USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

 

OCTOBER WAVE 1

 

-- FINAL TOPLINE --

 

 

 

October 10-12, 2008

 

Results are based on telephone interviews with –1,269—national adults, aged 18+, conducted October 10-12, 2008.  For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

 

For results based on the sample of –1,201—registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

 

Results for likely voters (likely voter model I) are based on the subsample of –825—survey respondents deemed most likely to vote in the November 2008 General Election, according to a series of questions measuring current voting intentions and past voting behavior. For results based on the total sample of likely voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points. The likely voter model assumes a turnout of 60% of national adults.  The likely voter sample is weighted to match this assumption, so the weighted sample size is 761.

 

Results for likely voters (likely voter model II) are based on the subsample of –1,030—survey respondents deemed most likely to vote in the November 2008 General Election, according to a series of questions measuring current voting intentions only. For results based on the total sample of likely voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. This model does not make any assumptions about probable turnout level. 

 

Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones (for respondents with a landline telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell phone only). 

 

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

 


First, we have some questions about the election for president, which will be held in November of this year. 

 

1A.          How much thought have you given to the upcoming election for president -- quite a lot, or only a little?

 

               

Quite
a lot

SOME
 (vol.)

Only
a little


None

No
opinion

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

87

2

9

1

*

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Sep 5-7

80

4

15

1

*

2008 Aug 21-23

74

3

19

3

1

2008 Jul 25-27

70

2

24

3

1

2008 Jun 15-19

75

3

19

3

*

2008 May 30-June 1

73

3

20

3

1

2008 May 1-3

74

3

20

2

1

2008 Apr 18-20

75

2

19

2

1

2008 Mar 14-16

75

3

19

1

1

2008 Feb 21-24

72

5

20

3

1

2008 Feb 8-10

76

3

18

2

*

2008 Jan 30-Feb 2

71

3

24

2

*

2008 Jan 10-13

64

5

27

3

1

2007 Aug 3-5

55

5

37

3

*

2007 Mar 2-4

48

3

46

2

*

 

1B-1E. LIKELY VOTER QUESTIONS NOT REPORTED

 

 


 

2.             Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidates and John McCain and Sarah Palin as the Republican candidates.  Would you vote for-- [ROTATED: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats (or) John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans]?

 

2A.          (Asked of those who are undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATED: Obama and Biden, the Democrats (or) McCain and Palin, the Republicans]?

 

2008 Oct 10-12


Obama


McCain

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

 

 

 

 

 

 

Likely voter I

50

46

*

1

2

Likely voter II

52

45

*

1

2

Registered voters

51

44

1

2

3

 

                Notes:    

                Likely voter I is the likely voter estimate using the traditional Gallup likely voter model, with likely voters determined on the basis of a series of questions measuring current voting intention and past voting behavior.

Likely voter II is an alternative likely voter estimate using a series of questions measuring current voting intention only. 

 

                TREND RESULTS:

 

 


Obama


McCain

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

 

 

 

 

 

 

Likely Voter I

2008 Oct 10-12

50

46

*

1

2

2008 Sep 5-7

44

54

*

1

1

2008 Aug 21-23

48

45

1

3

3

2008 Jul 25-27

45

49

1

1

4

2008 Jun 15-19

50

44

1

2

3

2008 May 30-Jun 1

49

44

1

4

2

2008 May 1-3

47

48

1

3

1

2008 Apr 18-20

49

44

1

3

3

2008 Mar 14-16

49

47

1

1

2

2008 Feb 21-24

47

48

1

2

2

2008 Feb 8-10

50

46

*

2

1

2008 Jan 10-13

45

50

1

2

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

Likely Voter II

2008 Oct 10-12

52

45

*

1

2

2008 Sep 5-7

46

51

1

1

2

2008 Aug 21-23

50

43

1

3

3

 

                  NOTE: Vice presidential candidates’ names added for Sep 5-7 poll.

