Sunshine State Poll: Grayson In Trouble

Sunshine State Poll: Grayson In Trouble

By Sean Trende - September 29, 2010

The latest Sunshine State/VSS poll shows controversial Democratic incumbent Alan Grayson trailing former state Senator Dan Webster by seven points, 43 percent to 36 percent.  A majority of respondents -- 51 percent -- disapprove of the job that Grayson is doing.  Independents have an unfavorable view of him as well, by a 36/47 margin.

Grayson has ignored the conventional wisdom that a freshman should be a quiet member who carefully tends to the home fires.  The latest controversy involves his "Taliban Dan" advertisement, where he explicitly compares his opponent to the Taliban, and shows a clip of Webster paraphrasing Ephesians 5:22 -- "wives, submit to your husbands." An unedited version of the clip shows that Webster was actually suggesting that husbands ought not concentrate on that verse, but rather should look at what the Bible tells them to do.  Politico reports that the advertisement has been condemned by and the Orlando Sentinel. 

Regardless, an incumbent Congressman polling at 36 percent is in very deep trouble, especially in a swing district like this one.  RCP currently rates the race as Leans Republican.

Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and author of The Lost Majority. He can be reached at Follow him on Twitter @SeanTrende.

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