31.29 0.032
IBD/TIPP POLL
LIKELY VOTERS TRACKING
Q:  If the 2008 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama, Republican John McCain? (Candidates rotated)
Conducted by Investor's Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP)
Learn more at:
http://ibdeditorials.com/PollsMain.aspx
www.tipponline.com
DAY 5 (OCT 17 RELEASE) DAY 4 (OCT 16 RELEASE) DAY 3 (OCT 15 RELEASE) DAY 2 (OCT 14 RELEASE) DAY 1 (OCT 13 RELEASE)
Polling Period 10/12 to 10/16 10/11 to 10/15 10/9 to 10/14 10/7 to 10/13 10/6 to 10/12
Margin of Error +/- 3.5-percentage points +/- 3.5-percentage points +/- 3.5-percentage points +/- 3.5-percentage points +/- 3.5-percentage points
Sample Size 1,020 Likely Voters 884 Likely Voters 872 Likely Voters 884 Likely Voters 825 Likely Voters
    Obama McCain Not sure Obama McCain Not sure Obama McCain Not sure Obama McCain Not sure Obama McCain Not sure
Overall Two Man Race 45.9% 40.6% 13.5% 45.2% 41.6% 13.2% 45.2% 41.9% 12.9% 44.8% 41.9% 13.3% 44.8% 42.7% 12.5%
Region Northeast 49% 34% 17% 48% 35% 16% 46% 35% 19% 52% 31% 17% 53% 31% 16%
Midwest 42% 43% 14% 42% 44% 14% 42% 46% 12% 42% 45% 13% 43% 44% 14%
South 45% 44% 11% 44% 44% 11% 44% 45% 11% 41% 47% 12% 41% 48% 11%
West 49% 38% 13% 48% 40% 13% 51% 38% 11% 48% 40% 12% 47% 43% 10%
Area Type Urban 51% 36% 13% 52% 36% 11% 52% 35% 13% 52% 36% 12% 51% 35% 14%
Suburban 43% 43% 14% 43% 42% 14% 44% 44% 12% 43% 42% 15% 43% 44% 13%
Rural 36% 49% 15% 36% 49% 15% 35% 51% 14% 34% 52% 14% 34% 57% 10%
Age 18-24 38% 53% 9% 42% 50% 8% 65% 32% 3% 74% 21% 5% 66% 26% 7%
25-44 53% 39% 9% 51% 40% 9% 52% 40% 8% 47% 42% 11% 46% 41% 13%
45-64 46% 40% 14% 46% 40% 13% 43% 45% 12% 45% 42% 13% 44% 44% 12%
65+ 39% 41% 20% 35% 45% 20% 32% 45% 23% 31% 48% 21% 36% 48% 16%
Gender Male 40% 47% 13% 38% 49% 12% 39% 50% 12% 40% 48% 12% 41% 48% 11%
Female 51% 35% 14% 51% 35% 14% 51% 35% 14% 49% 37% 14% 48% 38% 14%
Parental Status Parents 50% 39% 11% 49% 40% 11% 47% 41% 12% 46% 41% 13% 43% 42% 15%
Non-Parents 45% 41% 14% 43% 43% 13% 44% 43% 13% 45% 42% 13% 45% 43% 11%
Race White 40% 47% 13% 39% 48% 12% 39% 49% 12% 39% 48% 12% 40% 49% 11%
Black/Hispanic 80% 10% 9% 76% 12% 12% 74% 11% 14% 73% 14% 13% 73% 12% 15%
Income Under 30K 51% 32% 17% 48% 33% 19% 51% 33% 17% 52% 28% 19% 52% 30% 18%
30K-50K 55% 36% 9% 50% 41% 9% 50% 38% 11% 49% 38% 13% 44% 42% 13%