 

               Q.2/2A continued on next page

 

 

 


 

Q.2/2A (PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION TRIAL HEAT) CONTINUED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Obama


McCain

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

Registered Voters

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

51

44

1

2

3

2008 Sep 5-7

46

50

1

2

2

2008 Aug 21-23

47

43

1

5

4

2008 Jul 25-27

47

44

1

3

5

2008 Jun 15-19

48

42

1

4

5

2008 May 30-Jun 1

47

44

1

5

3

2008 May 1-3

45

47

1

5

2

2008 Apr 18-20

47

44

2

4

4

2008 Mar 14-16

48

47

1

2

3

2008 Feb 21-24

49

45

1

3

2

2008 Feb 8-10

49

46

1

3

2

2008 Jan 10-13

44

50

*

2

3

2007 Nov 11-14

47

44

*

6

4

2007 Jun 11-14

48

46

*

3

2

2007 Feb 9-11

48

48

*

2

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

National Adults

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

51

43

1

2

3

2008 Sep 5-7

46

48

1

3

2

2008 Aug 21-23

49

41

1

5

4

2008 Jul 25-27

47

42

1

4

6

2008 Jun 15-19

49

41

1

4

5

2008 May 30-Jun 1

47

43

1

6

3

2008 May 1-3

46

45

1

5

3

2008 Apr 18-20

48

42

2

5

3

2008 Mar 14-16

47

46

1

3

3

2008 Feb 21-24

51

43

1

3

2

2008 Feb 8-10

49

45

1

3

2

2008 Jan 10-13

46

48

*

3

2

2007 Nov 11-14

47

42

*

7

5

2007 Jun 11-14

48

45

*

4

3

2007 Feb 9-11

47

48

*

2

3

 

 

 

 

 


 

3.             Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic than usual about voting, or less enthusiastic?

 

                NOTE:  TREND FOR PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

               

 

More
enthusiastic

Less
enthusiastic


Same (vol.)

No
opinion

Registered Voters

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

62

27

11

1

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Sep 5-7

64

21

14

1

2008 Aug 30-31 †

54

28

17

2

2008 Aug 21-23

48

37

14

1

2008 Jun 15-19

48

37

14

1

2008 Feb 8-10

63

29

8

*

2008 Jan 10-13 ^

62

28

10

1

2004 Oct 14-16 ^

67

21

12

*

2004 Sep 3-5 ^

65

23

11

1

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

60

29

11

--

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 ^

69

22

9

--

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

60

25

14

1

2004 Mar 26-28

52

29

18

1

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

56

32

12

*

2000 Oct 13-15

38

39

20

3

2000 Mar 10-12

39

38

22

1

2000 Jan 7-10

45

37

17

1

1996 Oct 23-24

17

36

45

2

 

 

 

 

 

National Adults

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

60

28

10

1

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Sep 5-7

62

23

14

1

2008 Aug 30-31 †

51

30

16

4

2008 Aug 21-23

48

38

13

1

2008 Jun 15-19

48

37

14

1

2008 Feb 8-10

62

30

7

1

2008 Jan 10-13 ^

60

29

10

1

2004 Oct 14-16 ^

65

23

11

1

2004 Sep 3-5 ^

64

24

11

1

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

57

32

10

1

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 ^

67

25

8

*

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

59

27

13

1

2004 Mar 26-28

51

32

16

1

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

55

34

10

1

2000 Mar 10-12

37

40

21

2

2000 Jan 7-10

43

38

17

2

 

 

^

Asked of half sample.

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup daily tracking survey

 

 

               

 

4.             Which of the following applies to you – you have already voted in this year’s election, either by absentee ballot or early voting opportunities in your state, you plan to vote before Election Day, either by absentee ballot or early voting opportunities in your state, or you plan to vote on Election Day itself?

 

               




Already
voted

Plan to vote before Election Day


Plan to vote on Election Day itself



Do not
plan
to vote



Not registered to vote




No
opinion

Registered Voters

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

4

20

73

3

--

*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 Oct 29-31

17

4

77

2

--

*

2004 Oct 22-24

9

13

76

2

--

*

2004 Oct 14-16

3

14

80

3

--

*

2004 Oct 9-10

1

14

83

1

--

1

2004 Oct 1-3

1

13

83

3

--

*

2004 Sep 24-26

1

16

79

3

--

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National Adults

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

4

18

68

3

7

*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004 Oct 29-31

15

4

69

2

10

*

2004 Oct 22-24

9

12

71

1

7

*

2004 Oct 14-16

3

12

73

3

9

*

2004 Oct 9-10

1

13

73

1

11

1

2004 Oct 1-3

1

12

74

3

10

*

2004 Sep 24-26

1

14

70

3

11

1

 


 

Now, turning to this year’s congressional elections,

 

5.             If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district -- [ROTATE: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate]? 

