Early January South Carolina GOP Primary Poll Weighted Tables

 

Poll conducted January 7 among 479 likely voters in the South Carolina Republican Primary, for a margin of error of plus or minus 4%. The data have been weighted for age, race, gender and party affiliation.  All crosstabs have been weighted.

 

 

1.   If the vote for the Republican primary for President in South Carolina were held today, would you vote for:

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(479)

(67)

(139)

(153)

(120)

(225)

(254)

(450)

(14)

(10)

(5)

(341)

(101)

(37)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Huckabee

33%

32.6

32.9

36.7

25.5

30.8

33.4

32.4

23.6

50.9

.0

38.6

15.7

18.4

McCain

21%

19.6

13.0

22.2

29.0

21.9

20.0

21.4

17.3

.0

25.1

17.3

34.2

17.6

Romney

14%

8.6

17.7

11.9

16.5

13.6

14.9

14.9

8.4

.0

.0

14.9

14.5

8.4

Giuliani

8%

12.3

8.1

5.9

8.7

8.0

8.3

7.6

3.3

42.8

.0

9.1

6.2

4.1

Paul

5%

.0

13.3

2.5

2.9

7.9

3.2

5.4

7.7

.0

8.2

4.1

11.9

.0

Thompson

5%

10.9

1.8

7.3

3.8

1.8

8.4

5.5

.0

6.3

.0

5.8

5.0

1.8

Hunter

1%

.0

1.8

1.4

.0

.4

1.5

1.0

.0

.0

.0

1.4

.0

.0

 

No opinion

13%

16.0

11.4

12.1

13.6

15.6

10.3

11.7

39.7

.0

66.8

8.9

12.6

49.6

 


 

2.   Age

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(479)

(67)

(139)

(153)

(120)

(225)

(254)

(450)

(14)

(10)

(5)

(341)

(101)

(37)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

18-29

14.0

100.0

.0

.0

.0

19.0

9.6

13.1

27.5

43.7

.0

14.2

12.8

15.6

 

30-44

29.0

.0

100.0

.0

.0

29.4

28.7

28.3

46.7

30.1

39.0

28.1

32.1

29.3

 

45-64

31.9

.0

.0

100.0

.0

28.0

35.4

32.7

15.0

19.0

37.0

30.6

37.2

30.2

 

65+

25.1

.0

.0

.0

100.0

23.6

26.3

25.9

10.8

7.2

24.0

27.2

17.9

24.9

 

 

 

 

3.   Gender

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(479)

(67)

(139)

(153)

(120)

(225)

(254)

(450)

(14)

(10)

(5)

(341)

(101)

(37)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Male

47.0

63.7

47.5

41.2

44.3

100.0

.0

45.9

50.9

81.0

68.9

43.9

58.5

43.8

 

Female

53.0

36.3

52.5

58.8

55.7

.0

100.0

54.1

49.1

19.0

31.1

56.1

41.5

56.2

 


 

4.   Race

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(479)

(67)

(139)

(153)

(120)

(225)

(254)

(450)

(14)

(10)

(5)

(341)

(101)

(37)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

White

93.9

87.7

91.7

96.2

97.1

91.7

95.9

100.0

.0

.0

.0

96.4

90.6

80.5

 

Black

2.9

5.7

4.7

1.4

1.3

3.2

2.7

.0

100.0

.0

.0

1.6

2.3

16.8

 

Hispanic

2.1

6.5

2.2

1.2

.6

3.6

.7

.0

.0

100.0

.0

1.9

3.6

.0

 

Other

1.0

.0

1.4

1.2

1.0

1.5

.6

.0

.0

.0

100.0

.2

3.5

2.6

 

 

 

 

5.   Political Affiliation

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(479)

(67)

(139)

(153)

(120)

(225)

(254)

(450)

(14)

(10)

(5)

(341)

(101)

(37)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Republican

71.3

72.2

69.0

68.2

77.3

66.6

75.4

73.1

39.0

63.6

10.3

100.0

.0

.0

 

Independent

21.0

19.2

23.2

24.5

15.0

26.2

16.4

20.3

16.6

36.4

70.1

.0

100.0

.0

 

Democrat

7.7

8.6

7.8

7.3

7.7

7.2

8.2

6.6

44.5

.0

19.6

.0

.0

100.0