has the best chance of beating the Republican candidate in November: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 2 - 3 1 1 - -
Hillary Clinton 34 34 - 31 36 36 - 36
John Edwards 22 22 - 26 14 14 - 17
Barack Obama 22 22 - 19 33 33 - 31
All equally 10 10 - 11 5 5 - 5
Not sure 10 10 - 10 11 11 - 11
Q16. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think is more likely to produce new ideas: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 2 - 2 1 1 - 1
Hillary Clinton 21 21 - 22 20 20 - 19
John Edwards 20 20 - 22 14 14 - 14
Barack Obama 46 46 - 42 57 57 - 59
Other candidate 2 2 - 3 1 1 - 1
All equally 5 5 - 6 3 3 - 3
Not sure 4 4 - 3 4 4 - 3
Q17. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think will substantially change the way things are done in Washington: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 4 4 - 5 9 9 - 8
Hillary Clinton 25 25 - 24 24 24 - 24
John Edwards 24 24 - 27 14 14 - 17
Barack Obama 36 36 - 33 44 44 - 44
Other candidate 2 2 - 2 - - - -
All equally 5 5 - 7 3 3 - 3
Not sure 4 4 - 2 6 6 - 4
Q18. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has more honesty and integrity: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 2 - 3 2 2 - 2
Hillary Clinton 21 21 - 21 18 18 - 18
John Edwards 29 29 - 28 21 21 - 21
Barack Obama 30 30 - 26 37 37 - 39
Other candidate 3 3 - 4 3 3 - 3
All equally 11 11 - 14 12 12 - 12
Not sure 4 4 - 4 7 7 - 5
Q19. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has the right experience to be president: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 3 3 - 3 5 5 - 5
Hillary Clinton 48 48 - 47 47 47 - 45
John Edwards 21 21 - 24 13 13 - 15
Barack Obama 10 10 - 7 18 18 - 17
Other candidate 3 3 - 4 3 3 - 4
All equally 10 10 - 12 8 8 - 9
Not sure 4 4 - 3 6 6 - 5
Refused 1 1 - - - - - -
Q20. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at fighting terrorism and protecting national security: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 2 - 3 3 3 - 4
Hillary Clinton 36 36 - 35 37 37 - 36
John Edwards 21 21 - 23 12 12 - 14
Barack Obama 19 19 - 17 23 23 - 23
Other candidate 2 2 - 3 4 4 - 4
All equally 10 10 - 12 8 8 - 9
Not sure 10 10 - 7 13 13 - 10
Q21. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling the economy: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 2 - 3 1 1 - 1
Hillary Clinton 40 40 - 42 40 40 - 40
John Edwards 27 27 - 26 15 15 - 19
Barack Obama 18 18 - 16 25 25 - 23
Other candidate 2 2 - 3 2 2 - 3
All equally 5 5 - 6 5 5 - 5
Not sure 6 6 - 4 12 12 - 9
Q22. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling health care: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 2 - 3 2 2 - 1
Hillary Clinton 40 40 - 37 47 47 - 48
John Edwards 28 28 - 32 21 21 - 22
Barack Obama 20 20 - 18 16 16 - 17
Other candidate 2 2 - 3 2 2 - 3
All equally 4 4 - 4 4 4 - 4
Not sure 4 4 - 3 8 8 - 5
Q23. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has been best at saying what they believe rather than saying what they think the voters want to hear: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 3 3 - 4 2 2 - 2
Hillary Clinton 22 22 - 24 21 21 - 20
John Edwards 28 28 - 30 26 26 - 26
Barack Obama 34 34 - 29 41 41 - 41
Another candidate 3 3 - 3 3 3 - 2
All equally 6 6 - 6 4 4 - 5
Not sure 4 4 - 4 3 3 - 4
Q24. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling the war in Iraq: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 4 4 - 4 3 3 - 5
Hillary Clinton 33 33 - 32 34 34 - 37
John Edwards 23 23 - 24 15 15 - 17
Barack Obama 22 22 - 18 27 27 - 28
Other candidate 5 5 - 8 3 3 - 2
All equally 6 6 - 7 7 7 - 3
Not sure 7 7 - 7 11 11 - 8