 

5A.          As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATE: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate]?

 

2008 Oct 10-12

Democratic
candidate

Republican
candidate

Other/
undecided

 

 

 

 

Likely voter I

51

45

5

Likely voter II

51

45

5

Registered voters

51

44

6

 

                   Note:  See Q.2/2a for description of likely voter groups

 

               

                TREND RESULTS:

 



Democratic
candidate

Republican
candidate

Other/
undecided

 

 

 

 

Likely Voter I

2008 Oct 10-12

51

45

5

2008 Sep 5-7

45

50

6

2008 Aug 21-23

51

42

7

2008 Jun 15-19

52

42

7

2008 Feb 8-10

55

41

3

 

 

 

 

Likely Voter II

2008 Oct 10-12

51

45

5

2008 Sep 5-7

47

48

6

2008 Aug 21-23

51

42

7

 

 

 

 

Registered Voters

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

51

44

6

2008 Sep 5-7

48

45

8

2008 Aug 21-23

51

40

10

2008 Jun 15-19

51

40

9

2008 Feb 8-10

55

40

4

2007 Dec 14-16

53

40

7

 

 

 

 

National Adults

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

51

43

7

2008 Sep 5-7

48

44

8

2008 Aug 21-23

53

38

10

2008 Jun 15-19

52

40

9

2008 Feb 8-10

56

40

4

2007 Dec 14-16

53

39

9

 


 

Next,

 

6.             Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

 

 


Approve

Dis-approve

No
opinion

 

 


Approve

Dis-approve

No
opinion

2008

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

25

71

4

 

2007 Mar 11-14

35

61

4

 

 

 

 

 

2007 Mar 2-4

33

63

4

2008 Oct 3-5

25

70

6

 

2007 Feb 9-11

37

59

3

2008 Sep 26-27

27

69

4

 

2007 Feb 1-4

32

65

4

2008 Sep 8-11

31

65

4

 

2007 Jan 15-18

36

61

3

2008 Sep 5-7

33

64

3

 

2007 Jan 12-14

34

63

4

2008 Aug 21-23

29

66

5

 

2007 Jan 5-7

37

59

4

2008 Aug 7-10

33

61

6

 

2006

 

 

 

2008 Jul 25-27

32

65

3

 

2006 Dec 11-14

35

61

4

2008 Jul 10-13

31

61

8

 

2006 Dec 8-10

38

59

4

2008 Jun 15-19

28

68

4

 

2006 Nov 9-12

33

62

4

2008 Jun 9-12

30

64

6

 

2006 Nov 2-5

38

56

6

2008 May 30-Jun 1

28

68

4

 

2006 Oct 20-22

37

58

4

2008 May 8-11

29

65

6

 

2006 Oct 9-12

37

57

6

2008 May 1-3

28

67

5

 

2006 Oct 6-8

37

59

4

2008 Apr 18-20

28

69

4

 

2006 Sep 15-17

44

51

5

2008 Apr 6-9

28

67

5

 

2006 Sep 7-10

39

56

5

2008 Mar 14-16

32

64

4

 

2006 Aug 18-20

42

54

4

2008 Mar 6-9

32

64

4

 

2006 Aug 7-10

37

59

4

2008 Feb 21-24

32

62

5

 

2006 Jul 28-30

40

56

4

2008 Feb 11-14

31

65

4

 

2006 Jul 21-23

37

59

4

2008 Feb 8-10

33

61

5

 

2006 Jul 6-9

40

55

5

2008 Jan 30-Feb 2

34

61

5

 

2006 Jun 23-25

37

60

3

2008 Jan 10-13

34

60

6

 

2006 Jun 9-11

38

56

6

2008 Jan 4-6

32

64

4

 

2006 Jun 1-4

36

57

6

2007

 

 

 

 

2006 May 8-11

33

61

6

2007 Dec 14-16

32

65

3

 

2006 May 5-7

31

65

5

2007 Dec 6-9

37

57

5

 

2006 Apr 28-30

34

63

3

2007 Nov 30-Dec 2

34

62

4

 

