For Immediate Release                                                                         Media Contact: Laura Ward, Strategic Vision, LLC

                                                                                                                    Ph: (404) 880-0098

                                                                                                                    Email: lward@strategicvision.biz

 

 

 

McCain Leads GOP With 25% To 22% For Giuliani; Romney 20% Huckabee 19% Clinton Leads Obama 47% To 36%

58% Favor Constitutional Ban On Same Sex Marriages

 

 

Atlanta, GA/January 24, 2008 – Strategic Vision, LLC, an Atlanta-based public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 1450 likely voters in Florida on various political issuesIn the poll, 42% (605 respondents) identified themselves as Republicans; 40% (577 respondents) identified themselves as Democrats; and 18% (268 respondents) identified themselves as independents or other party affiliation.  The poll has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.

 

The results of the poll showed that 34% of those polled approved of President Bush’s overall job performance; with 58% disapproving; and 8% undecided.  When asked to rate the President’s handling of the economy, 18% approved; 67% disapproved; and 15% were undecided.  On the issue of Iraq, the poll found 32% approved of the President’s handling; with 57% disapproving; and 11% undecided.  When asked on the President’s handling of the war on terrorism, the poll found that 54% approved, 39% disapproved, and 7% were undecided. 

 

“The President’s numbers remained relatively stable over the past week, save on the economy where his approval fell below 20%,” said David E. Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision, LLC.  “It should be noted that this was conducted prior to Federal Reserve interest rate cut and the turbulence of the markets.  The economy is becoming the number one issue for a majority of Floridians replacing both Iraq and the war on terror.  The highest concentration of disapproval for the President’s handling of the economy occurs among voters aged 25-45 and in Central Florida and Southeast Florida.”

 

When Republicans were asked if they viewed President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 8% said yes; 77% said no; and 15% were undecided.

 

“This question continues to be a problem for the President,” said Johnson.  “Conservatives distrust the President and are uncertain of him which is a sharp contrast to where he stood in 2004.  His loss of support among Republicans is a key factor in his anemic job approval ratings.”

 

When asked if voters approved or disapproved of the way Congress is handling its job, 14% approved; 74% disapproved; and 12% were undecided.

 

“Congress continues to surpass the President with its low approval numbers,” said Johnson. “This could spell bad news for incumbents of both Parties especially should the economy continue to decline.  For Democrats, the greatest concern must be that members of their own Party disapprove of Congress as much as Republicans.”

 

When asked if they favored an immediate withdrawal of United States military forces from Iraq within 6 months, 42% said yes; 45% said no; and 13% were undecided.

 

“This is the first time since 2006 that a plurality of voters have opposed an immediate withdrawal,” said Johnson. “The largest segment of support favoring an immediate withdrawal continues to be in Southeast Florida.”

 

The poll showed 60% of respondents approving of Governor Charlie Crist’s job performance; 33% disapproving; and 7% undecided. 

 

“While Governor Crist remains one of the most popular Governors in the nation, the largest group expressing disapproval at his job performance are social conservative Republicans. The Governor’s support is weakest in the I-4 corridor and North Florida,” said Johnson.

 

Senator Bill Nelson received a job approval of 54%; with 35% disapproving; and 11% undecided.  Senator Mel Martinez received a job approval of 44%; with 37% disapproving; and 19% undecided.

 

When asked if they favored adding a state constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriages, 58% of respondents said yes; 34% said no; and 8% were undecided.

 

“This issue could impact the Republican presidential primary, particularly if a large number of evangelicals show up to vote,” said Johnson.  “Such a turnout could help Huckabee and to a lesser extent Romney while hindering both McCain and Giuliani the perceived moderates in the race.”

 

The poll asked Republican respondents their choices for the Republican Presidential nomination in 2008.  The results were, Arizona Senator John McCain 25%; former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani 22%;  former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney 20%; former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 18%; former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson* 6%; Texas Congressman Ron Paul 5%; and 4% undecided.

