The number of African American voters will determine the winner of one of the state's Senate seats, a new poll shows. The DailyKos/Research 2000 poll surveyed 600 likely voters between 10/14-15 for a margin of error of +/- 4%. Senator Roger Wicker, the Republican, and ex-Governor Ronnie Musgrove were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Wht / Blk)
Wicker.....47 / 6 / 85 / 45 / 72 / 5
Musgrove...46 / 88 / 7 / 49 / 24 / 83

Black voters made up 37% of the sample size, a slightly higher percentage than they made up in 2004. If excitement over Obama boosts turnout, Musgrove could snag the seat.