2006 Apr 10-13

36

59

5

2007 Nov 11-14

32

61

7

 

2006 Apr 7-9

37

60

3

2007 Nov 2-4

31

64

5

 

2006 Mar 13-16

37

59

5

2007 Oct 12-14

32

64

3

 

2006 Mar 10-12

36

60

4

2007 Oct 4-7

32

64

4

 

2006 Feb 28-Mar 1

38

60

2

2007 Sep 14-16

36

62

2

 

2006 Feb 9-12

39

56

4

2007 Sep 7-8

33

62

5

 

2006 Feb 6-9

42

55

4

2007 Aug 13-16

32

63

5

 

2006 Jan 20-22

43

54

4

2007 Aug 3-5

34

62

4

 

2006 Jan 9-12

43

53

4

2007 Jul 12-15

31

63

6

 

2006 Jan 6-8

43

54

3

2007 Jul 6-8

29

66

5

 

2005

 

 

 

2007 Jun 11-14

32

65

3

 

2005 Dec 19-22

43

53

4

2007 Jun 1-3

32

62

6

 

2005 Dec 16-18

41

56

3

2007 May 10-13

33

62

5

 

2005 Dec 9-11

42

55

3

2007 May 4-6

34

63

3

 

2005 Dec 5-8

43

52

5

2007 Apr 13-15

36

60

4

 

2005 Nov 17-20

38

57

5

2007 Apr 2-5

38

58

4

 

2005 Nov 11-13

37

60

3

2007 Mar 23-25

34

62

4

 

2005 Nov 7-10

40

55

5

 

 

7.             In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

 

 

Satisfied

Dis-
satisfied

No
opinion

 

 

Satisfied

Dis-
satisfied

No
opinion

 

2008

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

7

91

1

 

2005 Oct 24-26

35

63

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005 Oct 13-16

31

68

1

 

2008 Oct 3-5

9

90

1

 

2005 Sep 26-28

39

59

2

 

2008 Sep 8-11

21

77

2

 

2005 Sep 12-15

34

65

1

 

2008 Aug 21-23

18

81

1

 

2005 Aug 22-25

34

62

4

 

2008 Aug 7-10

17

80

3

 

2005 Aug 8-11

37

60

3

 

2008 Jul 10-13

17

81

2

 

2005 Jul 25-28            

40

58

2

 

2008 Jun 9-12

14

84

2

 

2005 Jul 7-10

42

57

1

 

2008 May 8-11

14

85

1

 

2005 Jun 16-19

42

56

2

 

2008 Apr 6-9

15

83

1

 

2005 Jun 6-8

38

60

2

 

2008 Mar 6-9

19

80

2

 

2005 May 23-26

41

55

4

 

2008 Feb 11-14

20

78

2

 

2005 May 2-5

39

58

3

 

2008 Jan 4-6

24

73

3

 

2005 Apr 4-7

38

59

3

 

2007

 

 

 

 

2005 Mar 21-23

38

59

3

 

2007 Dec 6-9

27

70

3

 

2005 Mar 7-10

42

56

2

 

2007 Nov 11-14

20

76

3

 

2005 Feb 21-24

45

52

3

 

2007 Oct 12-14

26

72

2

 

2005 Feb 7-10

46

52

2

 

2007 Oct 4-7

25

73

2

 

2005 Jan 3-5

46

53

1

 

2007 Sep 14-16

28

71

2

 

2004

 

 

 

 

2007 Aug 13-16

24

73

3

 

2004 Dec 5-8

45

53

2

 

2007 Jul 12-15

27

71

3

 

2004 Nov 7-10

44

54

2

 

2007 Jun 11-14

24

74

2

 

2004 Oct 29-31 ^

44

53

3

 

2007 May 10-13

25

73

2

 

2004 Oct 11-14

41

57

2

 

2007 Apr 2-5

33

65

2

 

2004 Sep 13-15

41

56

3

 

2007 Mar 11-14

30

68

2

 

2004 Aug 9-11

44

55

1

 

2007 Feb 1-4

34

64

2

 

2004 Jul 8-11

41

57

2

 

2007 Jan 15-18

35

63

2

 

2004 Jun 3-6

39

59

2

 

2006

 

 

 

 

2004 May 7-9

37

62

1

 

2006 Dec 11-14

30

69

1

 

