|
Potentially Competitive Senate Races
AK
| CO | FL
| KY | LA | NC
| OK | SC
| SD
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| South
Dakota |
| 2002:
Johnson (D) 50, Thune (R) 50 | 1998: Daschle (D), Schmidt (R)
36 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Thune
(R) |
Daschle
(D)* |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/19-10/26 |
- |
48.3 |
47.0 |
5.5 |
Thune
+1.3 |
| |
800
LV |
49 |
46 |
7 |
Thune
+3 |
| |
500
LV |
49 |
46 |
- |
Thune
+3 |
| |
800
LV |
47 |
49 |
4 |
Daschle
+2 |
| |
| Florida |
| 2000:
Nelson (D) 51, McCollum (R) 46 | 1998: Graham (D) 62, Crist
(R) 38 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Martinez
(R) |
Castor
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP
Avg | 10/26-10/31 |
- |
46.1 |
46.6 |
6.6 |
Castor
+0.5 |
| |
700 LV |
41 |
47 |
12 |
Castor
+6 |
| |
738 LV |
48 |
48 |
4 |
TIE |
| Insdr
Adv | 10/29-31 |
400
LV |
46 |
47 |
6 |
Castor
+1 |
| |
601
LV |
46 |
46 |
7 |
TIE |
| |
1098
LV |
49 |
44 |
6 |
Martinez
+5 |
| |
1138
LV |
46 |
48 |
5 |
Castor
+2 |
| |
625
LV |
47 |
46 |
6 |
Martinez
+1 |
| |
| Colorado |
| 2002:
Allard (R) 51, Strickland (D) 46| 1998: Campbell (R) 62, Lamm
(D) 35 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Coors
(R) |
Salazar
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP
Avg | 10/25-11/1 |
- |
44.8 |
49.3 |
4.5 |
Salazar
+4.5 |
|
|
705
LV |
47 |
51 |
3 |
Salazar
+4 |
|
|
600
LV |
44 |
52 |
4 |
Salazar
+8 |
|
|
500
LV |
42 |
48 |
4 |
Salazar
+6 |
|
|
625
LV |
46 |
46 |
7 |
TIE |
| |
| Oklahoma |
| 2002:
Inhofe (R) 57, Walters (D) 36 | 1998: Nickles (R) 66, Carroll
(D) 31 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Coburn
(R) |
Carson
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP
Avg | 10/22-10/30 |
- |
44.0 |
37.3 |
12.3 |
Coburn
+6.7 |
| |
656
LV |
47 |
39 |
6 |
Coburn
+8 |
| |
498
LV |
44 |
35 |
16 |
Coburn
+9 |
| |
500
LV |
41 |
38 |
15 |
Coburn
+3 |
| |
| Alaska |
| 2002:
Stevens (R) 78, Vondersaar (D) 11 | 1998: Murkowski (R) 74,
Sonneman (D) 20 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Murkowski
(R)* |
Knowles
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| |
500
LV |
48 |
43 |
7 |
Murkowski
+5 |
| |
n/a |
45 |
47 |
4 |
Knowles
+2 |
| |
n/a |
45 |
48 |
5 |
Knowles
+3 |
| |
| North
Carolina |
| 2002:
Dole (R) 54, Bowles (D) 45 | 1998: Edwards (D) 51, Faircloth
(R) 47 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Burr
(R) |
Bowles
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP
Avg | 10/24-10/31 |
- |
47.7 |
45.7 |
6.7 |
Burr
+2.0 |
| |
616
LV |
50 |
45 |
5 |
Burr
+5 |
| |
625
LV |
46 |
46 |
8 |
TIE |
| |
600
LV |
47 |
46 |
7 |
Burr
+1 |
| |
| Louisiana |
| 2002:
Landrieu (D) 52, Terrell (R) 48 | 1998: Breaux (D) 64, Donelon
(R) 32 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Vitter
(R) |
Kennedy
(D) |
John
(D) |
Spread** |
| RCP
Avg | 10/12-10/29 |
- |
43.0 |
14.7 |
18.0 |
Vitter
-7.0 |
| |
600
RV |
47 |
15 |
21 |
Vitter
-3 |
| |
600
RV |
39 |
18 |
15 |
Vitter
-11 |
| |
600
LV |
43 |
11 |
18 |
Vitter
-7 |
| |
| South
Carolina |
| 2002:
Graham (R) 54, Sanders (D) 44 | 1998: Hollings (D) 53, Inglis
(R) 46 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
DeMint
(R) |
Tenenbaum
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/19-10/24 |
- |
49.5 |
41.0 |
10 |
DeMint
+8.5 |
| |
559
LV |
52 |
39 |
10 |
DeMint
+13 |
| |
625
LV |
47 |
43 |
- |
DeMint
+4 |
| |
| Kentucky |
| 1998:
Bunning (R) 50, Baesler (D) 49 | 1992: Ford (D) 63, Williams
(R) 36 |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
Bunning
(R)* |
Mongiardo
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP
Avg | 10/18-10/30 |
- |
50.0 |
42.5 |
7.5 |
Bunning
+7.5 |
| |
631
LV |
51 |
42 |
6 |
Bunning
+9 |
| |
690
LV |
49 |
43 |
9 |
Bunning
+6 |
| |
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*=Incumbent
Senator
**Louisiana
has an open field general election where one candidate needs to
get over 50% of the vote otherwise there will be a run-off between
the top two candidates. The spread lists the leading candidate's
margin (plus or minus) in relation to reaching the 50% mark.
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