Q25. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling foreign trade: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 2 - 2 1 1 - 1
Hillary Clinton 40 40 - 39 41 41 - 40
John Edwards 24 24 - 26 14 14 - 18
Barack Obama 15 15 - 13 22 22 - 22
Other candidate 4 4 - 6 3 3 - 4
All equally 3 3 - 4 3 3 - 2
Not sure 12 12 - 10 16 16 - 13
Q26. Do you think Hillary Clinton is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does she need a few more years to prepare, or will she never be prepared enough?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Prepared well enough 79 79 - 80 81 81 - 82
Needs a few more years 6 6 - 5 7 7 - 6
Never be prepared enough 11 11 - 12 9 9 - 10
Not sure 4 4 - 3 3 3 - 2
Q27. Do you think Barack Obama is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Prepared well enough 43 43 - 40 50 50 - 50
Needs a few more years 48 48 - 50 41 41 - 42
Never be prepared enough 4 4 - 5 5 5 - 6
Not sure 5 5 - 5 4 4 - 2
Q28. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on the timing of a troop withdrawal from Iraq, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on the timing of a troop withdrawal from Iraq, but agreed with you on most other issues?
Some voters have a specific issue that is so important to them that they will only consider voting for candidates who share their view. What about you?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Candidate must agree 30 30 - 28 32 32 - 32
Candidate can differ 59 59 - 60 57 57 - 58
Not sure 10 10 - 11 9 9 - 8
Refused 1 1 - 1 2 2 - 2
Q29. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on illegal immigration, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on illegal immigration, but agreed with you on most other issues?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Candidate must agree 22 22 - 18 23 23 - 23
Candidate can differ 66 66 - 71 67 67 - 69
Not sure 11 11 - 11 9 9 - 6
Refused 1 1 - - 1 1 - 2
Q30. In your opinion, do you think Barack Obama's race will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor? Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Issue - positive 16 16 - 12 18 18 - 13
Issue - negative 26 26 - 29 26 26 - 29
Not an issue 46 46 - 48 45 45 - 49
Not sure 11 11 - 11 10 10 - 9
Refused 1 1 - - 1 1 - -
Q31. In your opinion, do you think Hillary Clinton's gender will be an underlying issue in her bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor? Will it be a positive or a negative factor for her?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Issue - positive 18 18 - 14 21 21 - 16
Issue - negative 29 29 - 28 29 29 - 28
No issue 47 47 - 52 42 42 - 48
Not sure 6 6 - 6 7 7 - 8
Refused - - - - 1 1 - -
Q32. Regardless of your choice for president, who has done more negative campaigning: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards or Barack Obama?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 15 15 - 14 16 16 - 16
Hillary Clinton 29 29 - 31 40 40 - 41
John Edwards 12 12 - 12 11 11 - 12
Barack Obama 11 11 - 13 6 6 - 6
Other candidate 1 1 - 1 2 2 - 1
All equally 10 10 - 10 8 8 - 8
Not sure 21 21 - 19 17 17 - 16
Refused 1 1 - - - - - -
(ASKED OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS/ UNDECLARED VOTERS IN ALL SAMPLES WHO PLAN TO VOTE OR LEAN TOWARD VOTING IN A REPUBLICAN PRIMARY OR CAUCUS)
Q33. When it comes time to vote for president in the Republican [primary/caucus] in January, which of these statements comes closest to what you are going to do: "I know I won't get to vote," or "I may get to vote, but I doubt it," or "I may get to vote and I may not," or "I'm pretty sure I will get to vote," or "I know I will vote in the Republican [primary/caucus], unless of course something happens to me between now and then"?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Pr/sure (net) 90 - 100 100 95 - 100 100