2004 May 2-4

36

62

2

 

2006 Nov 9-12

31

67

2

 

2004 Apr 5-8

41

57

2

 

2006 Nov 2-5

35

61

4

 

2004 Mar 8-11

39

60

1

 

2006 Oct 9-12

30

68

2

 

2004 Feb 9-12

45

54

1

 

2006 Sep 7-10

32

67

2

 

2004 Jan 12-15

46

53

1

 

2006 Aug 7-10

28

69

3

 

2004 Jan 2-5

55

43

2

 

2006 Jul 21-23

33

65

2

 

2003

 

 

 

 

2006 Jul 6-9

32

65

3

 

2003 Dec 11-14

50

48

2

 

2006 Jun 1-4

30

67

2

 

2003 Nov 3-5

44

54

2

 

2006 May 8-11

25

72

3

 

2003 Oct 6-8

41

57

2

 

2006 Apr 10-13

27

71

2

 

2003 Sep 8-10

40

58

2

 

2006 Mar 13-16

29

68

2

 

2003 Aug 4-6

46

52

2

 

2006 Feb 6-9

35

62

3

 

2003 Jul 7-9

50

48

2

 

2006 Jan 20-22

35

62

3

 

2003 Jun 12-15

47

51

2

 

2006 Jan 9-12

36

61

3

 

2003 May 5-7

54

45

1

 

2005

 

 

 

 

2003 Apr 7-9

55

41

4

 

2005 Dec 19-22

36

62

2

 

2003 Mar 22-23

60

38

2

 

2005 Dec 5-8

35

62

3

 

2003 Mar 3-5

36

61

3

 

2005 Nov 17-20

36

62

2

 

2003 Feb 17-19

39

58

3

 

2005 Nov 7-10

31

66

3

 

2003 Feb 3-6

40

58

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

 

 

 

               


 

 

 

16.        Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news.  As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.  How about -- [ITEMS A-B READ IN RANDOM ORDER, THEN ITEMS C-D READ IN RANDOM ORDER]?

 

A.  John McCain

 

               

 

Favor-able

Unfavor-able

No opinion

 

 

Favor-able

Unfavor-able

No opinion

2008

 

 

 

 

2007

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

56

41

2

 

2007 Apr 13-15

51

32

16

 

 

 

 

 

2007 Apr 2-5

57

26

17

2008 Oct 3-5

55

40

4

 

2007 Mar 23-25

51

28

21

2008 Sep 5-7

63

33

4

 

2007 Mar 2-4

57

25

18

2008 Aug 30-31 ‡

54

38

8

 

2007 Feb 9-11

57

26

17

2008 Aug 21-23

59

36

5

 

2007 Jan 5-7

48

24

28

2008 Jul 25-27

62

33

5

 

2006

 

 

 

2008 Jun 15-19

59

35

6

 

2006 Nov 9-12

54

23

23

2008 May 30-Jun 1

56

37

7

 

2006 Jun 23-25

56

25

19

2008 May 1-3

62

30

8

 

2005

 

 

 

2008 Apr 18 -20

60

33

8

 

2005 Jul 25-28

51

22

27

2008 Mar 14-16

67

27

7

 

2004

 

 

 

2008 Feb 21-24

56

33

11

 

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

55

19

26

2008 Feb 8-10

54

36

10

 

2004 Mar 26-28

53

21

26

2008 Jan 30-Feb 2

56

32

13

 

2002

 

 

 

2008 Jan 10-13 ^

59

29

13

 

2002 Apr 29-May 1 †

53

21

26

2007

 

 

 

 

2001

 

 

 

2007 Dec 14-16

54

30

16

 

2001 Jun 8-10 †

60

21

19

2007 Nov 30-Dec 2

55

30

15

 

2001 Mar 9-11 ♠

61

15

24

2007 Nov 2-4

47

34

19

 

2000

 

 

 

2007 Oct 12-14

46

37

17

 

2000 Apr 28-30  †

61

18

21

2007 Oct 4-7

46

31

22

 

2000 Mar 10-12 †

57

28

15

2007 Sep 14-16

53

34

12

 

2000 Feb 25-27 †

66

18

16

2007 Sep 7-8

46

32

21

 

2000 Feb 20-21 †

65

17

18

2007 Aug 13-16

45

37

18

 

2000 Feb 4-6 †

67

12

21

2007 Aug 3-5

41

42

17

 

2000 Jan 17-19 †

51

17

32

2007 Jul 12-15

41

36

22

 

1999

 

 

 

2007 Jul 6-8

46

35

19

 

1999 Dec 9-12 †

57

11

32

2007 Jun 1-3

47

33

20

 

1999 Oct 21-24 †

37

12

51

2007 May 10-13

54

27

19

 

1999 Apr 13-14 †

35

12

53

2007 May 4-6

50

30

20

 

1999 Feb 19-21 †

27

8

65

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

^

Asked of a half sample.

