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Poll Shows Gingrich With Big Lead in Iowa

Poll Shows Gingrich With Big Lead in Iowa

By Caitlin Huey-Burns - November 29, 2011


With nearly a month to go until Iowa Republicans gather for their state's presidential nominating caucuses, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich leads the field of White House hopefuls there by 15 points, according to a new Insider Advantage survey conducted for Newsmax. Texas Rep. Ron Paul places second.

Gingrich attracts 28 percent of the support from likely voters while Paul garners 13 percent. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney takes third with 12 percent. Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, who won the state's straw poll in August, and businessman Herman Cain tie with 10 percent of the support. Texas Gov. Rick Perry receives 7 percent, and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who has campaigned in every Iowa county, picks up just 3 percent of the support. Notably, 14 percent are undecided.

Paul leads the field among independents by five points. Gingrich attracts 25 percent of the support from this group while Cain receives 22 percent.

Gingrich edges Paul among male voters by four points and holds an 18-point lead over Romney among female voters.

Most young voters are split between Paul and Bachmann, who take 47 percent each among those between 18 and 29 years of age. Gingrich wins the remaining age groups by solid double-digit margins.

Perry holds a commanding lead among Hispanic voters in Iowa, taking 53 percent of the support from this minority group. Cain wins the plurality of black voters with 43 percent. Gingrich and Paul tie among this group with 25 percent of the support each. Gingrich holds a 15-point lead over his rivals among white voters. Paul and Romney take 13 percent and 12 percent of this group, respectively. 

Insider Advantage surveyed 509 likely voters in Iowa. The margin of error is plus or minus four percentage points.

Caitlin Huey-Burns is a congressional reporter for RealClearPolitics. She can be reached at chueyburns@realclearpolitics.com. Follow her on Twitter @CHueyBurnsRCP.

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