I'm pretty sure I will 20 - 22 8 16 - 17 -
I know I will 70 - 78 92 79 - 83 100
Other (net) 10 - - - 5 - - -
I know I won't 3 - - - 2 - - -
I may, but I doubt it 3 - - - 1 - - -
I may and I may not (50-50
chance) 3 - - - 2 - - -
(ASKED OF REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS WHO ARE PRETTY SURE OR KNOW THEY WILL VOTE)
Q34. If the Republican [primary/caucus] for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, California Congressman Duncan Hunter, Arizona Senator John McCain, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson, or Texas Representative Ron Paul for whom would you vote: Giuliani, Huckabee, Hunter, McCain, Romney, Thompson or Paul? I could repeat the names if you wish. Well, as of today do you lean more toward Giuliani, Huckabee, Hunter, McCain, Romney, Thompson or Paul?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Giuliani 6 - 6 8 14 - 14 17
Huckabee 37 - 37 36 9 - 9 12
Hunter 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 1
McCain 11 - 11 8 21 - 21 20
Paul 2 - 2 1 6 - 6 4
Romney 23 - 23 28 34 - 34 34
Thompson 11 - 11 10 4 - 4 4
D/Know 9 - 9 7 11 - 11 8
(ASKED OF REPS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)
Q35. Are you certain you're going to vote for that candidate, or is it possible that you might end up voting for somebody else?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Certain 72 - 72 66 57 - 57 58
Might vote for somebody else 25 - 25 28 42 - 42 41
Not sure 3 - 3 6 1 - 1 1
(ASKED OF REPS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)
Q36. Can you tell me the one particular reason why you are supporting your candidate? By that I mean, either a personal quality or trait, or stand or position your candidate holds that has most attracted you to him or her? Any other reason?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Nothing in particular 5 - 5 7 4 - 4 4
Agree on issues 12 - 12 10 10 - 10 10
Friendly to business 2 - 2 - 2 - 2 1
Budget deficit 1 - 1 - 2 - 2 2
Economy 2 - 2 2 5 - 5 3
Education - - - 1 - - - 1
Environmental issues 2 - 2 3 - - - 1
Foreign affairs 5 - 5 4 6 - 6 7
Foreign trade 1 - 1 1 - - - 1
Gun control - - - - 1 - 1 -
Health care - - - - 2 - 2 2
Can improve homeland security 2 - 2 3 3 - 3 4
Opposed to abortion/pro-life 4 - 4 5 2 - 2 2
Supported war in Iraq 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 2
Keep troops in Iraq/supported
surge 1 - 1 2 - - - -
Social security - - - - 1 - 1 1
Taxes/support Bush tax cuts 2 - 2 1 2 - 2 3
Terrorism/national security 4 - 4 4 3 - 3 3
Best of the lot 2 - 2 2 3 - 3 3
Charismatic 3 - 3 1 1 - 1 1
Can win in november 1 - 1 - - - - 1
Experience/track record 5 - 5 4 15 - 15 16
Family values 8 - 8 8 7 - 7 8
Gay/lesbian issues - - - - 1 - 1 1
Intelligient - - - - 2 - 2 2
Leadership quality 3 - 3 2 7 - 7 9
Military background - - - - 3 - 3 3
Conservative 3 - 3 3 4 - 4 4
Morals/integrity/honesty 14 - 14 17 10 - 10 11
Personal relationship 2 - 2 4 2 - 2 2
Shares my values 11 - 11 8 6 - 6 7
Says what he believes 6 - 6 6 6 - 6 5
True Republican 2 - 2 4 3 - 3 2
Other (specify) 13 - 13 13 8 - 8 6
Not sure 2 - 2 1 4 - 4 3
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 1
(ASKED OF IOWANS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE)
Q37. Do you have a second choice in the Republican caucus for president on January 3rd, or not? Would that be Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Fred Thompson? I could repeat the names if you wish. Well, as of today, do you lean more toward Giuliani, Huckabee, Hunter, McCain, Romney, Thompson or Paul?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
