FEBRUARY 2008 MARYLAND GOP PRIMARY POLL   

 

400 likely Republican primary voters were interviewed by telephone February 7-8, 2008 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C.  The margin for error is plus or minus 5%.

 

 

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION:

 

QUESTION: I am going to read a list of names.  The first (next) name is _____________.  Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

 

                   RECOGNIZE   RECOGNIZE   RECOGNIZE    DON'T

                   FAVORABLE  UNFAVORABLE   NEUTRAL   RECOGNIZE        

 

John McCain            54%         19%         27%         -

 

Mike Huckabee          38%         23%         38%         1%

 

Ron Paul               16%         37%         37%        10%

 

 

 

 

 

 


QUESTION: If the 2008 Maryland Republican primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote: (ORDER ROTATED)

 

                                    SEX           AGE

                        STATE   MEN   WOMEN   <50   50+ 

 

John McCain             54%    55%    53%    54%   54%

Mike Huckabee           23%    20%    26%    19%   26%

Ron Paul                 7%    10%     4%    11%    4%

Others (NOT READ) **       3%     4%     2%     2%    4%

Undecided (NOT READ)    13%    11%    15%    14%   12%

 

                                BORN AGAIN?     POLITICAL VIEW

                        STATE   YES   NO    VERY CON  SW CON  MOD/LIB    

 

John McCain             54%    45%   60%      40%      58%     59%

Mike Huckabee           23%    37%   14%      39%      24%      8%

Ron Paul                 7%     5%    8%       2%       4%     16%

Others (NOT READ) **       3%     4%    2%       6%       2%      2%

Undecided (NOT READ)    13%     9%   16%      13%      12%     14%

 

                                           REGION

                        STATE  BALT MET  WASH MET  ES/SO MD  WEST MD    

 

John McCain             54%     57%        64%       47%      46%

Mike Huckabee           23%     19%        17%       32%      27%

Ron Paul                 7%      9%         6%        4%       6%

Others (NOT READ) **       3%      4%         2%        3%       3%

Undecided (NOT READ)    13%     11%        11%       14%      18%

 

 

** This includes those who voted early or absentee for candidates that have since dropped out.

 

 

(IF THEY VOTED FOR A CANDIDATE) QUESTION: At this point, would you say you will probably stick with that choice, or are that you still might change your mind?

 

                        MCCAIN  HUCKABEE   PAUL

                   ALL VOTERS   VOTERS   VOTERS  

 

STICK W/CHOICE     79%    83%     73%     69%      

MIGHT CHANGE MIND  21%    17%     27%      31%


QUESTION: Which ONE of the following qualities are you most looking for in deciding which candidate to support?  Someone who: (ORDER ROTATED)

 

39% – shares my values and views on issues

35% – has the strength and leadership to keep America safe

12% - has the right experience

 5% - represents a different approach from President Bush

 4% - has the best chance to win in November

 5% – Other/Not Sure (NOT READ)

 

                VALUES    LEADERSHIP   

         

MCCAIN            43%        66%            

HUCKABEE          29%         9%            

PAUL              10%         5%             

OTHER              4%        3% 

UNDECIDED         14%        17%            

 

 

 

QUESTION: Which ONE of the following issues do you feel is MOST important: (ORDER ROTATED)

 

National Security or Terrorism    26%

The Economy & Jobs                24%

     Taxes & Government Spending       18%

     Moral & Family Issues             12%

     Immigration                       9%

     Iraq                               5%

Other/Not Sure (NOT READ)         6%

 

               TERROR  ECONOMY  TAXES  MORAL ISSUES

 

MCCAIN          63%      53%     45%      22%

HUCKABEE        21%      29%     23%      57%

PAUL             4%       5%     13%       -

OTHER             2%       2%      8%       -

UNDECIDED       13%     11%     11%      21%
DEMOGRAPHICS:

 

SEX:

          Men            50%

          Women          50%

 

AGE:

 

          <50            45%

          50+            55%

 

 

EVANGELICAL/BORN AGAIN CHRISTIAN?

 

          Yes            40%

          No             59%

          Refused        1%

 

 

POLITICAL VIEW:

 

          Liberal            7%

          Moderate            22%

          SW Conservative    47%

          Very Conservative  24%

 

REGION:

 

          Baltimore Metro              38%

          Washington Metro             18%

          Eastern Shore/Southern MD    19%

          Western Maryland             25%