Strategy Memo: The Heat Is On
After a pretty mild summer, we're in for the real dog days of Washington in August. It comes as the health care fight has moved -- for the most part -- outside of the Beltway and into Congressional districts across the country. We can expect a steady stream of reports from the town hall meetings and other forums that Congressmen and senators are hosting -- especially the rowdy ones.
President Obama starts off his week in Mexico, however, focusing on regional concerns in a meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Harper and Mexican President Calderon. They hold a trilateral meeting this morning and then a joint press conference. Obama returns to Washington from Guadalajara tonight.
Looking ahead, he'll host a town hall meeting in New Hampshire on Tuesday. On Wednesday he'll honor new Justice Sonia Sotomayor at the White House, and host the Medal of Freedom ceremony. Friday he and the first family start a long weekend vacation in Montana, with stops also coming in Yellowstone National Park and the Grand Canyon.
Check out the Sunday Show highlights at RCP's Video page.
**Health Care
*The Obama administration has launched a new "Reality Check" offensive on health care "rumors." From the White House blog: "As more people become engaged in the issue, defenders of the status quo have responded by muddying the waters with more wild rumors and scare tactics. It's time for a reality check. Today the White House is rolling out a new website that focuses on what reform really means for you and your family, debunks some common myths along the way and provides you with online tools and content to share the facts with friends, family and anyone else in your social network."
*Politico explains what came in our inbox this weekend. "Organizing for America, President Obama's political organization, is urging supporters to visit the district offices of their local member of Congress to urge support for healthcare reform -- another move by Democrats to counter the loud opposition being voiced by conservatives at town halls."
*The Times' John Harwood: "Spontaneous or contrived, the shouting, shoving and other shenanigans at lawmakers' town-hall-style meetings point to one probable outcome: the demise of bipartisan health care negotiations. ... The rowdy start of the August Congressional recess has galvanized activists on both ends of the ideological spectrum. That makes it tougher for negotiators to stake out a middle ground -- especially in conservative locales that Democratic centrists call home."
*Speaker Pelosi and Majority Leader Hoyer write an op-ed in USA Today calling attacks on health care reform "un-American."
*The Washington Post follows the leader of the Blue Dogs, Rep. Baron Hill (D-Ind.), back to his district -- where he's "a target of groups that want to steer the August conversation and the autumn vote." More: "So many people are calling and writing Hill that the telephone lines in his Bloomington office are often jammed. The phone traffic to his Capitol Hill office is so heavy that one staffer sends an e-mail when he needs to reach colleagues there. On Wednesday, Hill's office mailed 8,400 responses to voters. One thing Hill is not doing is holding public town-hall meetings like those at which opponents have heckled members of Congress. He held at least six unannounced meetings with constituents last week and is mulling a day-long series of one-on-one meetings or a telephone conference call."
*Gingrich vs. Dean, on Sarah Palin's claim about Obama's "evil" health care plan. Gingrich told ABC: "Communal standards historically is a very dangerous concept. You are asking us to trust turning power over to the government, when there are clearly people in American who believe in establishing euthanasia, including selective standards."
Howard Dean: "About euthanasia, they're just totally erroneous. She just made that up," he said. "Just like the 'Bridge to Nowhere' that she supposedly didn't support."
**President Obama
*Some great state-by-state polling data from Gallup. His approval rating "was above 50% in all but two states, Wyoming and Alaska. His highest approval ratings were in the District of Columbia, Hawaii, Vermont, Maryland, and Massachusetts."
*AP on the Mexico summit: "President Barack Obama pressed for a new tone in the United States' relationship with Mexico but found no immediate progress Sunday on the divisions between him and Mexican President Felipe Calderon over the pace of U.S. drug-fighting aid and a ban on Mexican trucks north of the border."
*Dan Balz: "President Obama once looked to the August congressional recess as the moment to gain a decisive advantage in the fight to overhaul the nation's health-care system. Instead, he needs to use the month to rebalance his presidency."
