Early January Florida GOP Primary Poll Weighted Tables

 

Poll conducted January 7 among 340 likely voters in the Florida Republican Primary, for a margin of error of plus or minus 5.5%. The data have been weighted for age, race, gender and party affiliation.  All data have been weighted.

 

 

1.   If the vote for the Republican primary for President in Florida were held today, would you vote for:

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(340)

(48)

(92)

(95)

(105)

(160)

(180)

(306)

(7)

(17)

(10)

(251)

(33)

(56)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Giuliani

24%

35.8

28.4

20.0

17.3

27.4

20.3

23.7

.0

21.2

43.1

23.3

26.7

23.4

Huckabee

19%

24.8

18.6

20.7

16.1

20.4

18.3

20.2

21.3

13.9

.0

22.2

13.9

9.2

McCain

19%

15.7

12.0

19.4

25.4

20.2

17.5

19.8

14.6

12.5

.0

18.5

22.4

17.8

Romney

13%

4.9

9.9

17.3

14.5

9.1

15.8

12.8

4.9

20.6

.0

13.4

23.9

2.6

Thompson

8%

12.8

6.6

10.6

6.8

8.1

9.1

8.9

21.3

.0

7.7

10.3

4.0

4.1

Paul

5%

.0

10.7

2.7

4.2

7.0

3.2

4.4

.0

14.6

7.7

4.5

2.0

8.8

Hunter

1%

.0

2.7

.8

1.8

.8

2.1

.9

.0

14.6

.0

1.7

2.4

.0

 

No opinion

11%

6.0

11.1

8.5

14.0

7.0

13.7

9.4

37.8

2.6

41.5

6.1

4.8

34.1

 


 

2.   Age

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(340)

(48)

(92)

(95)

(105)

(160)

(180)

(306)

(7)

(17)

(10)

(251)

(33)

(56)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

18-29

14.1

100.0

.0

.0

.0

19.4

9.4

13.9

42.7

13.9

.0

15.7

8.6

10.5

 

30-44

27.1

.0

100.0

.0

.0

29.6

24.8

23.9

.0

65.1

78.2

26.3

38.2

23.8

 

45-64

27.9

.0

.0

100.0

.0

22.5

32.8

29.5

36.5

12.5

.0

26.6

32.5

31.4

 

65+

30.9

.0

.0

.0

100.0

28.5

33.0

32.7

20.9

8.5

21.8

31.5

20.8

34.3

 

 

 

 

3.   Gender

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(340)

(48)

(92)

(95)

(105)

(160)

(180)

(306)

(7)

(17)

(10)

(251)

(33)

(56)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Male

47.1

64.6

51.5

37.9

43.5

100.0

.0

47.0

6.1

57.7

58.5

49.9

56.1

28.8

 

Female

52.9

35.4

48.5

62.1

56.5

.0

100.0

53.0

93.9

42.3

41.5

50.1

43.9

71.2

 


 

4.   Race

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(340)

(48)

(92)

(95)

(105)

(160)

(180)

(306)

(7)

(17)

(10)

(251)

(33)

(56)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

White

90.0

88.9

79.5

95.1

95.2

89.9

90.1

100.0

.0

.0

.0

91.5

100.0

77.4

 

Black

2.1

6.2

.0

2.7

1.4

.3

3.7

.0

100.0

.0

.0

.2

.0

11.7

 

Hispanic

5.0

4.9

12.0

2.2

1.4

6.1

4.0

.0

.0

100.0

.0

5.7

.0

4.6

 

Other

2.9

.0

8.5

.0

2.1

3.7

2.3

.0

.0

.0

100.0

2.6

.0

6.3

 

 

 

 

6.   Political Affiliation

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

 

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Indep-endent

Demo-crat

(Base)

(340)

(48)

(92)

(95)

(105)

(160)

(180)

(306)

(7)

(17)

(10)

(251)

(33)

(56)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Republican

73.8

81.8

71.8

70.2

75.2

78.3

69.8

75.0

7.3

84.9

64.9

100.0

.0

.0

 

Independent

9.8

6.0

13.8

11.4

6.6

11.7

8.1

10.9

.0

.0

.0

.0

100.0

.0

 

Democrat

16.4

12.2

14.4

18.4

18.2

10.0

22.0

14.1

92.7

15.1

35.1

.0

.0

100.0