Strategy Memo: Opening Day
Good Monday morning. Obama's day is nearly over in Turkey, where he has already met with that nation's president. He will shortly speak at the Turkish Parliament, and then meet with the prime minister. He ends the day in Istanbul, where he will his week-long European tour comes to a close.
The House and Senate are at the beginning of a two-week recess. A new member will be elected tomorrow, as three candidates vie for White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel's former Chicago-area seat. Cook County Commissioner Mike Quigley (D) expects to win the heavily Democratic seat with ease.
Today marks both the end of the college basketball season and the official start of the baseball season. Yes, there was a game last night, but today is truly Opening Day in Major League Baseball. Vice President Joe Biden will throw out the ceremonial first pitch in Baltimore today, where the Orioles face the 2009 World Champion New York Yankees. Reports out of Boston indicate that Sen. Ted Kennedy will throw out the first pitch there before the hated Red Sox take the field.
In the NCAA championship game tonight in Detroit, North Carolina -- President Obama's pick to win it all -- goes head-to-head against Michigan State, in a rematch of a 2005 Final Four game.
**Miss any of the Sunday talk shows? You can find all the highlights at the RealClearPolitics Video page.
**North Korea
*"North Korea failed in its highly vaunted effort to fire a satellite into orbit, military and private experts said Sunday after reviewing detailed tracking data that showed the missile and payload fell into the sea," NY Times reports, and "space experts said the failure represented a blow that in all likelihood would seriously delay the missile's debut."
*"Although a crucial third stage of a North Korean rocket apparently failed in a launch Sunday, U.S. military and intelligence officials and weapons experts said the test raises new concerns about advancements in Pyongyang's mastery of missile technology," L.A. Times reports.
*"North Korea's neighbors on Monday began forming penalties against the country for its long-range missile test over the weekend, with South Korea saying it may start to develop bigger missiles and Japan considering an extension of economic sanctions," WSJ reports.
*Sen. Charles Schumer, on "Morning Joe": "There's only one answer to North Korea: that is an economic squeeze, and it has to be led by China."
*Politico reports that the "provocative timing" of the launch "is jolting to life a decades-old debate between the political parties ... whether Democrats are sufficiently tough on national security, and if the GOP's aversion to diplomacy with U.S. enemies for the past eight years has made America more vulnerable."
*"Was Joe Biden right?" Newsweek asks, referring to his comments during the campaign about world leaders testing Obama early in his administration. "The North Koreans have disregarded their responsibilities and international resolutions for many, many years now, going back at least to the two last presidencies. So I don't think this has anything to do with President Obama," press secretary Robert Gibbs said.
*Obama learned of North Korea's missile launch at 4:30 am local time, not quite 3 am. "Gibbs knocked on the door of President Obama's suite at the Prague Hilton, soon after 4:30 a.m. local time, almost immediately after the North Korean missile launch had been confirmed," ABC reports.
President Obama
*Obama's visit to Turkey today "is being closely watched by an Islamic world that harbored deep distrust of his predecessor, George W. Bush." AP reports that in talks with the country's leaders, Obama "hoped to sell his strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan. He should find welcoming ears, given the new U.S. focus on melding troop increases with civilian efforts to better the lives of people in both countries."
*During a major speech in Prague, Obama "laid out his vision for the 21st century," talking of a time without nuclear weapons. Reuters: "While Kennedy memorably declared 'Ich bin ein Berliner,' Obama confined his venture into the local language to a mention of 'Sametova revoluce,' the Czechoslovak 'Velvet Revolution' of 1989 that brought down communist rule. That event, he said, 'proved that moral leadership is more powerful than any weapon.'
*Obama "echoed President John F. Kennedy's famous line about his wife during their iconic European trip in 1961," saying in Prague this weekend: "Today, I am proud to stand here with you in the middle of this great city, in the center of Europe. And to paraphrase one of my predecessors I am also proud to be the man who brought Michelle Obama to Prague."
