InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research
Florida Republican Primary Poll – 01.28.08
Q.1. Have you already voted or do you intend to vote in the Republican Primary for President in Florida on Tuesday, January 29?
|
|
Age |
Gender |
Race |
Party |
Voting Status |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-64 |
65+ |
Male |
Fe-male |
White |
Black |
Hisp-anic |
Other |
Repub-lican |
Demo-crat |
Indep-endent |
Already voted |
Intend to vote |
|||||||||||||
(Base) |
(789) |
(110) |
(213) |
(221) |
(245) |
(371) |
(418) |
(710) |
(16) |
(39) |
(24) |
(688) |
(48) |
(53) |
(212) |
(577) |
|
||||||||||||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
||||||||||||
|
Already voted |
26.9 |
32.0 |
21.0 |
24.3 |
32.2 |
28.4 |
25.6 |
27.2 |
29.4 |
16.9 |
32.6 |
27.2 |
29.2 |
20.9 |
100.0 |
.0 |
||||||||||||
Intend to vote |
73.1 |
68.0 |
79.0 |
75.7 |
67.8 |
71.6 |
74.4 |
72.8 |
70.6 |
83.1 |
67.4 |
72.8 |
70.8 |
79.1 |
.0 |
100.0 |
|||||||||||||
Q.2. If you intend to vote or have already voted which one candidate is most likely your personal choice in the Republican presidential primary in Florida?
|
|
Age |
Gender |
Race |
Party |
Voting Status |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-64 |
65+ |
Male |
Fe-male |
White |
Black |
Hisp-anic |
Other |
Repub-lican |
Demo-crat |
Indep-endent |
Already voted |
Intend to vote |
|||||||||||||
(Base) |
(789) |
(110) |
(213) |
(221) |
(245) |
(371) |
(418) |
(710) |
(16) |
(39) |
(24) |
(688) |
(48) |
(53) |
(212) |
(577) |
|
||||||||||||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
|
McCain |
28.0 |
19.5 |
24.7 |
28.4 |
35.5 |
27.3 |
29.2 |
27.9 |
28.3 |
26.2 |
45.5 |
27.1 |
33.1 |
39.9 |
31.7 |
27.1 |
||||||||||||
Romney |
27.0 |
22.3 |
26.8 |
24.5 |
32.7 |
30.1 |
24.9 |
27.6 |
3.7 |
38.7 |
19.3 |
29.9 |
5.2 |
14.7 |
26.1 |
27.9 |
|||||||||||||
Giuliani |
16.0 |
24.8 |
13.9 |
17.1 |
13.7 |
17.0 |
15.6 |
16.3 |
16.5 |
21.4 |
7.4 |
17.3 |
10.2 |
9.5 |
24.2 |
13.4 |
|||||||||||||
Huckabee |
13.0 |
14.2 |
16.4 |
13.7 |
8.5 |
11.0 |
14.5 |
12.8 |
33.1 |
13.7 |
.0 |
13.4 |
16.1 |
4.5 |
10.4 |
13.8 |
|||||||||||||
Paul |
4.0 |
11.3 |
1.7 |
4.6 |
2.2 |
6.1 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
.0 |
15.6 |
3.9 |
.0 |
8.0 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
|||||||||||||
Other |
3.0 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
1.4 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
4.3 |
.0 |
4.2 |
.7 |
25.8 |
11.2 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
|||||||||||||
Undecided |
9.0 |
3.5 |
12.5 |
8.6 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
10.9 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
.0 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
9.6 |
12.2 |
.7 |
10.8 |
|||||||||||||
D1 Age
|
|
Age |
Gender |
Race |
Party |
Voting Status |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-64 |
65+ |
Male |
Fe-male |
White |
Black |
Hisp-anic |
Other |
Repub-lican |
Demo-crat |
Indep-endent |
Already voted |
Intend to vote |
|||||||||||||
(Base) |
(789) |
(110) |
(213) |
(221) |
(245) |
(371) |
(418) |
(710) |
(16) |
(39) |
(24) |
(688) |
(48) |
(53) |
(212) |
(577) |
|
||||||||||||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
||||||||||||
|
18-29 |
13.9 |
100.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
17.4 |
10.8 |
14.2 |
.0 |
.0 |
36.9 |
13.8 |
.0 |
28.8 |
16.6 |
13.0 |
||||||||||||
30-44 |
27.0 |
.0 |
100.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
27.9 |
26.2 |
25.9 |
49.7 |
34.8 |
32.0 |
26.0 |
55.8 |
14.0 |
21.1 |
29.2 |
|||||||||||||
45-64 |
28.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
100.0 |
.0 |
27.3 |
28.6 |
27.5 |
20.5 |
49.0 |
14.7 |
28.4 |
23.9 |
26.3 |
25.2 |
29.0 |
|||||||||||||
65+ |
31.1 |
.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
100.0 |
27.3 |
34.4 |
32.4 |
29.8 |
16.3 |
16.4 |
31.8 |
20.3 |
30.9 |
37.1 |
28.8 |
|||||||||||||
D2 Gender
|
|
Age |
Gender |
Race |
Party |
Voting Status |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-64 |
65+ |
Male |
Fe-male |
White |
Black |
Hisp-anic |
Other |
Repub-lican |
Demo-crat |
Indep-endent |
Already voted |
Intend to vote |
|||||||||||||
(Base) |
(789) |
(110) |
(213) |
(221) |
(245) |
(371) |
(418) |
(710) |
(16) |
(39) |
(24) |
(688) |
(48) |
(53) |
(212) |
(577) |
|
||||||||||||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
||||||||||||
|
Male |
47.0 |
58.8 |
48.7 |
45.8 |
41.4 |
100.0 |
.0 |
46.6 |
28.0 |
55.1 |
59.7 |
49.1 |
30.7 |
35.2 |
49.6 |
46.1 |
||||||||||||
Female |
53.0 |
41.2 |
51.3 |
54.2 |
58.6 |
.0 |
100.0 |
53.4 |
72.0 |
44.9 |
40.3 |
50.9 |
69.3 |
64.8 |
50.4 |
53.9 |
|||||||||||||
D3 Race
|
|
Age |
Gender |
Race |
Party |
Voting Status |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-64 |
65+ |
Male |
Fe-male |
White |
Black |
Hisp-anic |
Other |
Repub-lican |
Demo-crat |
Indep-endent |
Already voted |
Intend to vote |
|||||||||||||
(Base) |
(789) |
(110) |
(213) |
(221) |
(245) |
(371) |
(418) |
(710) |
(16) |
(39) |
(24) |
(688) |
(48) |
(53) |
(212) |
(577) |
|
||||||||||||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
||||||||||||
|
White |
90.0 |
92.0 |
86.3 |
88.3 |
93.9 |
89.1 |
90.7 |
100.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
91.9 |
74.6 |
79.4 |
91.0 |
89.6 |
||||||||||||
Black |
2.0 |
.0 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
.0 |
100.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
.6 |
20.6 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
|||||||||||||
Hispanic |
4.9 |
.0 |
6.4 |
8.6 |
2.6 |
5.8 |
4.2 |
.0 |
.0 |
100.0 |
.0 |
5.3 |
.0 |
4.6 |
3.1 |
5.6 |
|||||||||||||
Other |
3.0 |
8.0 |
3.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
100.0 |
2.2 |
4.8 |
12.0 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
|||||||||||||
D4 Party Affiliation
|
|
Age |
Gender |
Race |
Party |
Voting Status |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total |
18-29 |
30-44 |
45-64 |
65+ |
Male |
Fe-male |
White |
Black |
Hisp-anic |
Other |
Repub-lican |
Demo-crat |
Indep-endent |
Already voted |
Intend to vote |
|||||||||||||
(Base) |
(789) |
(110) |
(213) |
(221) |
(245) |
(371) |
(418) |
(710) |
(16) |
(39) |
(24) |
(688) |
(48) |
(53) |
(212) |
(577) |
|
||||||||||||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
||||||||||||
|
Republican |
87.3 |
86.2 |
84.0 |
88.6 |
89.4 |
91.0 |
83.9 |
89.1 |
25.2 |
93.8 |
64.0 |
100.0 |
.0 |
.0 |
88.2 |
86.9 |
||||||||||||
Democrat |
6.1 |
.0 |
12.5 |
5.2 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
7.9 |
5.0 |
61.7 |
.0 |
9.6 |
.0 |
100.0 |
.0 |
6.6 |
5.9 |
|||||||||||||
Independent |
6.7 |
13.8 |
3.5 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
5.0 |
8.2 |
5.9 |
13.2 |
6.2 |
26.4 |
.0 |
.0 |
100.0 |
5.2 |
7.2 |
|||||||||||||