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Poll: Obama Edges Romney in New Mexico

Poll: Obama Edges Romney in New Mexico

By Caitlin Huey-Burns - September 10, 2012


President Obama holds a small lead over Mitt Romney in New Mexico, a key battleground state that has been trending in the Democrat's favor.

Obama attracts 45 percent of the support to Romney’s 40 percent, with 8 percent of voters undecided, according to an Albuquerque Journal poll of likely voters. The survey includes the state's former governor, Gary Johnson, who is running as the Libertarian candidate; he garners 7 percent of the support. Romney edges Obama among independent voters -- who make up 17 percent of the electorate -- 38 percent to 35 percent.

The president carries 56 percent of self-identifying Hispanic voters, a key constituency to Obama’s potential success there in November. Romney wins 26 percent of the Hispanic vote, with 12 percent undecided about which candidate they will support on Election Day. Romney leads Obama among those who consider themselves to be Anglo, 48 percent to 39 percent. Obama holds a relatively small lead among women, compared to other polls, 46 percent to 40 percent.

Meanwhile, Democratic Rep. Martin Heinrich leads former Rep. Heather Wilson in the state’s U.S Senate race, 49 percent to 42 percent. Eight percent of voters say they are undecided. But Wilson leads among independent voters, 53 percent to 37 percent, a voting group that will be key to the Republican’s candidacy there. Both candidates had similar crossover appeal: Heinrich drew from 15 percent of Republicans, while Wilson took 17 percent of Democrats.

Heinrich holds a substantial lead among Hispanic voters, 60 percent to 30 percent. Ten percent of Hispanics say they are undecided. Wilson leads her opponent among Anglos, 50 percent to 44 percent.

Heinrich currently represents the 1st Congressional District, which includes the Albuquerque area, holding Wilson’s old seat. Heinrich leads this area by nine points.

Research & Polling Inc. surveyed 667 likely voters for the Albuquerque Journal from Sept. 3-6. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. 

Caitlin Huey-Burns is a congressional reporter for RealClearPolitics. She can be reached at chueyburns@realclearpolitics.com. Follow her on Twitter @CHueyBurnsRCP.

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