NH: Shaheen, Shea-Porter Lead
Like Colorado, the New Hampshire Senate race tightened this summer before breaking open for Democrat Jeanne Shaheen. A Boston Globe poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire surveyed 725 likely voters 10/18-22 for a margin of error of +/- 3.6%. Senator John Sununu and Shaheen were tested.
General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind)
Shaheen....49 / 81 / 10 / 45 (+1 from last, 9/08)
Sununu.....36 / 7 / 76 / 27 (-8)
Sununu's precipitous drop in the polls might be explained by his vote in favor of the Senate economic bailout plan, the same reason many believe Chambliss is now in trouble in Georgia. Sununu's New Hampshire colleague, Senator Judd Gregg, was Senate Republicans' lead negotiator on the bill.
The poll also tested Rep. Carol Shea-Porter against GOP ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley in the state's Manchester-based First District (358 LVs, +/- 5.2%) and Rep. Paul Hodes versus GOP radio host Jennifer Horn in the Nashua- and Concord-based Second District (349 LVs, +/- 5.2%).
General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind)
Shea-Porter....44 / 77 / 10 / 35 (+2 from last, 9/08)
Bradley........39 / 10 / 76 / 30 (-6)
Hodes..........51 / 80 / 12 / 43 (+13)
Horn...........25 / 7 / 57 / 12 (-1)
The September poll in Hodes' district looks like an anomaly in which pollsters didn't push leaners very hard. In the First District, the NRCC still sees Shea-Porter as a top target.