N/2ndch 38 - 38 38 - - - -
Giuliani 7 - 7 5 - - - -
Huckabee 7 - 7 12 - - - -
Hunter 2 - 2 2 - - - -
McCain 8 - 8 6 - - - -
Paul 3 - 3 4 - - - -
Romney 19 - 19 14 - - - -
Thompson 10 - 10 12 - - - -
S/Else 2 - 2 4 - - - -
D/Know 4 - 4 3 - - - -
(ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY/CAUCUS VOTERS)
Q38. Looking to the general election in November. What if Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson were the Republican candidate in the November 2008 general election for President... are there any of those five candidates that you just could not vote for under any circumstances, or would you be willing to vote for all of them? Is there another candidate you could not vote for?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Could not vote for any of them 6 - 6 9 12 - 12 8
Rudy Giuliani 18 - 18 19 10 - 10 10
Mike Huckabee 6 - 6 4 16 - 16 16
John McCain 7 - 7 6 5 - 5 4
Mitt Romney 9 - 9 7 7 - 7 7
Fred Thompson 5 - 5 3 9 - 9 11
Could vote for all of them 42 - 42 45 35 - 35 40
Not sure 13 - 13 14 13 - 13 11
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 2
Q39. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the selection of Republican presidential candidates in the race? Is there any particular person that you would like to see run for president?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Satisfied with candidates 75 - 75 81 75 - 75 78
N/satisf (net) 19 - 19 14 20 - 20 18
Arnold Schwarzenegger - - - 1 1 - 1 -
Mike Bloomberg - - - - 1 - 1 1
Newt Gingrich 2 - 2 1 2 - 2 1
Condoleeza rice 2 - 2 1 - - - -
Other (specify) 3 - 3 3 4 - 4 6
Dissatisfied/not sure 12 - 12 9 12 - 12 10
D/Know (net) 6 - 6 4 5 - 5 4
Q40. Which of the following is most important to you in choosing a candidate for president: their views on social issues, such as abortion and gay rights, or their position on national security and terrorism?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Neither/something else 2 - 2 1 5 - 5 5
Social issues 26 - 26 24 16 - 16 11
National security 52 - 52 52 65 - 65 68
Both/equally 20 - 20 23 13 - 13 15
Not sure - - - - 1 - 1 1
Q41. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has the best chance of beating the Democratic candidate in November: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 -
Rudy Giuliani 11 - 11 13 19 - 19 20
Mike Huckabee 25 - 25 23 5 - 5 5
John McCain 13 - 13 16 23 - 23 22
Mitt Romney 25 - 25 25 37 - 37 38
Fred Thompson 5 - 5 5 - - - 1
Other candidate 1 - 1 - - - - -
All equally 3 - 3 2 2 - 2 3
Not sure 15 - 15 15 12 - 12 10
Refused 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1
Q42. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on social issues, such as abortion and gay rights: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 - 2 1 1 - 1 1
Rudy Giuliani 8 - 8 11 17 - 17 16
Mike Huckabee 44 - 44 36 16 - 16 17
John McCain 3 - 3 3 13 - 13 12
Mitt Romney 22 - 22 24 32 - 32 33
Fred Thompson 11 - 11 13 4 - 4 4
Other candidate 1 - 1 1 3 - 3 2
All equally 2 - 2 1 2 - 2 3
Not sure 7 - 7 10 11 - 11 11
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 1
Q43. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think will substantially change the way things are done in Washington: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney, or Fred Thompson?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 12 - 12 8 10 - 10 9
Rudy Giuliani 8 - 8 9 14 - 14 14
Mike Huckabee 30 - 30 29 9 - 9 10
John McCain 6 - 6 5 20 - 20 21
Mitt Romney 22 - 22 23 30 - 30 31
Fred Thompson 8 - 8 11 2 - 2 3
