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Sean Trende
Sean Trende can be reached at strende@realclearpolitics.com.
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Recent Articles
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- 5 Dems Who Wish They Had Last Week Back - March 23, 2010
- The final vote on Obamacare did not go as vote counters expected. There were no tears on the House floor, no arms being twisted, and no Jay Inslee guarding the door to...
- Is It Really 'Game On' for Reconciliation? - February 23, 2010
- The divide between health care supporters and health care opponents on the President's introduction of his health care bill and embrace of reconciliation is stunning. ...
- Possibility of a Republican Senate Grows - February 16, 2010
- Evan Bayh's surprise announcement that he would not seek a third term has sent shockwaves through the pundit class on an otherwise quiet President’s Day. It...
- Is The Senate Also In Play? - January 25, 2010
- Last Tuesday I challenged the conventional wisdom that the House of Representatives is not in play. After Scott Brown’s five-point victory in Massachusetts, it is...
- The House Is Very Much In Play - January 19, 2010
- With Scott Brown rushing toward the finish line with Martha Coakley in D+12 Massachusetts, apparently (if the polls are to be believed) ahead by a nose, you’d...
- A Close Brown-Coakley Finish Would Be a Big Deal - January 13, 2010
- In anticipation of a possibly close race in Massachusetts next Tuesday, some analysts are preparing to write off the race as a special election fluke. Marc Ambinder,...
- Don't Expect The House To Kill The Senate Bill - December 22, 2009
- Both sides of the blogosphere are lately consumed with trying to figure out how the Senate health care bill might still be derailed. Mainstream news outlets are joining...
- The Health Care Bill Is Political Suicide - December 19, 2009
- Health reform is shuffling toward its endgame, and even though the bill's popularity resembles George Bush's circa 2007, Democrats seem determined to push the bill...
- How Unemployment Affects Midterm Elections - November 25, 2009
- It’s become something of an article of faith within the lay punditry that high unemployment and a weak recovery will seriously weigh down the Democrats’...
- Can the Clinton Coalition Survive Obama? - November 13, 2009
- John Judis and Ruy Teixeira's well-regarded 2002 work The Emerging Democratic Majority begins with a vignette set in Virginia. They tell the story of a telecom executive...
- A Split Decision In November? - October 16, 2009
- Four important elections will be held two-and-a-half weeks from today. There’s a Congressional race in upstate New York, where Republicans will fight, both...
- 2010 Could Easily Be Disastrous For Democrats - October 1, 2009
- In this week’s New Republic, Ed Kilgore writes a piece entitled "Some Revolution: Why The 2010 Election Will Not Be A Repeat Of 1994." The piece is a pretty good...
- Voting For Obamacare Will Not Help Save Democrats' Majorities - September 2, 2009
- There’s a myth circulating in the blogosphere and the punditry, and it is threatening the Democrats’ majorities. It goes like this: In 1994, Democrats...
- Can Republicans Take Obama's Senate Seat In 2010? - August 10, 2009
- The waiting game is finally over. On July 9, Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan announced that she would run for re-election as Attorney General, and would not run...
- Why Obama Isn't Governing From The Center - July 24, 2009
- Clive Crook is confused. He doesn’t understand why Team Obama is tacking so far to the left, and doing so little outreach to the center: No doubt, but surely even...
- Cap And Trade Vote Shows Promise, Peril For Both Parties - July 7, 2009
- Back in April, I wrote a piece arguing that the Democrats would have trouble governing despite their large majorities in both Houses of Congress. My theory was that...
- There Are No Permanent Majorities In America - July 2, 2009
- Over the past few months, Jay Cost and I have expended quite a few keystrokes identifying the problems realignment theory. But remember, our argument is not simply that...
- New Jersey: Can Christie Beat Corzine? - RealClearPolitics - June 8, 2009
- New Jersey Governor's Race Preview - June 1, 2009
- There’s a statewide race in New Jersey, and Republicans are ecstatic about their chances of winning. The Democratic incumbent is unpopular and the Republicans...
- Is A 2010 Republican Comeback Really Impossible? - May 12, 2009
- I was a little bit surprised about two weeks ago when Stu Rothenberg declared that Republicans' chances of taking back the House were not small, not tiny, but zero. The...
- A Long Term Problem for Republicans - April 29, 2009
- President Obama probably didn’t need any more good news to end his first 100 days. Yet he got it anyway, with a hefty assist from the Republican right. Senator...
- Structural Barriers for Liberals/Progressives - RCP - April 7, 2009
- A Poor Republican Performance In Upstate New York - RCP - April 1, 2009
- Will Democrats Face a 1994 Repeat in 2010? - RCP - March 9, 2009
- Virginia Governor's Preview - RealClearPolitics - February 19, 2009
- Introduction Virginia Republicans have had a rough time of late. In the past decade they lost two Governor's races, both Senate seats, and control of the state Senate....
- Gov. Paterson Gives the GOP Three Gifts - RealClearPolitics - January 28, 2009