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Bachmann Surges, But Romney Still Leads in National Poll

Bachmann Surges, But Romney Still Leads in National Poll

By Caitlin Huey-Burns - July 13, 2011


A new national poll shows Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann surging into second place behind longtime front-runner Mitt Romney in the Republican presidential race.

Romney leads Bachmann, 25 percent to 14 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday. Sarah Palin places third with 12 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry garners 10 percent support. Romney's support remained unchanged since the last Quinnipiac poll taken a month ago, while Bachmann picked up eight percentage points. With Bachmann moving up, Palin lost three points.

None of remaining candidates polled above the 6 percent businessman Herman Cain received. Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich received 5 percent support, and former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty earned 3 percent. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman each received 1 percent.

The poll also suggests that Romney and Bachmann have the most to gain if Perry or Palin stays out of the race. In Perry's absence, Romney leads Bachmann by 28 percent to 16 percent and Palin places third with 13 percent. In a Palin-less race, Romney continues to lead with 28 percent support, followed by Bachmann with 17 percent and Perry at 10 percent.

Romney comes the closest to President Obama in a head-to-head matchup, trailing the president, 47 percent to 41 percent. This margin has not changed since the last Quinnipiac poll. Though he trails overall, Romney edges Obama among independents, 42 percent to 40 percent.

The president leads the other top candidates with at least 50 percent support, topping Bachmann, 50-38; Palin, 53-34; and Perry, 50-37. He tops these candidates among independents as well.

However, voters are split, 47-47, on whether the president deserves a second term in the White House. Half of the women polled (50 percent to 43 percent) think he deserves re-election, while a slight majority of men (51 percent to 43 percent) don't think he does. The president wins the majority of women when pitted against Romney (50 percent to 39 percent) and Bachmann (52 percent to 35 percent). But Romney holds a 45-44 percent edge over Obama among men.

For this poll, Quinnipiac surveyed 2,311 registered voters from July 5 to July 11. The poll has a margin of error or plus or minus two percentage points.

Caitlin Huey-Burns is a congressional reporter for RealClearPolitics. She can be reached at chueyburns@realclearpolitics.com. Follow her on Twitter @CHueyBurnsRCP.

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