Other candidate 2 - 2 2 6 - 6 3
All equally 1 - 1 2 2 - 2 2
Not sure 10 - 10 11 7 - 7 7
Refused 1 - 1 - - - - -
Q44. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best in fighting terrorism and protecting national security: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 -
Rudy Giuliani 22 - 22 23 31 - 31 31
Mike Huckabee 14 - 14 14 2 - 2 3
John McCain 30 - 30 29 37 - 37 38
Mitt Romney 11 - 11 11 20 - 20 19
Fred Thompson 11 - 11 12 2 - 2 2
Other candidate 3 - 3 4 1 - 1 1
All equally 1 - 1 2 2 - 2 2
Not sure 7 - 7 4 4 - 4 4
Q45. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best at handling the economy: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 - 2 1 1 - 1 1
Rudy Giuliani 10 - 10 15 14 - 14 17
Mike Huckabee 18 - 18 20 4 - 4 4
John McCain 5 - 5 5 14 - 14 14
Mitt Romney 41 - 41 38 54 - 54 53
Fred Thompson 10 - 10 13 2 - 2 3
Other candidate 1 - 1 - 2 - 2 1
All equally - - - 1 2 - 2 1
Not sure 13 - 13 7 7 - 7 6
Q46. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on taxes: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 4 - 4 2 2 - 2 1
Rudy Giuliani 10 - 10 12 15 - 15 16
Mike Huckabee 18 - 18 21 5 - 5 6
John McCain 6 - 6 8 14 - 14 13
Mitt Romney 23 - 23 29 44 - 44 45
Fred Thompson 17 - 17 16 4 - 4 4
Other candidate 3 - 3 2 2 - 2 1
All equally 1 - 1 2 4 - 4 5
Not sure 18 - 18 8 10 - 10 8
Refused - - - - - - - 1
Q47. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling the war in Iraq: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 2 - 2 1 1 - 1 2
Rudy Giuliani 9 - 9 12 16 - 16 17
Mike Huckabee 12 - 12 14 5 - 5 6
John McCain 40 - 40 36 45 - 45 49
Mitt Romney 11 - 11 13 19 - 19 16
Fred Thompson 11 - 11 13 2 - 2 3
Other candidate 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 1
All equally 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 1
Not sure 13 - 13 9 8 - 8 5
Q48. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling the illegal immigration situation: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 4 - 4 1 2 - 2 2
Rudy Giuliani 7 - 7 10 24 - 24 25
Mike Huckabee 20 - 20 21 4 - 4 5
John McCain 11 - 11 11 15 - 15 17
Mitt Romney 28 - 28 28 33 - 33 31
Fred Thompson 14 - 14 18 3 - 3 5
Other candidate 5 - 5 4 4 - 4 3
All equally 1 - 1 1 3 - 3 2
Not sure 10 - 10 6 12 - 12 10
Q49. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think has been best at saying what they believe, rather than saying what they think the voters want to hear: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Fred Thompson?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 3 - 3 1 1 - 1 1
Rudy Giuliani 7 - 7 8 18 - 18 18
Mike Huckabee 40 - 40 43 12 - 12 13
John McCain 17 - 17 17 39 - 39 39
Mitt Romney 13 - 13 11 17 - 17 17
Fred Thompson 14 - 14 13 4 - 4 4
Another candidate 3 - 3 3 3 - 3 2
All equally 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 2
Not sure 2 - 2 3 4 - 4 4
Q50. Regardless of your choice for president, who do you think would be best on handling foreign affairs: Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Fred Thompson, or Mike Huckabee?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of them 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 1
Rudy Giuliani 11 - 11 12 14 - 14 16
Mike Huckabee 15 - 15 14 2 - 2 3
John McCain 31 - 31 31 42 - 42 46
Mitt Romney 18 - 18 19 26 - 26 22
Fred Thompson 10 - 10 12 2 - 2 3
Other candidate 2 - 2 1 2 - 2 1
All equally 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 1
Not sure 11 - 11 9 10 - 10 7
Q51. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on abortion, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on abortion, but agreed with you on most other issues?
