Both parties knew the race for New Mexico's Albuquerque-based First District would be close, but Democrats considered the southern Second District more of a long shot. Now, that conclusion is being rethought.

A Research 2000 poll conducted 9/30-10/1 for DailyKos surveyed 400 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Democratic businessman Harry Teague and Republican restauranteur Ed Tinsley were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Men / Women)
Teague....47 / 84 / 13 / 51 / 44 / 50
Tinsley...43 / 8 / 77 / 39 / 48 / 38

McCain....49 / 9 / 83 / 48 / 53 / 45
Obama.....42 / 84 / 8 / 41 / 41 / 43

President Bush won the district, being vacated by Senate candidate Steve Pearce, by a 58%-41% margin over John Kerry in 2004.