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GOP, Poised for November Win, Still Viewed Less Favorably Than Dems

GOP, Poised for November Win, Still Viewed Less Favorably Than Dems

By Adam O'Neal - May 16, 2014

While Republicans will likely pick up seats in the Senate this fall, Americans still view the GOP less favorably than the Democratic Party. Neither party, however, is particularly popular with the public, according to a new Gallup survey.

Just 34 percent of the public has a favorable view of the Republican Party, up from a low of 28 percent last year. Democrats are at 44 percent, up slightly from 2013. Both the Democratic and Republican parties’ favorability ratings are near 20-year lows, though Republicans have fallen historically further than their Democratic counterparts.

Democrats have a significantly higher net favorability rating. (Net favorability is calculated by subtracting percent unfavorable from percent favorable.) Republicans stand at -25, while Democrats are at just -6.

While the numbers aren’t cause for celebration among Republicans, they don’t necessarily mean the GOP is doomed this fall. Gallup’s Andrew Dugan pointed out that “there have been several instances in the eight elections from 1996-2012…in which the more popular party has failed to dominate the November elections.”

He also warned, however, that if the Republicans’ “favorability rating hovers in the range in which it currently resides, this will be the lowest favorability rating either party has ever held in an election year.”

The national survey of 1,513 adults was conducted April 24-30 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. 

Adam O'Neal is a political reporter for RealClearPolitics. He can be reached at aoneal@realclearpolitics.com. Follow him on Twitter @RealClearAdam.

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