Some voters have a specific issue that is so important to them that they will only consider voting for candidates who share their view. What about you?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Candidate must agree 43 - 43 46 31 - 31 29
Candidate can differ 51 - 51 47 62 - 62 63
Not sure 6 - 6 7 6 - 6 7
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 1
Q52. When voting in your state's primary or caucus, would you only vote for a candidate who agrees with your position on illegal immigration, or would you vote for a candidate who held a different position than you on illegal immigration, but agreed with you on most other issues?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Candidate must agree 47 - 47 49 40 - 40 42
Candidate can differ 48 - 48 47 56 - 56 55
Not sure 5 - 5 4 4 - 4 3
Q53. Do you think Rudy Giuliani is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Prepared well enough 52 - 52 51 61 - 61 62
Needs a few more years 23 - 23 24 21 - 21 21
Never be prepared enough 21 - 21 19 12 - 12 13
Not sure 4 - 4 6 6 - 6 4
Q54. Do you think Mike Huckabee is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Prepared well enough 52 - 52 55 20 - 20 22
Needs a few more years 25 - 25 24 32 - 32 34
Never be prepared enough 14 - 14 14 29 - 29 30
Not sure 9 - 9 7 19 - 19 14
Q55. Do you think Mitt Romney is well prepared for the job as president, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Prepared well enough 70 - 70 74 71 - 71 71
Needs a few more years 16 - 16 14 16 - 16 19
Never be prepared enough 9 - 9 9 8 - 8 6
Not sure 5 - 5 3 5 - 5 4
Q56. Do you think John McCain is well prepared for the job of president of the United States, or does he need a few more years to prepare, or will he never be prepared enough?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Prepared well enough 66 - 66 68 78 - 78 79
Needs a few more years 9 - 9 8 4 - 4 4
Never be prepared enough 20 - 20 19 14 - 14 14
Not sure 5 - 5 5 4 - 4 3
Q57. In your opinion, do you think Mitt Romney's Mormon faith will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor? Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Issue - positive factor 6 - 6 9 7 - 7 6
Issue - negative factor 46 - 46 42 33 - 33 29
Not an issue 44 - 44 46 56 - 56 60
Not sure 4 - 4 3 3 - 3 4
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 1
Q58. In your opinion, do you think Mike Huckabee's Christian conservative belief will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor? Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Issue - positive factor 42 - 42 40 27 - 27 25
Issue - negative factor 15 - 15 16 30 - 30 28
Not an issue 36 - 36 39 35 - 35 40
Not sure 7 - 7 5 7 - 7 6
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 1
Q59. In your opinion, do you think Rudy Giuliani's belief in abortion rights and his stance on other social issues will be an underlying issue in his bid to win the presidential nomination, or will it not be a factor? Will it be a positive or a negative factor for him?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Issue - positive factor 8 - 8 11 12 - 12 11
Issue - negative factor 61 - 61 58 36 - 36 35
Not an issue 24 - 24 25 40 - 40 43
Not sure 7 - 7 6 11 - 11 9
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 2
Q60. Regardless of your choice for president, who has done more negative campaigning: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney, or Fred Thompson?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Neither 13 - 13 13 14 - 14 17
Rudy Giuliani 8 - 8 10 10 - 10 11
Mike Huckabee 9 - 9 7 16 - 16 17
John McCain 6 - 6 8 4 - 4 4
Mitt Romney 35 - 35 35 15 - 15 11
Fred Thompson 3 - 3 4 2 - 2 2
Other candidate 3 - 3 4 1 - 1 1
All equally 3 - 3 2 5 - 5 4
Not sure 20 - 20 17 32 - 32 32
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 1
(ASKED OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS)
Q61. First, I would like to ask you where you usually get most of your information about the upcoming presidential election -- from newspapers articles, or from news broadcasts on television or the radio, or from magazine articles, or from the Internet in such places as blogs, YouTube and emails, or by political organizations contacting you directly, or from campaign commercials, or from talking to friends and acquaintances, or do you not pay all that much attention to the upcoming presidential election? Is there another way you usually get information about the upcoming presidential election that you consider almost as important, or not?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Don't pay much attention 1 - - - 2 1 1 1
Newspapers articles 39 47 37 43 35 35 36 38
Radio news broadcasts 13 9 23 13 22 22 23 23
TV news broadcasts 64 60 55 57 57 56 57 58
Magazine articles 4 6 4 7 5 6 5 6
Internet/blogs/you
tube/emails/etc. 16 21 23 22 24 25 28 25
Political organizations contacting
you 4 7 4 7 2 3 2 2
Campaign commercials in
newspapers, radio & TV 7 8 6 5 6 5 7 5
Talking to friends/acquaintances 8 8 5 8 9 9 9 7
Other (specify) 2 4 3 5 3 4 2 2
Not sure 1 1 - 1 - - - -
Q62. What issue or problem do you consider the top priority for candidates running for president to address this election: Is it the war in Iraq, or national security, or the economy, or education, or taxes, or morality and family values, or healthcare issues, or illegal immigration, or ethics in government or other social issues, such as abortion and gay rights, or is there another issue? I could repeat these if you wish.