*A Pew Research Poll: "For all of his hopes about bipartisanship, Barack Obama has the most polarized early job approval ratings of any president in the past four decades. The 61-point partisan gap in opinions about Obama's job performance is the result of a combination of high Democratic ratings for the president -- 88% job approval among Democrats -- and relatively low approval ratings among Republicans (27%)."
*The Washington Post finds that "in its first big test, the group dubbed Organizing for America (OFA) had little obvious impact on the debate over President Obama's budget, which passed Congress on Thursday with no Republican support and a splintering of votes among conservative Democrats. The capstone of the campaign was the delivery of 214,000 signatures to Capitol Hill, which swayed few, if any, members of Congress, according to legislative aides from both parties." DNC spokesperson Natalie Wyeth: "We've been around 60-some-odd days. This is still a very new project, a new effort, and we're learning as we go."
*The Obama vs. Cheney admin feud goes on. CNN has David Axelrod's latest salvo, talking about the transition: "[President Bush] has behaved like a statesman. And as I've said before, here and elsewhere, I just don't think the memo got passed down to the vice president."
**Congress
*WaPo's David Broder took a look yesterday at the differing attitudes on the Hill regarding the budget fight last week and the GIVE Act. "But eight days earlier, when the Senate approved a slightly modified version of the House-passed national service act by an overwhelming 79 to 19, the atmosphere was completely different. Democrats were congratulating Republicans and Republicans were praising Democrats."
*"John McCain sounds angry and frustrated that, despite the risks he took in pushing immigration reform, Hispanic voters flocked to Democrat Barack Obama in last year's presidential contest. McCain's raw emotions burst forth recently as he heatedly told Hispanic business leaders that they should now look to Obama, not him, to take the lead on immigration," National Journal reports.
*GOP Cohesion: "The questions the GOP confronts as it awaits the heart of Obama's agenda -- on health care, climate change, financial regulatory reform and other big-ticket items -- are whether it can offer a cohesive alternative to a popular president, and whether two leaders with very different styles and ambitions can work together to shepherd the party back to power," WaPo reports.
*Chicago Tribune profiles Illinois freshman Rep. Aaron Schock (R), the youngest member of Congress.
*Keeping NY-20 in the news for all the wrong reasons, former Rep. John Sweeney (R) -- whom Kirsten Gillibrand knocked out of Congress in 2006 -- was arrested for his second DWI in the last 18 months.
Campaign Stuff
*The Virginia GOP ousted its controversial chairman, Jeff Frederick, "at a tense meeting that left the party bitterly divided as it heads into a crucial campaign season," the Washington Post reports. "At the heart of the dispute is a struggle that is tormenting Republicans both in the state and nationally: whether to rigidly pursue an agenda dominated by conservative social issues or reach out to more moderate voters with a pledge to focus chiefly on economic concerns."
*The Chicago Tribune reports that Atty. Gen. Lisa Madigan's eventual decision about what office to seek in 2010 looms large in Illinois politics. "If she runs for governor, the attorney general's office would open up for the first time in eight years. That, in turn, could open up at least one other lower statewide office for a Democrat looking to move up the political ladder. And the prospect of open statewide offices could prompt a rush by some Republicans looking to end total Democratic control."
*An Iowa poll puts Gov. Chet Culver's approval rating at 55 percent, down slightly from 60 percent three months ago. Thirty-five percent say they'd definitely vote for him in 2010, while 46 percent said they would consider or definitely vote for an alternative. President Obama's approval rating in the state is at 64 percent.
**Sports Alert
*Author Charles Fountain offered a fitting end to Spring Training in a Washington Post Outlook piece yesterday: "But let us give spring training one final kind thought as that one-way door closes behind us. It has again done its job -- for the players, we hope, and for the fans, we know. For it has seen us through the last cruel weeks of winter and brought us to this moment: spring, and Opening Day. And pitchers and catchers report in just 315 days."
*Mike thinks the Yanks are going to win it all this year; Kyle is still holding out hope for the extremely young Nationals. That's what Opening Day is all about.
--Kyle Trygstad and Mike Memoli



