FEBRUARY 2008 MARYLAND DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY POLL   

 

 

400 likely Democratic primary voters were interviewed by telephone February 7-8, 2008 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C.  The margin for error is plus or minus 5%.

 

 

 

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION:

 

QUESTION: I am going to read a list of names.  The first (next) name is _____________.  Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

 

                   RECOGNIZE   RECOGNIZE   RECOGNIZE    DON'T

                   FAVORABLE  UNFAVORABLE   NEUTRAL   RECOGNIZE        

Barack Obama           67%         11%         21%         1%

 

Hillary Clinton        60%         15%         24%         1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


QUESTION: If the 2008 Maryland Democratic primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote: (ORDER ROTATED)

                                                            GOVT

                                    SEX           AGE      EMPLOYEE?

                        STATE   MEN   WOMEN   <50   50+   YES   NO

 

Barack Obama            53%    56%    51%    58%   49%   56%   52%

Hillary Clinton          35%    28%    40%    31%   38%   34%   35%    

Others (NOT READ) **     2%     3%     1%     1%    3%    2%    2%

Undecided (NOT READ)    10%    13%     8%    11%   10%    8%   11%

 

                                     RACE        POLITICAL VIEW

                        STATE   WHITE   BLACK   LIB   MOD   CON  

 

Barack Obama            53%     40%     74%    56%   49%   57%

Hillary Clinton          35%     47%     16%    34%   35%   33%    

Others (NOT READ) **     2%      3%      -      -     3%    4%

Undecided (NOT READ)    10%     10%     10%    10%   13%    6%

 

                                          REGION        

                        STATE   BALT METRO  WASH METRO  RURAL MD  

 

Barack Obama            53%        53%        58%        42%  

Hillary Clinton          35%        37%        29%        44%         

Others (NOT READ) **     2%         2%         2%         2% 

Undecided (NOT READ)    10%         8%        11%        12%  

 

 

 

** This includes those who voted early or absentee for candidates that have since dropped out.

 

 

 

(IF THEY VOTED FOR A CANDIDATE) QUESTION: At this point, would you say you will probably stick with that choice, or are that you still might change your mind?

 

                        CLINTON   OBAMA       

                   ALL  VOTERS   VOTERS       

 

STICK W/CHOICE     89%    90%       88%        

MIGHT CHANGE MIND  11%    10%       12%        


QUESTION: Which ONE of the following qualities are you most looking for in deciding which candidate to support?  Someone who: (ORDER ROTATED)

 

27% - cares about the issues I care about

25% - represents change and a new approach

16% - has the right experience

15% – is honest and trustworthy

11% - has the best chance to win in November

 6% – Other/Not Sure (NOT READ)

 

                CHANGE     ISSUES   EXPERIENCE   HONEST

         

OBAMA             74%       37%        10%         46%

CLINTON           13%       49%        74%         29%     

OTHERS              -         1%         3%          4%

UNDECIDED         13%       13%        13%         21%

 

 

 

QUESTION: Which ONE of the following issues do you feel is MOST important: (ORDER ROTATED)

 

     The Economy & Jobs                          42%

     Iraq                                       19%

     Health care                                 17%

National Security or Terrorism             8%

     The Environment, Energy & Climate Change   7%

Racial Progress/Race Relations             2%

     Other/Not Sure (NOT READ)                   5%

 

               IRAQ   ECONOMY   HEALTH CARE  

 

OBAMA           57%     41%        39%           

CLINTON         29%     50%        36%                

OTHERS           3%      -          -           

UNDECIDED       11%      9%        25%           

 

 


DEMOGRAPHICS:

 

SEX:

Men           43%

Women         57%

 

AGE:

<50           42%

50+           58%

 

RACE:

 

          White/Caucasian         60%

          Black/African-American  36%

          Other/Refused            4%

 

GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE?

 

          Yes           28%

          No            72%

 

POLITICAL VIEW:

 

          Liberal                 36%

          Moderate                47%

          Conservative            17%

 

REGION:

 

          Baltimore Metro         45%

          Washington Metro        38%

          Rural Maryland          17%