Iowa Democratic Caucus Poll

 

The poll was conducted Dec. 28-29.  Question 1 was conducted among 788 likely voters in the Democratic caucuses, for a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4%. The data have been weighted for age and gender. Crosstabs are weighted also.

 

 

 

1. If the vote for the Democratic nominee for president were held today would you vote for:

 

 

 

Day

Age

 

Gender

 

Total

Dec 28

Dec 29

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

(Base)

(788)

(375)

(413)

(87)

(236)

(260)

(205)

(378)

(410)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Clinton

30.0

29.0

31.2

17.4

27.7

27.4

41.9

19.2

40.3

 

Edwards

29.0

27.6

30.3

13.2

34.4

31.0

26.9

32.0

26.3

 

Obama

22.0

22.1

22.8

40.8

28.5

19.0

12.0

26.1

19.0

 

Another candidate

14.0

16.5

11.2

23.4

7.2

16.4

13.7

19.2

8.6

 

Undecided

5.0

4.8

4.6

5.1

2.2

6.3

5.5

3.5

5.9

 

 

 

 

 

2.             If you are planning to vote for a candidate other than Clinton, Edwards, or Obama, and your candidate fails to receive the required 15% of the overall caucus vote in the first round of voting, and if the remaining choices were Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, which candidate would you vote for as your second choice? (among those who were either undecided or planned to vote for another candidate)

 

 

 

Day

Age

 

Gender

 

Total

Dec 28

Dec 29

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

 

(Base)

(145)

(80)

(65)

(25)

(22)

(59)

(39)

(86)

(59)

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

Edwards

62.0

64.0

60.3

64.3

69.2

61.1

58.9

65.3

58.0

 

 

Clinton

21.0

18.3

23.9

17.8

30.8

17.1

22.5

18.6

23.9

 

 

Obama

17.0

17.7

15.9

17.8

.0

21.7

18.6

16.1

18.0