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Weiner Plummets to Fourth Place in New Poll

Weiner Plummets to Fourth Place in New Poll

By Scott Conroy - July 29, 2013

New York City mayoral candidate Anthony Weiner's free fall in the public discourse now appears to be fully reflected by his sinking polling numbers.

After leading the crowded Democratic primary field in a Quinnipiac survey earlier this month, Weiner dropped all the way to fourth place among likely voters in a Quinnipiac poll released Monday.

City Council Speaker Christine Quinn leads in the new poll at 27 percent, public advocate Bill de Blasio is in second with 21 percent of the vote, and former Comptroller Bill Thompson rounds out the top three at 20 percent.

Weiner’s 16 percent is 10 points lower than the vote share he received in the previous Quinnipiac survey.

Perhaps even more troubling for Weiner, a majority of respondents (53 percent) said he should exit the race, while 40 percent said that he should stay in.

Weiner has vowed that he will not drop out, but if he were to do so, Quinnipiac found that Quinn’s support would rise to 30 percent, with de Blasio and Thompson sharing second place at 25 percent each.

If no candidate reaches 40 percent of the vote in the Sept. 10 primary, a runoff between the top two vote-getters would determine who becomes the party’s nominee for the November general election to replace outgoing mayor Michael Bloomberg.

The poll’s results are the latest bad news for Weiner’s campaign following revelations last week that he continued to send lewd photos of himself online even after resigning from Congress in the aftermath of a previous sexting scandal.

The survey of 446 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted between July 24-28 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.

Weiner now trails Quinn by a 10-point margin (26.7 percent to 16.7 percent) in the latest RealClearPolitics polling average, just barely edging out de Blasio (16.3 percent) for second place. 

Scott Conroy is a national political reporter for RealClearPolitics. He can be reached at sconroy@realclearpolitics.com. Follow him on Twitter @RealClearScott.

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