 

WORDING: Arizona Senator John McCain

 

WORDING: Senator John McCain

 

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

 

 

 


Q.16 (FAVORABLES) CONTINUED

 

                B.  Barack Obama

 

 

Favorable

Unfavorable

Never heard of

No opinion

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

62

35

*

2

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 3-5

62

34

*

3

2008 Sep 5-7

62

35

*

3

2008 Aug 30-31 †

61

32

1

7

2008 Aug 21-23

63

32

1

4

2008 Jul 25-27

61

35

3

1

2008 Jun 15-19

64

31

1

4

2008 May 30-Jun 1

58

37

*

5

2008 May 1-3

58

37

1

4

2008 Apr 18-20

60

34

1

5

2008 Mar 14-16

62

33

1

5

2008 Feb 21-24

61

32

1

6

2008 Feb 8-10

58

34

3

5

2008 Jan 30-Feb 2

59

32

3

5

2008 Jan 10-13

59

32

3

6

2007 Dec 14-16

57

30

4

9

2007 Nov 30-Dec 2

53

33

7

6

2007 Nov 2-4

53

30

7

10

2007 Oct 12-14

53

32

6

9

2007 Oct 4-7

54

27

11

8

2007 Sep 14-16

56

29

8

7

2007 Sep 7-8

48

32

11

10

2007 Aug 13-16

52

29

9

10

2007 Aug 3-5

48

34

9

9

2007 Jul 12-15

49

26

11

14

2007 Jul 6-8

53

27

11

10

2007 Jun 1-3

53

25

10

13

2007 May 10-13

55

20

16

9

2007 May 4-6

50

24

13

12

2007 Apr 13-15

52

27

10

10

2007 Apr 2-5

49

24

14

12

2007 Mar 23-25

53

24

14

9

2007 Mar 2-4

58

18

15

9

2007 Feb 9-11

53

19

16

12

2006 Dec 8-10 ^

42

11

33

14

 

 

 

 

 

^

WORDING: Illinois Senator, Barack Obama.

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

 


 

Q.16 (FAVORABLES) CONTINUED

 

C. The Republican Party

 

 

 

Favor-able

Unfavor-able

No opinion

 

 

Favor-able

Unfavor-able

No opinion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

40

53

6

 

2004 Jan 2-5

52

40

8

 

 

 

 

 

2003 Sep 8-10

50

44

6

2008 Sep 8-11

43

53

5

 

2003 Mar 29-30

56

33

11

2008 Sep 5-7

47

47

6

 

2003 Jan 3-5

51

38

11

2008 Aug 30-31 ‡

39

51

10

 

2002 Dec 16-17

51

38

11

2008 Aug 21-23

39

52

9

 

2002 Nov 8-10

54

38

8

2008 Apr 18-20

39

53

8

 

2002 Oct 21-22

53

35

12

2008 Feb 8-10

41

52

7

 

2002 Sep 5-8

54

40

6

2008 Jan 10-13

42

49

8

 

2002 Jul 26-28

55

36

9

2007 Nov 2-4

40

50

11

 

2002 Jan 11-14

61

30

9

2007 Sep 14-16

38

59

4

 

2001 Sep 7-10

47

48

5

2007 Jul 6-8

36

56

8

 

2000 Nov 13-15

49

43

8

2007 Apr 13-15

42

51

7

 

2000 Aug 4-5

54

37

9

2006 Nov 9-12

35

58

7

 

2000 Jul 25-26

49

39

12

2006 Oct 6-8

37

55

8

 

2000 Jan 7-10

53

41

6

2006 Sep 7-10

42

53

4

 

1999 Nov 18-21

50

44

6

2006 Jul 28-30

43

50

8

 

