Poll: Biden Could Get 56 Percent of Dem Primary Vote Against Clinton
A July 9 national poll by Monmouth University shows that 56 percent of Democratic primary voters would be "very" or "somewhat" likely to "consider supporting Joe Biden for the nomination over your current choice" should he enter the race.
The survey first asked voters for whom they would vote if the primary were held now. Hillary Clinton led the field, although she barely eked out a majority:
--Clinton: 51 percent
--Sanders: 17 percent
--Biden: 13 percent
--Webb: 1 percent
--O'Malley: 1 percent
--Undecided: 17 percent
Then they asked the votes who were not voting for Biden (87 percent of the sample) "Joe Biden has not yet indicated whether he intends to run. If Biden does get into the race, how likely would you be to consider supporting him for the nomination over your current choice?" The results are a real boost to Biden's chances:
--Already for Biden: 13 percent
--Very likely to switch: 12 percent
--Somewhat likely to switch: 31 percent
--Not too likely: 19 percent
--Not at all likely: 19 percent
--Undecided: 6 percent
When you drill down, Clinton's unshakeable base in the Democratic primary is only 38 percent (those who said it was not likely that they would switch).
Clinton's weakness is apparent when one notes that 49 percent of the voters in the initial poll chose to be undecided or to vote for another candidate.
The myth of her invincibility is being shattered.
COPYRIGHT 2015 DICK MORRIS AND EILEEN MCGANN
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