PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY

LOUISIANA VOTERS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

June 30, 2008

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For more information contact:

Bernie R. Pinsonat

(225)-383-4509

(225) 405-6797

pinsonat@smor.com

 

 

©SOUTHERN MEDIA & OPINION RESEARCH


ABOUT THE POLL

 

 

††††††††††† This statewide poll was developed and conducted by Southern Media & Opinion Research, Incorporated.

 

††††††††††† Interviews for this statewide poll were completed by telephone with 600 likely Louisiana voters from Thursday, June 26, 2008, through Saturday, June 28, 2008.

 

††††††††††† The overall margin of error for the statewide statistics obtained from the survey data is not greater than plus or minus 4.0 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.In other words, there is a 95% certainty that the statistics presented from the results obtained on this survey of 600 likely voters statewide will not be more than 4.0 percentage above or below the figure that would be obtained if all of the likely voters in the state would have been interviewed.

 

The sample error may be larger for subgroup responses based on attitudinal and demographic variables such as area, age, etc.There are other sources of potential error which cannot be calculated including question wording and order of question presentation.

 

††††††††††† An interval sample design was used to select telephone numbers from a sample frame of telephone numbers for likely voter households.

 

††††††††††† Respondents were assigned to one of four geographic areas based on their parish of residence.The four geographic areas along with the parishes comprising those areas are:

 

New Orleans metropolitan area, (includes Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, St. Bernard, St. Charles, St. John the Baptist, St. Tammany and Washington parishes);Florida-River Parishes, (includes Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee, St. Helena, St. James, Tangipahoa, West Baton Rouge and West Feliciana parishes);Acadiana-southwest, (includes Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia, Jefferson Davis, Lafayette, Lafourche, St. Landry, St. Martin, St. Mary, Terrebonne and Vermilion parishes); North Louisiana, (includes Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne, Concordia, DeSoto, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant, Jackson, LaSalle, Lincoln, Madison, Morehouse, Natchitoches, Ouachita, Rapides, Red River, Richland, Sabine, Tensas, Union, Vernon, Webster, West Carroll and Winn parishes).

 

††††††††††† A quota ensuring representative voter participation by sex in the study was imposed.A statistical weighting procedure was employed to normalize the sample to the voter population based on voter age and race.

 

The survey was paid for by Southern Media & Opinion Research subscribers.

 


FREQUENCY RESPONSESóWEIGHTED BY RACE AND AGE

SAMPLE SIZE (n=600)

 

SMOR 2929

6.25.08

 

               Are you registered to vote in Louisiana?††††††††† YES................... 100.0

†††† (IF NO, ASK TO SPEAK WITH A REGISTERED VOTER)††††††††††† (DNK/WS)........ TERMINATE

 

 

               Would you rate Louisiana as an excellent,†††††††† EXCELLENT.............. 11.1

†††† good, not so good or poor place to live?††††††††† GOOD................... 58.5

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† NOT SO GOOD............ 16.2

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† POOR................... 13.0

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 1.2

 

 

               Please tell me if your impression of the following people is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable:

†††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† VERY††† SOME††† SOME†††† VERY (NOT FAMIL/

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† FAVOR†† FAVORUNFAVORUNFAVOR DNK/WS)

   President George W. Bush............... 20.7... 25.8... 13.2.... 37.4.... 2.9

   Governor Bobby Jindal.................. 25.2... 34.1... 20.3.... 15.5.... 4.9

   U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu............. 27.1... 33.9... 16.8.... 17.2.... 5.0

   U.S. Senator David Vitter.............. 16.0... 39.0... 17.2.... 20.5.... 7.4

   State Treasurer John Kennedy........... 24.2... 36.8.... 5.7..... 4.8... 28.5

   Secretary of State Jay Dardenne........ 15.4... 34.5.... 5.5..... 5.8... 38.7

   the Louisiana State Legislature......... 5.6... 27.1... 23.7.... 34.7.... 8.9

 

 

               Do you think Governor Bobby Jindal is doing an††† EXCELLENT.............. 17.8

†††† excellent, good, not so good or poor job?†††††††† GOOD................... 39.1

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† NOT SO GOOD............ 20.0

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† POOR................... 18.1

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 5.0

 

 

               In your opinion, does state government††††††††††† YES.................... 18.1

†††† spend tax dollars wisely?†††††††††††††††††††††††† NO..................... 75.4

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 6.5

 

 

               Have you heard or read about the state††††††††††† YES.................... 92.9

†††† legislators increasing their pay?†††††††††††††††† NO...................... 6.5

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 0.6

 

 

               Do you agree or disagree with a bill recently†††† AGREE.................. 10.1

†††† passed by the state legislature that would††††††† DISAGREE............... 87.5

†††† double their salary?††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 2.4


 

 

               In your opinion, should Governor Bobby Jindal†††† YES.................... 80.3

†††† veto the legislators pay raise bill passed by†††† NO..................... 14.7

†††† the legislature?††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 4.9

 

 

               If Governor Jindal does not veto the pay raise††† BETTER.................. 4.7

†††† bill will that cause your opinion of him to†††††† WORSE.................. 52.5

†††† change for the better, for the worse or†††††††††† NOT AT ALL............. 38.6

†††† not at all?†††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 4.2

 

 

               If your legislator voted for the pay raise bill,YES.................... 16.2

†††† will you vote for that person if he or she††††††† NO..................... 67.6

†††† seeks re-election in three years?†††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)............... 16.2

 

 

               An election for U.S. Senator will be held later this year.

†††† If that election were held today between

†††† incumbent U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu,†††††††††††† MARY LANDRIEU.......... 45.8

†††† a Democrat, and State Treasurer John Kennedy,†††† JOHN KENNEDY........... 40.3

†††† a Republican, for whom would you vote?††††††††††† (UNDEC/DNK/WS)......... 13.9

 

 

               Please tell me if your impression of the following candidates for President of the United States is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable:

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† VERY†††† SOME†††† SOME†††† VERY†† (NOT FAMIL/

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† FAVOR††† FAVOR†† UNFAVORUNFAVOR††† DNK/WS)

   Republican John McCain............. 24.3.... 33.1.... 16.3.... 22.0....... 4.3

   Democrat Barack Obama.............. 30.7.... 12.3.... 11.6.... 40.9....... 4.6

 

 

               If the election for President were held today†††† JOHN McCAIN............ 52.2

†††† between Republican John McCain and Democrat†††††† BARACK OBAMA........... 35.5

†††† Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?††††††††††† (DNK/UNDECIDED......... 12.3

 

 

               Are you registered to vote as a Democrat,†††††††† DEMOCRAT............... 56.4

†††† Republican or Independent?††††††††††††††††††††††† REPUBLICAN............. 30.0

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† INDEPENDENT............ 11.8

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (DNK/WS)................ 1.8

 

 

               What is your age?Are you: (read categories)††††††† UNDER 35............... 16.7

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† 35 - 49................ 24.3

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† 50 - 64................ 33.0

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† 65 OR OVER............. 25.4

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† (WS).................... 0.5

 

 

               (Verify as necessary: male or female).††††††††††† MALE................... 49.8

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† FEMALE................. 50.2

 

 

               What is your race?††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† WHITE.................. 72.0

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† AFRICAN-AMERICAN....... 25.4

††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††††† OTHER................... 2.5