THE FUTILITY OF COMPROMISE: There are two schools of
thought regarding Bush's next Supreme Court nomination. The first
school says the President is in a weakened state with low approval
ratings across the board and must therefore appoint a "moderate"
to replace Sandra Day O'Connor. According to this line of thinking
(currently the conventional
mentality among the majority of the press corp) Bush cannot
afford a divisive and bruising confirmation battle.
outlines the second school of thought in today's Christian
the president decides to go with somebody who is moderate, he
will not placate his enemies. They will attack him anyway. And
he will disillusion his base.... His base is important in getting
through legislation he wants."
John Roberts is going to be confirmed as Chief Justice with somewhere
in the neighborhood of 75-plus votes, the next Bush nominee is
almost certain to face stiff opposition in the Senate. So, the
thinking goes, Bush might as well go as conservative as he can.
REPUBLICAN GANG OF FOUR: Clearly, Bush doesn't want to
put forth a nominee so controversial they will be vulnerable to
losing majority support. However, despite all the talk about appeasing
moderates like Snowe, Collins and Chafee, from a strategic standpoint
they are more or less irrelevant.
House really has a target audience of only four Senators: McCain,
Warner, Graham, and DeWine. Bush's pick would need to win support
from at least two of these to be confirmable - that's assuming
every Democrat votes against the nominee along with defections
from the three aforementioned Republican moderates.
Even if Democrats
proceed with a filibuster, the calculus remains the same: Bush
would need support from only two of the Republican Gang of Four
to get to fifty votes, which would then allow Cheney to come down
and invoke the nuclear option.
AMAZING BROUSSARD: Aaron Broussard sucked up about 10
minutes of television time on Meet
The Press yesterday without answering charges that he lied
about the details of the story he told on national television
three weeks ago.
he went the indignant, how-dare-you-question-me route,
finishing off by telling those interested in the truth to "get
out of my face." Give Tim Russert credit for bringing Broussard
back and alerting his viewers to the fact the guy is a shameless
fraud. - T. Bevan 8:45 am Link
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