1999 Apr 30-May 2

47

44

9

2006 Apr 28-30

36

58

5

 

1999 Feb 19-21

45

46

9

2005 Dec 16-18

45

48

7

 

1999 Feb 12-13

40

54

6

2005 Oct 13-16

40

50

10

 

1999 Feb 4-8

45

47

8

2005 Sep 8-11

45

45

10

 

1999 Jan 8-10

40

52

8

2005 Jul 22-24

46

45

9

 

1998 Dec 19-20

31

57

12

2005 Apr 1-2

50

44

6

 

1998 Dec 15-16

43

47

10

2005 Feb 25-27

51

42

7

 

1997 Oct 27-29

50

42

8

2005 Feb 4-6

56

39

5

 

1996 Aug 30-Sep 1 †

50

45

5

2004 Sep 13-15

55

41

4

 

1996 Aug 16-18 †

55

41

3

2004 Sep 3-5

53

40

7

 

1996 Aug 5-7 †

51

44

5

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

50

41

9

 

1996 Apr 9-10

52

41

7

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

47

45

8

 

1995 Apr 17-19

52

42

6

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

50

43

7

 

1992 Jul 6-8 †

53

39

8

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

48

45

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

^

Asked of a half sample.

 

Based on registered voters.

 

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

 

 


Q.16 (FAVORABLES) CONTINUED

 

                D. The Democratic Party

 

 

 

Favor-able

Unfavor-able

No opinion

 

 

Favor-able

Unfavor-able

No opinion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Oct 10-12

53

42

6

 

2004 Jan 2-5

47

44

9

 

 

 

 

 

2003 Sep 8-10

49

45

6

2008 Sep 8-11

53

42

6

 

2003 Mar 29-30

49

39

12

2008 Sep 5-7

51

43

6

 

2003 Jan 3-5

52

36

12

2008 Aug 30-31 ‡

54

37

9

 

2002 Dec 16-17

52

37

11

2008 Aug 21-23

55

38

7

 

2002 Nov 8-10

48

42

10

2008 Apr 18-20

56

36

8

 

2002 Oct 21-22

58

30

12

2008 Feb 8-10

56

38

6

 

2002 Sep 5-8

56

38

6

2008 Jan 10-13

55

36

9

 

2002 Jul 26-28

55

34

11

2007 Nov 2-4

54

37

10

 

2002 Jan 11-14

55

33

12

2007 Sep 14-16

53

43

4

 

2001 Sep 7-10

56

38

6

2007 Jul 6-8

51

41

9

 

2000 Nov 13-15

53

38

9

2007 Apr 13-15

55

38

7

 

2000 Aug 4-5

53

38

9

2006 Nov 9-12

57

33

9

 

2000 Jul 25-26

56

35

9

2006 Oct 6-8

52

38

10

 

2000 Jan 7-10

61

33

6

2006 Sep 7-10

54

40

5

 

1999 Nov 18-21

51

41

8

2006 Jul 28-30

52

40

8

 

1999 Apr 30-May 2

53

37

10

2006 Apr 28-30

48

45

8

 

1999 Feb 19-21

55

37

8

2005 Dec 16-18

46

45

9

 

1999 Feb 12-13

56

38

6

2005 Oct 13-16

52

36

12

 

1999 Feb 4-8

57

37

6

2005 Sep 8-11

47

41

12

 

1999 Jan 8-10

57

35

8

2005 Jul 22-24

52

38

10

 

1998 Dec 19-20

57

30

13

2005 Apr 1-2

50

42

8

 

1998 Dec 15-16

58

32

10

2005 Feb 25-27

52

41

7

 

1997 Oct 27-29

54

39

7

2005 Feb 4-6

46

47

7

 

1996 Aug 30-Sep 1 †

60

36

4

2004 Sep 13-15

49

45

6

 

1996 Aug 16-18 †

55

41

4

2004 Sep 3-5

50

41

9

 

1996 Aug 5-7 †

57

38

5

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

54

36

10

 

1996 Apr 9-10

55

38

7

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

55

37

8

 

1995 Apr 17-19

51

43

6

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

48

41

11

 

1992 Jul 6-8 †

54

38

8

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

59

34

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

^

Asked of a half sample.

 

Based on registered voters.

 

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey