InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research

Florida Republican Primary Poll 01.28.08

 

 

 

 

 

Q.1. Have you already voted or do you intend to vote in the Republican Primary for President in Florida on Tuesday, January 29?

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Fe-male

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend to vote

(Base)

(789)

(110)

(213)

(221)

(245)

(371)

(418)

(710)

(16)

(39)

(24)

(688)

(48)

(53)

(212)

(577)

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

Already voted

26.9

32.0

21.0

24.3

32.2

28.4

25.6

27.2

29.4

16.9

32.6

27.2

29.2

20.9

100.0

.0

Intend to vote

73.1

68.0

79.0

75.7

67.8

71.6

74.4

72.8

70.6

83.1

67.4

72.8

70.8

79.1

.0

100.0

 


 

 

Q.2. If you intend to vote or have already voted which one candidate is most likely your personal choice in the Republican presidential primary in Florida?

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Fe-male

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend to vote

(Base)

(789)

(110)

(213)

(221)

(245)

(371)

(418)

(710)

(16)

(39)

(24)

(688)

(48)

(53)

(212)

(577)

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

McCain

28.0

19.5

24.7

28.4

35.5

27.3

29.2

27.9

28.3

26.2

45.5

27.1

33.1

39.9

31.7

27.1

Romney

27.0

22.3

26.8

24.5

32.7

30.1

24.9

27.6

3.7

38.7

19.3

29.9

5.2

14.7

26.1

27.9

Giuliani

16.0

24.8

13.9

17.1

13.7

17.0

15.6

16.3

16.5

21.4

7.4

17.3

10.2

9.5

24.2

13.4

Huckabee

13.0

14.2

16.4

13.7

8.5

11.0

14.5

12.8

33.1

13.7

.0

13.4

16.1

4.5

10.4

13.8

Paul

4.0

11.3

1.7

4.6

2.2

6.1

2.4

3.8

5.5

.0

15.6

3.9

.0

8.0

4.5

3.7

Other

3.0

4.4

4.0

3.1

1.4

3.5

2.5

3.1

4.3

.0

4.2

.7

25.8

11.2

2.4

3.3

Undecided

9.0

3.5

12.5

8.6

6.0

5.0

10.9

8.5

8.6

.0

8.0

7.7

9.6

12.2

.7

10.8

 


 

 

D1 Age

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Fe-male

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend to vote

(Base)

(789)

(110)

(213)

(221)

(245)

(371)

(418)

(710)

(16)

(39)

(24)

(688)

(48)

(53)

(212)

(577)

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

18-29

13.9

100.0

.0

.0

.0

17.4

10.8

14.2

.0

.0

36.9

13.8

.0

28.8

16.6

13.0

30-44

27.0

.0

100.0

.0

.0

27.9

26.2

25.9

49.7

34.8

32.0

26.0

55.8

14.0

21.1

29.2

45-64

28.0

.0

.0

100.0

.0

27.3

28.6

27.5

20.5

49.0

14.7

28.4

23.9

26.3

25.2

29.0

65+

31.1

.0

.0

.0

100.0

27.3

34.4

32.4

29.8

16.3

16.4

31.8

20.3

30.9

37.1

28.8

 


 

 

D2 Gender

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Fe-male

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend to vote

(Base)

(789)

(110)

(213)

(221)

(245)

(371)

(418)

(710)

(16)

(39)

(24)

(688)

(48)

(53)

(212)

(577)

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

Male

47.0

58.8

48.7

45.8

41.4

100.0

.0

46.6

28.0

55.1

59.7

49.1

30.7

35.2

49.6

46.1

Female

53.0

41.2

51.3

54.2

58.6

.0

100.0

53.4

72.0

44.9

40.3

50.9

69.3

64.8

50.4

53.9

 

 


 

 

D3 Race

 

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Fe-male

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend to vote

(Base)

(789)

(110)

(213)

(221)

(245)

(371)

(418)

(710)

(16)

(39)

(24)

(688)

(48)

(53)

(212)

(577)

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

White

90.0

92.0

86.3

88.3

93.9

89.1

90.7

100.0

.0

.0

.0

91.9

74.6

79.4

91.0

89.6

Black

2.0

.0

3.7

1.5

1.9

1.2

2.8

.0

100.0

.0

.0

.6

20.6

4.0

2.2

2.0

Hispanic

4.9

.0

6.4

8.6

2.6

5.8

4.2

.0

.0

100.0

.0

5.3

.0

4.6

3.1

5.6

Other

3.0

8.0

3.6

1.6

1.6

3.9

2.3

.0

.0

.0

100.0

2.2

4.8

12.0

3.7

2.8

 


 

 

D4 Party Affiliation

 

 

 

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Voting Status

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Fe-male

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Repub-lican

Demo-crat

Indep-endent

Already voted

Intend to vote

(Base)

(789)

(110)

(213)

(221)

(245)

(371)

(418)

(710)

(16)

(39)

(24)

(688)

(48)

(53)

(212)

(577)

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

Republican

87.3

86.2

84.0

88.6

89.4

91.0

83.9

89.1

25.2

93.8

64.0

100.0

.0

.0

88.2

86.9

Democrat

6.1

.0

12.5

5.2

4.0

4.0

7.9

5.0

61.7

.0

9.6

.0

100.0

.0

6.6

5.9

Independent

6.7

13.8

3.5

6.3

6.6

5.0

8.2

5.9

13.2

6.2

26.4

.0

.0

100.0

5.2

7.2