Congressional Elections and the Sixth-Year Myth

By Sean Trende - May 1, 2013

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This is the first in a two-part series exploring the Democrats’ chances of taking back the House in the 2014 elections and, more broadly, what sort of result we should expect next year. The conclusion is that the Democrats’ odds are pretty slim; the 21 percent chance that the Iowa Electronic Markets currently assigns to that possibility seems rather Pollyannish. At the same time,...

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