50-75K 54% 33% 13% 53% 37% 11% 46% 44% 10% 44% 45% 11% 40% 48% 12%
75K+ 44% 49% 8% 46% 47% 7% 48% 44% 8% 45% 46% 9% 49% 43% 8%
Party Democrats 86% 8% 6% 86% 8% 6% 85% 7% 8% 85% 7% 8% 86% 7% 7%
Republicans 7% 84% 9% 6% 87% 8% 5% 87% 7% 4% 89% 7% 5% 88% 7%
Ind./Other 39% 36% 25% 37% 37% 26% 38% 38% 24% 39% 36% 25% 39% 37% 25%
Investor Yes 45% 42% 12% 44% 44% 12% 45% 45% 11% 42% 46% 12% 41% 48% 10%
No 52% 37% 12% 51% 36% 13% 49% 37% 15% 50% 35% 16% 52% 34% 15%
White White men 35% 53% 12% 34% 55% 11% 34% 56% 10% 35% 54% 11% 35% 55% 10%
White women 44% 42% 14% 44% 42% 14% 44% 43% 13% 43% 43% 14% 43% 44% 13%
Black/Hisp Black  86% 4% 10% 83% 5% 12% 81% 3% 16% 83% 4% 12% 86% 3% 11%
Hispanic 67% 25% 8% 60% 29% 11% 59% 29% 12% 48% 37% 15% 45% 32% 23%
Women Single women 59% 27% 14% 58% 29% 13% 62% 25% 14% 58% 27% 15% 59% 29% 13%
Married women 46% 41% 13% 47% 40% 13% 44% 43% 13% 44% 42% 14% 43% 42% 15%
Education High School 48% 35% 17% 49% 35% 16% 46% 36% 18% 45% 36% 19% 45% 37% 18%
Some College 43% 45% 12% 43% 47% 10% 40% 50% 10% 44% 45% 12% 43% 44% 14%
College Degree or more 47% 42% 11% 45% 43% 12% 47% 42% 11% 45% 44% 11% 45% 45% 9%
Ideology Conservative 21% 65% 15% 20% 67% 13% 20% 68% 12% 20% 67% 13% 20% 69% 11%
Moderate 60% 28% 12% 58% 27% 14% 61% 26% 13% 60% 26% 14% 60% 25% 15%
  Liberal 86% 8% 6% 85% 9% 6% 85% 7% 8% 81% 9% 10% 81% 9% 11%
HH Description Upper/Upper Middle 49% 44% 7% 46% 46% 8% 45% 45% 10% 39% 46% 15% 40% 47% 13%
  Middle 43% 45% 13% 43% 45% 12% 43% 45% 12% 45% 43% 12% 46% 42% 12%
Working 57% 32% 11% 55% 34% 11% 57% 33% 10% 52% 37% 11% 46% 41% 13%
Lower 56% 16% 28% 67% 6% 27% 53% 14% 34% 48% 29% 23% 44% 38% 18%
Religion Protestant 36% 53% 11% 35% 54% 12% 36% 53% 11% 33% 56% 11% 35% 55% 10%
Catholic 47% 44% 9% 46% 46% 8% 46% 43% 10% 45% 42% 13% 42% 43% 15%
Other Christian 46% 39% 14% 46% 40% 14% 41% 46% 13% 42% 46% 12% 41% 50% 9%
Jewish 75% 16% 9% 65% 21% 14% 78% 9% 13% 70% 12% 19% 74% 6% 20%
Other 55% 39% 6% 46% 44% 10% 71% 20% 9% 60% 28% 11% 58% 28% 14%
None 62% 22% 16% 63% 20% 17% 61% 22% 16% 63% 20% 17% 64% 20% 15%
Union Household Yes 54% 37% 9% 59% 35% 6% 54% 41% 5% 57% 37% 6% 60% 32% 8%
No 45% 42% 13% 44% 43% 14% 44% 42% 14% 43% 43% 15% 42% 45% 13%
Displays Flag Yes 37% 49% 14% 39% 48% 13% 36% 50% 14% 34% 51% 15% 34% 51% 14%
No 66% 24% 10% 61% 27% 12% 65% 25% 10% 64% 25% 10% 65% 26% 9%