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« McDonnell Raised $3.8M In September, Deeds $3.5M | Blog Home Page | Strategy Memo: Out West »

Corzine: Victories In NJ, VA Could "Enhance" Obama

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The Democratic cavalry is descending on New Jersey next week in a major push for Gov. Jon Corzine. Vice President Joe Biden, former President Bill Clinton and President Obama will all hold rallies with the embattled Democrat on successive days starting Monday, as the party looks to energize supporters for a final 15-day push.

Corzine, speaking to small donors on a conference call with representatives from the Democratic Governors Association, called this support from the party critical as he looks to be the first Democrat re-elected in the state in 32 years. Victories in New Jersey and Virginia would also have national ramifications, he added.

"They will not reflect I think on the success of the president, but they will certainly enhance the president if we are successful," Corzine said on the call. "All elections have local character to them, but it will be an important message back to what is a very, very competitive Republican run, certainly in New Jersey and it sounds like in Virginia."

He cited the statistic that no party that holds the White House has been able to win in New Jersey or Virginia since 1985, and called his situation "ominously parallel" to then-Gov. Jim Florio's in 1993, a year after Clinton's election with a health care debate heating up in Washington.

"We lost that race by 25,000 votes. We are going to do everything possible that we don't have that outcome in 2009," he said.

Caroline Kennedy, daughter of the late president, will also hold a rally in the Garden State next week, as will several other national Democrats. Corzine also said he was hopeful for yet another visit from Obama before Election Day.

As for his campaign, Corzine sounded optimistic while acknowledging a "very challenging environment" because of the economy.

"This is not a creation of Democratic governors or any governor, for that matter," he said. "But it impacts how people perceive issues, and makes it a challenge."

Since Labor Day, he says the campaign has shifted somewhat to a "values contrast" between him and who he notably referred to as his "leading opponent," a nod to the strong third-party candidacy as well. Now, he said, most public polls have the race a dead heat, with internal polling showing a "slightly more positive" view. This despite what the "non-stop" advertising from not just Christie but also the Republican Governors Association.

"The story is getting out, and we feel like we're organizing quite effectively for Election Day," he said.

DGA political director Raymond Glendening also gave a brief overview of the race in Virginia, saying Democrats are now in a "similar situation" to where they were before the primary in June. He said the Deeds campaign has been effectively capitalizing on the Bob McDonnell thesis. Given that polls show many voters still have not heard about the views the Republican expresses in it, Glendening argued that there is still progress to be made. He also said there is "room for growth" in Deeds' numbers in Northern Virginia, and that they are optimistic it will again break heavily for the Democrats by Election Day.

"There are a lot of advantages for us in the last two and a half weeks," he said.

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