1146 19th St., NW, Suite 200

Washington, DC  20036

(202) 463-7300

 

 
Interview dates: September 26-29, 2008

Interviews: 1,129 adults; 1,007 registered voters

Margin of error: +-2.9 for all adults; +-3.1 for registered voters

 

 

Ipsos/McClatchy Poll

PROJECT #81-6939-01

NOTE:  all results shown are percentages unless otherwise labeled.

 

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted September 26-29, 2008.  For the survey, a nationally representative, randomly selected sample of exactly 1,132 adults across the United States was interviewed by Ipsos. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate within ±2.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled. Within this sample, Ipsos interviewed 1,007 respondents who self identified as registered voters. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate within ±3.1 percentage points. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the actual U.S. population according to U.S. Census figures. Interviews were conducted with respondents on land-line telephones and cellular phones. Respondents had the option to be interviewed in English or Spanish.

 

 

PERCENTAGES ARE REPORTED ON REGISTERED VOTERS ONLY

 

1a-b.  If the election for president were held today and the candidates were (READ ANSWER LIST), for whom would you vote?  Do you lean more toward...

 

 

9/26-29/08

9/18-22/08

9/11-15/08

9/5-9/08

Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats

46

44

45

45

John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans

42

43

45

46

Ralph Nader for president and Matt Gonzalez for vice president, the Independents

2

2

2

2

Bob Barr for president and Wayne Allyn Root for vice president, the Libertarians

1

2

1

1

(DO NOT READ) Neither

-

5

5

4

(DK/NS)

9

4

2

2

* (DO NOT READ) Neither was not offered in the most recent wave.

 

(Q1c. ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO DID NOT INITIALLY PROVIDE A CANDIDATE.)

1c. In November, will you definitely vote for that candidate, probably vote for that candidate, or do you think you could change your mind before the election in November?

 

OBAMA / BIDEN (Base: 393)

 

9/26-29/08

9/18-22/08

9/11-15/08

9/5-9/08

Definitely will vote for candidate

77

80

80

80

Probably will vote for candidate

13

11

13

12

Could change mind

8

7

7

8

DK/NS

1

2

-

0

 

McCAIN / PALIN (Base: 386)

 

9/26-29/08

9/18-22/08

9/11-15/08

9/5-9/08

Definitely will vote for candidate

74

72

71

77

Probably will vote for candidate

18

17

16

13

Could change mind

8

10

12

10

DK/NS

0

0

0

0

 

 

2a.  If the election for president were held today and the candidates were (READ ANSWER LIST), for whom would you vote?

[IF “NEITHER/NO OPINION/DK/REF” TO QU. 2a, ASK Qu. 2b] 2b.  Do you lean more toward …

 

Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats

48

John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans

45

(DO NOT READ) None

3

(DO NOT READ) No opinion

1

(DK/NS)

3

 


 

3.  Are you very confident, somewhat confident, not very confident or not at all confident in…(INSERT TEXT – RANDOMIZE.  ENTER SINGLE REPONSE FOR EACH ITEM. IF UNSURE, ENCOURAGE BEST GUESS.  REPEAT RESPONSE CATEGORIES AS NECESSARY)

 

 

The security of your checking or money market account

The security of your savings account

The ability of the federal government to cover the costs of federal deposit insurance in the case of bank failures

Very confident

35

42

26

Somewhat confident

34

30

34

Not very confident

17

14

20

Not at all confident

10

11

16

(DK/NS)

3

4

4

 

 

 

 

Very/Somewhat confident

70

72

60

Not very/Not at all confident

27

25

36

 

 

4.  For the following areas, please tell me whether you think there is currently too much, not enough, or just about the right amount of government regulation.  What about…(INSERT TEXT – RANDOMIZE.  ENTER SINGLE REPONSE FOR EACH ITEM. IF UNSURE, ENCOURAGE BEST GUESS.  REPEAT RESPONSE CATEGORIES AS NECESSARY)

 

 

Banking

Other financial institutions

Airlines

The Environment

Manufacturing

Too much

18

16

18

22

22

Right Amount

24

21

37

23

30

Not enough

55

58

38

54

43

(DK/NS)

4

5

6

2

6

 

 

`

 


 

PARTY AFFILIATION / IDEOLOGY

 

1a.          Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?  (ENTER SINGLE RESPONSE.  IF UNSURE, ENCOURAGE BEST GUESS.)

 

 

Registered Voters

Right direction

18

Wrong track

77

(DK/NS)

5

 

 

1b.          Are you currently registered to vote at this address, or not?

 

 

All Adults

Yes

82

No

18

(DK/NS)

0

 

2a.          Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent or none of these?

 

(IF “DEMOCRAT” TO Q.2a, Q.2b ASKED.  IF “REPUBLICAN” TO Q.2a, Q.2c ASKED.  IF “INDEPENDENT” or “NONE OF THESE” TO Q.2a, Q.2d ASKED.  RESULTS SHOWN IN SUMMARY BELOW.)

 

2b.          Do you lean strongly or only moderately toward the Democratic Party?

2c.           Do you lean strongly or only moderately toward the Republican Party?

2d.          Do your beliefs tend to lean more toward the Democrats or the Republicans?

 

 

Registered Voters

Strongly Democrat

27

Moderately Democrat

10

Lean Democrat

13

Strongly Republican

17

Moderately Republican

11

Lean Republican

13

Independent (No lean)

10

 

 

Total Democrats

49

Total Republicans

41

 

 

Initial Democrats

36

Initial Republicans

28