For Immediate Release                                                                     Media Contact: Laura Ward, Strategic Vision, LLC

                                                                                                                Ph: (404) 880-0098

                                                                                                                Email: lward@strategicvision.biz

 

 

 

Clinton Leads Obama 49% to 40%

McCain Leads Both Democrats

President’s Approval Rating At 23%

 

Atlanta, GA/April 16, 2008 – Strategic Vision, LLC, an Atlanta-headquartered public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 1200 likely voters in Pennsylvania on various political issues.  The poll has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. For the poll, 576 (48%) identified themselves as Democrats; 504 (42%) identified themselves as Republicans; and 120 (10%) identified themselves as Independent or other party affiliation. 

 

The results of the poll showed that 23% of those polled approved of President Bush’s overall job performance; with 71% disapproving; and 6% undecided.  When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the economy, 15% approved; 79% disapproved; and 6% were undecided.  On the issue of Iraq, the poll found 31% approved of the President’s handling of the war; with 63% disapproving; and 6% undecided.  When asked about the President’s handling of the war on terrorism, 52% approved; 37% disapproved; and 11% were undecided. 

 

“The economy is the number one issue for Pennsylvanians,” said David E. Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision, LLC.  “The problem for the President is that voters squarely blame him for the economic woes.  Over the past week with the worsening economic news, his approval numbers in this area have eroded even further, even among voters who describe themselves as hardcore Republicans.  The one sign of encouragement for the President is that his approval numbers for the war in Iraq continues to inch upward.”

 

When Republican respondents were asked if they saw President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 8% said yes; 77% said no; and 15% were undecided.

 

“The President continues to poll low among Republicans when asked if he is a strong conservative and this is yet another reason for his low job approval,” said Johnson. “Conservatives who were once his most stalwart supporters are now lukewarm about him.”

 

When asked if they favored an immediate withdrawal of United States military forces from Iraq within 6 months, 40% said yes; 47% said no; and 13% were undecided.

 

“Support for immediate withdrawal from Iraq has eroded dramatically in the but this is still a very volatile issue,” said Johnson.  “The Congressional hearings over the past week actually appears to have given some impetus to those who do not want to impose a deadline on withdrawal and this could benefit John McCain in November.”

 

When asked if voters approved or disapproved of the way Congress is handling its job, 14% approved; 71% disapproved; and 15% were undecided.

 

“These numbers should be of concern to both Democrats and Republicans alike as this could be setting up the November Election as a vote against incumbents of all Parties,” said Johnson.

 

When voters were asked if they approved or disapproved of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance, 55% approved; 38% disapproved; and 7% were undecided.  When asked if they approved or disapproved of Senator Arlen Specter’s job performance, 52% approved; 35%; disapproved; and 13% were undecided.  When asked if they approved or disapproved of Senator Bob Casey’s job approval, 49% approved; 37% disapproved; and 14% were undecided.

 

When Democratic primary voters were asked if they agreed with Obama saying that in small towns in Pennsylvania, people “cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations,” 31% agreed with the remarks; 55% disagreed, and 14% were undecided.

 

When Democrats were asked their choices for President in 2008, the results were New York Senator Hillary Clinton 49%; Illinois Senator Barack Obama 40%; and 11% undecided.

 

“Clinton increased her support by two points compared to our poll last week while Obama lost two points,” said Johnson.  “A key loss for Obama was among blue collar Catholic voters who had begun trending towards Obama in our last two polls.  How much of this can be attributed to the controversy surrounding his ‘bitter’ remarks remain unclear but at this time Clinton has definitely regained some momentum. Senator Clinton leads in double digits among voters who describe themselves as gun owners or people of faith.  Most ominously for both candidates is that a growing number of voters say that they will not support the Democratic nominee in November if their candidate loses.”

 

When Democratic voters asked what was most important to them, a candidate who represented change or one with experience, 41% said change; 41% said experience; and 18% were undecided.

 

In a head to head matchup between John McCain and Hillary Clinton, McCain now leads Clinton 47% to 44% with 9% undecided.  In a head to head matchup between John McCain and Barack Obama, McCain leads 49% to 39% with 12% undecided.

 

“Over the past week McCain has improved his position against both Democrats and now leads Clinton for the first time in our polling,” said Johnson.  “McCain has made inroads with blue collar Catholics but also among independents who own guns and describe themselves as people of faith who seemed to be leaning Democratic in past polling.  The net result over the ‘bitter’ remarks has been a gain for John McCain.”

 

Poll Results

 

1.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s overall job performance?

Approve

23%

Disapprove

71%

Undecided

6%

 

2.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the economy?

Approve

15%

Disapprove

79%

Undecided

6%

 

 

 

 

3.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war in Iraq?

Approve

31%

Disapprove

63%

Undecided

6%

 

4.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism?

Approve

52%

Disapprove

37%

Undecided

11%

 

5.      Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans Only)

Yes

8%

No

77%

Undecided

15%

 

6.      Would you like to see the United States withdraw all troops immediately from Iraq within the next six months?

Yes

40%

No

47%

Undecided

13%

 

7.      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is performing its job?

Approve

14%

Disapprove

71%

Undecided

15%

 

8.      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance?

Approve

55%

Disapprove

38%

Undecided

7%

 

 

9.      Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Arlen Specter’s job performance?

Approve

52%

Disapprove

35%

Undecided

13%

 

10.  Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Bob Casey’s job performance?

Approve

49%

Disapprove

37%

Undecided

14%

 

11.  Do you agree or disagree with Senator Barack Obama when he said, that in small towns in Pennsylvania, people “cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations?” (Democrats Only)

Agree

31%

Disagree

55%

Undecided

14%

 

 

 

12.  Who is your choice for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2008? (Democrats Only)

Hillary Clinton

49%

Barack Obama

40%

Undecided

11%

 

13.  When making your selection for a presidential candidate, what is most important, one who represents change or one who has experience? (Democrats only)

Change

41%

Experience

41%

Undecided

18%

 

14.  If the election for President were held today and the choices were John McCain, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat for whom would you vote?

John McCain

47%

Hillary Clinton

44%

Undecided

9%

 

15.  If the election for President were held today and the choices were John McCain, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat for whom would you vote?

John McCain

49%

Barack Obama

39%

Undecided

12%

 

Strategic Vision, LLC is an Atlanta-headquartered public relations and public affairs agency.  Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Pennsylvania, aged 18+, and conducted April 11-13, 2008. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.  Additional information on Strategic Vision, LLC may be obtained at www.strategicvision.biz.

 

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