*Obama can expect big protests in New Hampshire tomorrow, NBC reports.
*"The resurrection of the guaranteed bonus is sure to become a hot-button issue for the Obama administration's pay czar, Kenneth Feinberg, who is preparing this week to review how compensation should be structured at seven companies that received two or more federal bailouts," the New York Times reports.
**Congress
*"Bipartisan opposition is emerging in the Senate to a plan by House lawmakers to spend $550 million for additional passenger jets for senior government officials, the Wall Street Journal reports. "The plan to upgrade the fleet of government jets, which was included in a broader defense-funding bill, has also sparked criticism from the Pentagon, which has said it doesn't need half of the new jets. 'The whole thing kind of makes me sick to my stomach,' said Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.)."
**Campaign Stuff
*The Star Tribune looks at Tim Pawlenty's early moves toward 2012, including his small staff. "For now, they're satisfied to position Minnesota's governor as a lower-key, fresh-faced alternative to Big Names who failed so spectacularly in 2008 -- a candidate, as it were, without baggage."
*Finally, a challenger for Sen. Harry Reid (D) in Nevada, and it's a big name if not a political veteran. Per the Las Vegas Sun, it's Danny Tarkanian, "a one-time UNLV basketball player and son of the Rebels' legendary longtime coach Jerry Tarkanian. ... Tarkanian, who runs a real estate business and a basketball camp, is a two-time electoral loser. He was beaten in a state Senate race and, most recently, in a race for Secretary of State in 2006 to Ross Miller.
*Here's the Orlando Sentinel wrap on Friday's biggest political story, the resignation of Sen. Mel Martinez and Gov. Charlie Crist's announcement that he won't appoint himself.
*How bout Jeb Bush for senator? Michael Barone: "He could bring to the Senate the perspective of a seasoned governor and an innovative reformer. True, he has shown no interest in holding public office any time soon and is reportedly involved in repairing his family finances. It might be a considerable sacrifice for him to serve. But that also means that there's zero chance he will run for the seat in 2010."
*PA2010 watched Sen. Arlen Specter on CNN talk re-election. "I don't want to get involved in brickbats, and I'd rather talk about the issues, but if Congressman Sestak wants to go negative, I'm prepared to battle him toe to toe," Specter said.
*A North Dakota columnist talked to Gov. John Hoeven about a possible Senate race. "He talked frankly about the challenges of a campaign against U.S. Sen. Byron Dorgan, mentioning the probability that the race would be the most expensive in North Dakota history, and probably the costliest per capita of any U.S. Senate race next year. He worried aloud about losing control of the campaign to interest groups whose agendas might not be the same as his. He outlined what sounded like a campaign theme, that he can help the United States be more competitive in the world economy, just as he's helped North Dakota become more successful economically. On balance, he sounded genuinely undecided, intrigued but reluctant at the same time."
*Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman gets huge numbers as he prepares to step down to become ambassador to China. "An impressive 86 percent of Utahns approve of the job Huntsman, a Republican, is doing as governor, found a new survey conducted for the Deseret News and KSL-TV. And if Huntsman ever wants to run for another office in this state he has a leg up on any competition -- two-thirds say they would vote for him again, the new poll by Dan Jones & Associates shows."
*From Friday, a big development in the New York Senate race. AP writes: "In less than seven months, Gillibrand went from vulnerable and criticized to a prohibitive favorite. A primary election fight is the biggest threat to Gillibrand in a state where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans 2-to-1. No Republican has emerged as a general election opponent."
*Cillizza on another Friday bonus for a Democratic senator: "The simple fact for Dodd is that any finding of wrongdoing by the Ethics committee would almost certainly have doomed what is already a very difficult reelection bid. In that broadest sense then, Dodd dodged a major bullet."
*Politico reports on a poll from California Lt. Gov. John Garamendi that shows him leading the field to replace Rep. Ellen Tauscher (D).
**Sports Alert:: SWEEEP! The Yankees magic number is now 46 to clinch the American League East after a four-game drubbing of the hated Red Sox.



