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Polls Show Romney Poised for Victories on Tuesday

Polls Show Romney Poised for Victories on Tuesday

By Caitlin Huey-Burns - April 2, 2012


Mitt Romney appears well positioned for primary wins in Wisconsin and Maryland on Tuesday night, according to two Public Policy Polling (D) surveys released Monday.

Romney leads Rick Santorum in Wisconsin, 43 percent to 36 percent. Texas Rep. Ron Paul attracts 11 percent and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich garners 8 percent.

The poll finds Romney making inroads with Tea Party supporters, leading Santorum, 46 percent to 38 percent, among this group. Romney recently earned endorsements from Tea Party-backed freshman Sen. Ron Johnson and House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan, both of Wisconsin. Santorum leads among Evangelicals in Wisconsin, 47 percent to 35 percent. Romney leads among women, 45 percent to 34 percent, and has an edge among men, 41 percent to 39 percent.

Wisconsin, though, has an open primary, which, depending on turnout, could help Santorum. Romney leads by 50 percent to 36 percent among Republican voters. But Santorum holds a five-point edge over Romney among the 40 percent of likely voters surveyed who tend to vote as independents or Democrats. Romney and Santorum run virtually even when it comes to favorability scores, both attracting positive ratings.

Meanwhile, Romney holds an overwhelming lead over Santorum in Maryland, 52 percent to 27 percent. Gingrich garners 10 percent and Paul attracts 9 percent. Romney leads among Tea Party voters, 43 percent to 34 percent, and among Evangelicals, 43 percent to 36 percent. Again, Romney and Santorum run virtually even in terms of favorability, earning a 62 percent and a 60 percent rating, respectively.

PPP surveyed 609 likely GOP primary voters in Wisconsin and 500 likely Republican primary voters in Maryland from March 31-April 1. The margin of error for the Wisconsin poll is plus or minus four percentage points, and the sampling error for the Maryland survey is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. 

Caitlin Huey-Burns is a congressional reporter for RealClearPolitics. She can be reached at chueyburns@realclearpolitics.com. Follow her on Twitter @CHueyBurnsRCP.

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