31.29 0.032
IBD/TIPP POLL
LIKELY VOTERS TRACKING
Q:  If the 2008 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat Barack Obama, Republican John McCain? (Candidates rotated)
DAY 3 (OCT 15 RELEASE) DAY 2 (OCT 14 RELEASE) DAY 1 (OCT 13 RELEASE)
Polling Period 10/9 to 10/14 10/7 to 10/13 10/6 to 10/12
Margin of Error +/- 3.5-percentage points +/- 3.5-percentage points +/- 3.5-percentage points
Sample Size 872 Likely Voters 884 Likely Voters 825 Likely Voters
    Obama McCain Not sure Obama McCain Not sure Obama McCain Not sure
Overall Two Man Race 45% 42% 13% 45% 42% 13% 45% 43% 13%
Region Northeast 46% 35% 19% 52% 31% 17% 53% 31% 16%
Midwest 42% 46% 12% 42% 45% 13% 43% 44% 14%
South 44% 45% 11% 41% 47% 12% 41% 48% 11%
West 51% 38% 11% 48% 40% 12% 47% 43% 10%
Area Type Urban 52% 35% 13% 52% 36% 12% 51% 35% 14%
Suburban 44% 44% 12% 43% 42% 15% 43% 44% 13%
Rural 35% 51% 14% 34% 52% 14% 34% 57% 10%
Age 18-24 65% 32% 3% 74% 21% 5% 66% 26% 7%
25-44 52% 40% 8% 47% 42% 11% 46% 41% 13%
45-64 43% 45% 12% 45% 42% 13% 44% 44% 12%
65+ 32% 45% 23% 31% 48% 21% 36% 48% 16%
Gender Male 39% 50% 12% 40% 48% 12% 41% 48% 11%
Female 51% 35% 14% 49% 37% 14% 48% 38% 14%
Parental Status Parents 47% 41% 12% 46% 41% 13% 43% 42% 15%
Non-Parents 44% 43% 13% 45% 42% 13% 45% 43% 11%
Race White 39% 49% 12% 39% 48% 12% 40% 49% 11%
Black/Hispanic 74% 11% 14% 73% 14% 13% 73% 12% 15%
Income Under 30K 51% 33% 17% 52% 28% 19% 52% 30% 18%
30K-50K 50% 38% 11% 49% 38% 13% 44% 42% 13%
50-75K 46% 44% 10% 44% 45% 11% 40% 48% 12%
75K+ 48% 44% 8% 45% 46% 9% 49% 43% 8%
Party Democrats 85% 7% 8% 85% 7% 8% 86% 7% 7%
Republicans 5% 87% 7% 4% 89% 7% 5% 88% 7%
Ind./Other 38% 38% 24% 39% 36% 25% 39% 37% 25%
Investor Yes 45% 45% 11% 42% 46% 12% 41% 48% 10%
No 49% 37% 15% 50% 35% 16% 52% 34% 15%
White White men 34% 56% 10% 35% 54% 11% 35% 55% 10%
White women 44% 43% 13% 43% 43% 14% 43% 44% 13%
Black/Hisp Black  81% 3% 16% 83% 4% 12% 86% 3% 11%
Hispanic 59% 29% 12% 48% 37% 15% 45% 32% 23%
Women Single women 62% 25% 14% 58% 27% 15% 59% 29% 13%
Married women 44% 43% 13% 44% 42% 14% 43% 42% 15%
Education High School 46% 36% 18% 45% 36% 19% 45% 37% 18%
Some College 40% 50% 10% 44% 45% 12% 43% 44% 14%
College Degree or more 47% 42% 11% 45% 44% 11% 45% 45% 9%
Ideology Conservative 20% 68% 12% 20% 67% 13% 20% 69% 11%
Moderate 61% 26% 13% 60% 26% 14% 60% 25% 15%
  Liberal 85% 7% 8% 81% 9% 10% 81% 9% 11%
HH Description Upper/Upper Middle 45% 45% 10% 39% 46% 15% 40% 47% 13%
  Middle 43% 45% 12% 45% 43% 12% 46% 42% 12%
Working 57% 33% 10% 52% 37% 11% 46% 41% 13%
Lower 53% 14% 34% 48% 29% 23% 44% 38% 18%
Religion Protestant 36% 53% 11% 33% 56% 11% 35% 55% 10%
Catholic 46% 43% 10% 45% 42% 13% 42% 43% 15%
Other Christian 41% 46% 13% 42% 46% 12% 41% 50% 9%
Jewish 78% 9% 13% 70% 12% 19% 74% 6% 20%
Other 71% 20% 9% 60% 28% 11% 58% 28% 14%
None 61% 22% 16% 63% 20% 17% 64% 20% 15%
Union Household Yes 54% 41% 5% 57% 37% 6% 60% 32% 8%
No 44% 42% 14% 43% 43% 15% 42% 45% 13%
Displays Flag Yes 36% 50% 14% 34% 51% 15% 34% 51% 14%
No 65% 25% 10% 64% 25% 10% 65% 26% 9%