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Bloomberg Poll Shows Tight GOP Race in Iowa

Bloomberg Poll Shows Tight GOP Race in Iowa

By Caitlin Huey-Burns - November 15, 2011


A new survey shows Iowa up for grabs less than two months before the state becomes the first to weigh in on the Republican presidential field.

According to a Bloomberg News poll of likely caucus-goers, four candidates come within striking distance of one another. Herman Cain leads the pack with 20 percent, followed by Texas Rep. Ron Paul at 19 percent. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney attracts 18 percent of the support while former House Speaker Newt Gingrich garners 17 percent.

The remaining candidates lag behind in the single digits. Texas Gov. Rick Perry gets 7 percent and Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann -- who won the Ames Straw Poll in August -- receives 5 percent of the support. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who has visited every county in the state, attracts only 3 percent. Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, who isn't competing in Iowa, languishes at the bottom with 1 percent. Notably, 60 percent of respondents say their support could change.

"In Iowa, it's been a two-person race between Romney and someone else," Ann Selzer, president of the firm that conducted the poll, told Bloomberg. "It's now a four-person race between Romney and three someone elses."

The Des Moines-based Selzer and Co. surveyed 503 registered voters likely to participate in the Iowa caucuses from Nov. 10-12. The sampling error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

Caitlin Huey-Burns is a congressional reporter for RealClearPolitics. She can be reached at chueyburns@realclearpolitics.com. Follow her on Twitter @CHueyBurnsRCP.

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