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
None of these/all of these 9 8 4 7 8 8 6 7
War in Iraq 37 43 31 37 35 42 28 38
National security 11 7 28 15 14 4 29 18
Economy 23 28 19 28 27 26 29 27
Education 9 10 3 10 6 7 3 4
Taxes 6 2 7 3 5 4 8 6
Morality and family values 7 2 16 6 4 1 7 3
Healthcare issues 27 39 9 30 24 35 10 22
Illegal immigration 14 8 23 10 15 6 27 17
Ethics in govt. 4 6 5 5 5 7 3 4
Other social issues 4 3 8 7 6 4 9 3
Other (specify) 3 4 2 3 6 9 3 6
Not sure 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1
Q63. Which of these statements comes closer to your view: "A presidential candidate's religious beliefs and his relationship with God should play a part in his campaign," or "A presidential candidate's religious beliefs and his relationship with God are personal and should not be part of his campaign"?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Play a part 35 22 54 32 22 15 30 25
Should not play a part 57 71 42 61 73 80 65 71
Not sure 7 6 4 6 4 4 4 3
Refused 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1
Q64. If you found out that a presidential candidate you support had, in the past, had an extramarital affair, would that affect your support of that candidate, or not? Once you knew that, would you be more or less likely to support that candidate?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
No effect 57 73 39 65 61 72 52 66
More likely 13 8 22 10 12 7 18 10
Less likely 18 11 27 15 14 8 20 13
It depends 8 5 9 7 9 9 8 8
Not sure 4 3 3 3 3 4 1 2
Refused - - - - 1 - 1 1
Q65. If you found out that a presidential candidate you support had, in the past, occasionally used illegal drugs, would that affect your support of that candidate, or not? Once you knew that, would you be more or less likely to support that candidate?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
No effect 56 73 51 65 67 76 59 70
More likely 12 9 11 11 8 5 11 8
Less likely 15 7 19 11 10 5 14 8
It depends 13 10 15 12 12 10 13 11
Not sure 3 1 2 1 2 3 2 2
Refused 1 - 2 - 1 1 1 1
Q66. Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Right direction 22 8 53 23 21 8 40 24
Wrong track 69 89 40 73 72 88 49 68
Not sure 9 3 7 4 6 4 9 7
Refused - - - - 1 - 2 1
Q67. Generally speaking, do you think the nation's economy these days is doing very well, or fairly well, or fairly badly, or very badly?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Well (net) 44 28 74 42 39 21 64 43
Very well 5 2 12 6 5 2 10 6
Fairly well 39 26 62 36 34 19 55 36
Badly (net) 52 70 25 56 59 77 34 55
Fairly badly 31 37 17 27 35 47 21 35
Very badly 21 33 8 29 23 30 12 21
D/Know (net) 4 2 1 2 2 2 2 2
Q68. All in all, do you think the situation in Iraq was worth going to war over, or not?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Yes, worth going to war 35 12 73 28 28 8 56 32
No, not worth going to war 57 83 21 66 65 90 34 63
Not sure 7 5 5 6 6 2 9 4
Refused 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1
Q69. In your opinion, should the United States withdraw troops from Iraq right away, or should the U.S. begin bringing troops home within the next year, or should troops stay in Iraq for as long as it takes to win the war?
IAREG IADEM IAREP IALKL NHREG NHDEM NHREP NHLKL
Troops home right away 20 28 3 24 22 33 7 19
Within the next year 46 60 26 47 46 55 34 46
Long as it takes 28 7 68 25 27 9 54 31
Not sure 6 4 3 4 4 3 4 3
Refused - 1 - - 1 - 1 1