Wednesday Poll Watching
Colorado Senate
An Associated Press poll conducted by BfK Roper Public Affairs & Media surveyed 626 likely voters 10/22-26 for a margin of error of +/- 3.9%. Democratic Rep. Mark Udall, GOP ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer and two minor party candidates were tested.
General Election Matchup
Udall........48
Schaffer.....36
Other........ 4
Udall has virtually put the race away, and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis is still talking smack about his fellow Republican.
Indiana 02
A Research 2000 poll conducted 10/24-26 for WSBT-TV and the South Bend Tribune surveyed 400 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Rep. Joe Donnelly, GOP businessman Luke Puckett and Libertarian Mark Vogel were tested.
General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind)
Donnelly......54 / 89 / 12 / 64 (+1 from last, 9/30)
Puckett.......40 / 7 / 81 / 29 (+5)
Vogel......... 3 / 1 / 4 / 4 (no change)
Elected in a Republican district, Donnelly was expecting a strong challenge this year. Puckett just wasn't the guy to give him one.
New Hampshire Senate
An AP/GfK poll surveyed 600 likely voters 10/22-26 for a margin of error of +/- 4%. Senator John Sununu, Democratic ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen and Libertarian Ken Blevens were tested.
General Election Matchup
Shaheen.......47
Sununu........41
Blevens....... 3
A University of New Hampshire poll for WMUR surveyed 652 likely voters 10/25-27 for a margin of error of +/- 3.8%. Shaheen and Sununu were tested.
General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind)
Shaheen.......50 / 85 / 10 / 36 (+1 from last, 10/26)
Sununu........36 / 6 / 77 / 33 (-2)
A Public Opinion Strategies poll, conducted for the NRSC surveyed 525 likely voters between 10/20-22 for a margin of error of +/- 4.3%. Sununu, Shaheen and Blevens were tested.
General Election Matchup
Shaheen......46 (-1 from last, 10/19)
Sununu.......43 (+2)
Blevens...... 5 (no change)
Republicans think one of their most vulnerable incumbents could be making a comeback, though he still has work to do.
North Carolina Senate/Governor
An AP/GfK poll surveyed 601 likely voters 10/22-26 for a margin of error of +/- 4%. GOP Senator Elizabeth Dole, Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan and Libertarian Christopher Cole were tested in the Senate race. In the battle for governor, Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue, Republican Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory and Libertarian Michael Munger were tested.
General Election Matchup
Hagan.......47
Dole........43
Cole........ 2
Perdue......44
McCrory.....44
Munger...... 4
Dole has been attacking Hagan for participating in a fundraiser which two prominent atheists attended, and Hagan is pushing back hard. A case of much ado about nothing, or could this sink one candidate for her associations or the other one for overreaching?
Washington Governor
A Strategic Vision poll tested 800 likely voters between 10/25-26 for a margin of error of +/- 3.5%. Governor Christine Gregoire was matched up against GOP ex-State Senator Dino Rossi.
General Election Matchup
Gregoire.......49 (+3 from last, 9/16)
Rossi..........47 (-1)
Neither candidate has been outside the margin of error in the four years Strategic Vision has been polling this race.