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Obama, Romney Tied in Pennsylvania

Obama, Romney Tied in Pennsylvania

By Caitlin Huey-Burns - July 8, 2011


A new poll finds President Obama tied with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania, a swing state Obama won by 10 points in 2008. Additionally, the president faces upside-down approval ratings there.

Forty-six percent of Keystone State voters approve of Obama while 48 percent disapprove, according to a survey by Public Policy Polling (D). This is actually an improvement for the president; when the polling firm surveyed Pennsylvania voters in April, those numbers were 42-52. Independents are split on their approval of Obama, with 44 percent approving of his performance and 45 percent disapproving.

Romney and Obama are tied at 44 percent in a hypothetical general election matchup. Romney picks up support from 18 percent of Democrats surveyed, and Obama edges Romney among independents by just 1 percent.

Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann appears to be the second strongest contender against Obama, though she trails him by seven points. She also has the highest net favorability rating of all GOP contenders, with 34 percent having a favorable opinion of her and 41 percent having an unfavorable one. (Romney's numbers were 35-46, for a net rating of -11.) Very conservative voters have the highest opinions of Bachmann (74 percent) and former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin (77 percent.)

Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty trails Obama by eight points; former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum is behind by 10; businessman Herman Cain is down by 12 points; and Palin trails by 14.

PPP surveyed 545 Pennsylvania voters from June 30 to July 5. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percent.

Caitlin Huey-Burns is a congressional reporter for RealClearPolitics. She can be reached at chueyburns@realclearpolitics.com. Follow her on Twitter @CHueyBurnsRCP.

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