 

“The Republican race tightened significantly with Giuliani and Romney making gains while both McCain and Huckabee registered small losses which continues to show the volatility of this race,” said Johnson.  “South Florida continues to be Giuliani’s strongest area while he underperforms in Central Florida.  Giuliani has a slight edge among early voters.  Romney made some gains in the I-4 corridor and among women voters.  Voters who register the economy as the number one issue favor Romney. 

 

“Huckabee has rock solid support among evangelical voters but seems unable to expand beyond that core support,” continued Johnson.  “No doubt the loss in South Carolina also had an impact on his showing.  Despite winning South Carolina, McCain actually saw a decline in support.  He fares worse among voters who identify themselves as strong conservatives and those who rate the economy as their number one issue.  Even among evangelical voters, he is surprisingly tied with the more liberal Giuliani.  At this point, this race is very fluid but could be impacted dramatically by an endorsement by Governor Crist, former Governor Bush, or large turnout by evangelicals concerning the same sex marriage amendment.”

 

When Republicans were asked how important it was for their presidential candidate to be conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 45% said very important; 30% said somewhat important; 6% said not very important; 15% said not important; and 4% were undecided.

 

“The candidate who can best identify with this desire for a Reagan-like candidate will be the one who can win,” said Johnson. “At this point none of the candidates seem to be succeeding in persuading voters that they are this person.”

 

The poll asked Democrats their choice for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2008.  New York Senator Hillary Clinton led with 47%; Illinois Senator Barack Obama 36%; former North Carolina Senator John Edwards with 12%; Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich received 1%; and 4% undecided.

 

“Clinton gained marginally over the week while Obama saw a slight decline of support, said Johnson. “This was noticeable by a slight shift of older Hispanic voters to Clinton.  “Obama dominates the African-American vote while Clinton dominates the white vote.  This race is clearly divided among races.”

 

When democratic voters asked what was most important to them, a candidate who represented change or one with experience, 48% said change, 28% said experience, and 24% were undecided.

 

“The number of Democrats seeking change over experience favors Obama with voters 55 or older opting for experience,” said Johnson.

 

Poll Results

 

1.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s overall job performance?

Approve

34%

Disapprove

58%

Undecided

8%

 

2.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the economy?

Approve

18%

Disapprove

67%

Undecided

15%

 

3.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of Iraq?

Approve

32%

Disapprove

57%

Undecided

11%

 


4.      Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism?

Approve

54%

Disapprove

39%

Undecided

7%

 

5.      Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans only)

Yes

8%

No

77%

Undecided

15%

 

6.      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is performing its job?

Approve

14%

Disapprove

74%

Undecided

12%

     

7.      Do you favor an immediate withdrawal of the United States military forces from Iraq, within the next six months?

Yes

42%

No

45%

Undecided

13%

 

8.      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist’s job performance?

Approve

60%

Disapprove

33%

Undecided

7%

 

9.      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson’s job performance?

Approve

54%

Disapprove

35%

Undecided

11%

 

10.  Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mel Martinez’s job performance?

Approve

44%

Disapprove

37%

Undecided

19%

 

11.  Do you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment to ban same-sex marriages??

Favor

58%

Oppose

34%

Undecided

8%

 


12.  Who is your first choice for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)

John McCain

25%

Rudy Giuliani

22%

Mitt Romney

20%

Mike Huckabee

18%

Fred Thompson*

6%

Ron Paul

5%

Undecided

4%

 

13.  How important is it for the Republican presidential candidate to be a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan, very important, somewhat important, not very important, not important, or undecided? (Republicans only)

Very Important

45%

Somewhat Important

30%

Not Very Important

6%

Not Important

15%

Undecided

4%

 

14.  Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)

Hillary Clinton

47%

Barack Obama

36%

John Edwards

12%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

Undecided

4%

 

15.  When making your selection for a presidential candidate, what is most important, one who represents change or one who has experience? (Democrats only)

Change

48%

Experience

28%

Undecided

24%

 

* Prior to Thompson withdrawal.

 

Strategic Vision, LLC is an Atlanta-headquartered public relations and public affairs agency.  Results are based on telephone interviews with 1450 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted January 20-22, 2008. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.  Additional information on Strategic Vision, LLC may be obtained at www.strategicvision.biz.

 

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