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Poll: Weh Gaining on Udall in N.M. Senate Race

Poll: Weh Gaining on Udall in N.M. Senate Race

By Adam O'Neal - October 27, 2014

The U.S. Senate race in New Mexico has flown under the radar for months as political handicappers have almost universally predicted an easy re-election for Democrat Tom Udall. But a new survey from the Albuquerque Journal suggests that the race may be tightening in its closing days. 

Fifty percent of state voters support Udall (pictured), and 43 percent favor his Republican challenger, Allen Weh. About 8 percent remain undecided. 

Udall holds key advantages over Weh with Hispanic voters (62 percent to 27 percent) and women (53 percent to 37 percent). Weh leads among men (49 percent to 46 percent) and whites (52 percent to 43 percent). 

Weh’s strength appears to be coming from gains with rural conservatives. Pollster Brian Sanderoff told the Albuquerque Journal, “The race narrowed as people began hearing Allen Weh’s conservative message, but getting to the point that the race could turn around, that would be a real uphill battle for Allen Weh.” 

The results -- which could very well be an outlier -- nevertheless provide good news for Weh, who trailed Udall by 13 percentage points in a September Albuquerque Journal poll. And RCP rates the race “likely Democrat,” with Udall leading by an average of 12 percentage points. (The average includes the new survey results.) 

The poll of 614 registered voters was conducted Oct. 21-23 and has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

Adam O'Neal is a political reporter for RealClearPolitics. He can be reached at aoneal@realclearpolitics.com. Follow him on Twitter @RealClearAdam.

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