InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research

Florida Republican Primary Poll 01.29.08

 

 

 

Q.1. Have you already voted or do you intend to vote in the Republican Primary for President in Florida on Tuesday, January 29?

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend vote

(Base)

(813)

(113)

(220)

(228)

(252)

(382)

(431)

(732)

(16)

(41)

(24)

(741)

(40)

(32)

(230)

(583)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Already voted

28.3

19.8

20.5

31.7

35.7

24.8

31.3

28.2

8.7

35.9

30.6

28.0

29.7

32.7

100.0

.0

Intend to vote

71.7

80.2

79.5

68.3

64.3

75.2

68.7

71.8

91.3

64.1

69.4

72.0

70.3

67.3

.0

100.0

 


 

 

Q.2. If you intend to vote or have already voted which one candidate is most likely your personal choice in the Republican presidential primary in Florida?

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend vote

(Base)

(813)

(113)

(220)

(228)

(252)

(382)

(431)

(732)

(16)

(41)

(24)

(741)

(40)

(32)

(230)

(583)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

McCain

31

34.3

24.2

28.3

38.8

33.7

29.1

29.0

42.8

52.3

58.5

31.9

25.6

23.3

29.0

32.2

Romney

30

30.4

26.4

31.7

32.3

31.8

28.8

32.1

21.9

14.9

5.8

30.9

26.3

19.7

29.1

30.7

Huckabee

15

16.1

21.1

12.8

9.2

14.0

14.8

15.4

.0

.0

20.4

14.2

7.6

26.4

16.2

13.6

Giuliani

13

12.2

10.0

15.9

12.1

12.2

13.1

13.2

2.2

12.0

3.8

13.1

7.5

9.6

19.4

10.0

Paul

2

.0

.0

5.4

2.3

3.1

1.5

2.1

3.3

0.0

5.9

2.2

2.2

2.6

2.7

2.0

Other

2

3.3

2.5

0.7

1.1

0.6

2.7

1.0

17.6

9.0

.0

1.1

13.9

.0

1.1

1.9

Undecided

7

3.7

15.8

5.2

4.2

4.6

10.0

7.2

12.2

11.8

5.6

6.6

16.9

18.4

2.5

9.6

 


 

 

D1 Age

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend vote

(Base)

(813)

(113)

(220)

(228)

(252)

(382)

(431)

(732)

(16)

(41)

(24)

(741)

(40)

(32)

(230)

(583)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

18-29

13.9

100.0

.0

.0

.0

16.7

11.4

12.0

33.9

28.9

31.7

14.3

6.8

13.9

9.7

15.5

30-44

27.1

.0

100.0

.0

.0

31.7

22.9

25.9

46.6

46.3

17.0

26.3

23.9

48.8

19.6

30.0

45-64

28.0

.0

.0

100.0

.0

25.5

30.3

28.4

12.9

20.0

39.8

28.3

31.1

17.4

31.5

26.7

65+

31.0

.0

.0

.0

100.0

26.1

35.4

33.6

6.6

4.8

11.5

31.1

38.2

19.8

39.2

27.8

 


 

 

D2 Gender

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend vote

(Base)

(813)

(113)

(220)

(228)

(252)

(382)

(431)

(732)

(16)

(41)

(24)

(741)

(40)

(32)

(230)

(583)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Male

47.0

56.5

55.1

42.7

39.5

100.0

.0

47.4

28.1

35.4

66.3

47.9

38.9

35.3

41.3

49.2

Female

53.0

43.5

44.9

57.3

60.5

.0

100.0

52.6

71.9

64.6

33.7

52.1

61.1

64.7

58.7

50.8

 

 


 

 

D3 Race

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend vote

(Base)

(813)

(113)

(220)

(228)

(252)

(382)

(431)

(732)

(16)

(41)

(24)

(741)

(40)

(32)

(230)

(583)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

White

90.0

78.0

86.1

91.3

97.7

90.9

89.3

100.0

.0

.0

.0

91.6

77.6

69.5

89.8

90.1

Black

2.0

4.8

3.4

.9

.4

1.2

2.7

.0

100.0

.0

.0

1.1

20.1

.0

.6

2.5

Hispanic

5.0

10.5

8.6

3.6

.8

3.8

6.1

.0

.0

100.0

.0

4.8

.0

17.8

6.4

4.5

Other

3.0

6.7

1.9

4.2

1.1

4.2

1.9

.0

.0

.0

100.0

2.6

2.3

12.7

3.2

2.9

 

 


 

 

D4 Party Affiliation

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend vote

(Base)

(813)

(113)

(220)

(228)

(252)

(382)

(431)

(732)

(16)

(41)

(24)

(741)

(40)

(32)

(230)

(583)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Republican

91.1

93.6

88.5

92.1

91.4

92.9

89.5

92.7

49.9

86.0

79.1

100.0

.0

.0

90.2

91.5

Democrat

4.9

2.4

4.3

5.4

6.0

4.1

5.7

4.2

50.1

.0

3.8

.0

100.0

.0

5.2

4.8

Independent

4.0

4.0

7.2

2.5

2.5

3.0

4.8

3.1

.0

14.0

17.0

.0

.0

100.0

4.6

3.7