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Has Huntsman's Moment Arrived Just in Time?

Has Huntsman's Moment Arrived Just in Time?

By Scott Conroy - January 9, 2012


KEENE, N.H. -- Before posing a question on immigration to the candidate, a young voter at a packed town-hall meeting here noted that he had had a conversation with Jon Huntsman during one of the GOP hopeful's earlier visits to this small college town in the southwest corner of the state.

"Good to see you again," Huntsman replied without skipping a beat.

The former Utah governor has spoken at over 160 events in New Hampshire since he entered the race in June, but it was only on Sunday -- less than 48 hours before the polls open in the nation's first primary -- that he finally seemed to find his voice.

Though he stands on the opposite side of the Republican Party’s ideological spectrum from Rick Santorum, Huntsman is trying to follow the same playbook that the former Pennsylvania senator executed to perfection in Iowa: campaign more aggressively than anyone else in this state and then peak at just the right moment.

“We’re doing this the old-fashioned way,” Huntsman told the crowd here. “We’re working for it.”

As with Santorum in Iowa, Huntsman’s views and temperament -- on paper, at least -- are a good fit for the Republican electorate in the Granite State, a place where he has banked his presidential hopes.

Among the crowd of more than 300 who came to see Huntsman at the Keene State Student Center on Sunday night was Rich Mellin, who owns a small business in nearby Peterborough.

One of the heavily courted unaffiliated voters who intends to cast his ballot in the Republican primary on Tuesday, Mellin planted a Huntsman sign in his front yard several weeks ago.

“I think the Republican Party in general has become too dogmatic, and these candidates feel like they have to check all the boxes,” Mellin said. “He’s willing to be nuanced in his positions and think a little bit. But mostly, I think he has a good temperament.”

Huntsman’s campaign is counting on old-style Yankee Republican and independent voters like Mellin to come out in larger than expected numbers, resulting in a second- or strong third-place finish that will enable him to move on to South Carolina with some momentum.

Thirty-eight percent of voters who cast ballots in the 2008 New Hampshire Republican primary were independents, and two senior Huntsman aides said they are counting on a higher-than-expected turnout of about 45 percent of unaffiliated voters on Tuesday.

Team Huntsman points to the lack of a contested Democratic primary as reason to believe that this could happen.

The candidate’s brain trust is counting on doing particularly well with independents in an area of the state that is shaped like an “L,” which goes north to south along the Connecticut River Valley and then cuts across the far southern part of the state to the eastern seacoast.

A sudden burst of energy surrounding Huntsman’s long-shot campaign first became apparent earlier in the day at an event in Hampstead, where an overflow crowd peered through the windows to try to get a glimpse of him.

It was there that Huntsman leaped atop a serving counter inside Bean Towne Coffee House and beamed with an expression of buoyancy that he has rarely shown over his long, hard slog in New Hampshire.

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Scott Conroy is a national political reporter for RealClearPolitics. He can be reached at sconroy@realclearpolitics.com. Follow him on Twitter @RealClearScott.

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