Open seats are why the GOP is dying a death of a thousand cuts. But the party has a good shot to keep at least Missouri's vacant Ninth District, as the Republican incumbent runs for governor. A DailyKos/Research 2000 poll surveyed 400 likely voters between 10/20-22 for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Ex-state Tourism Director Blaine Luetkemeyer and Democratic state Rep. Judy Baker were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Men / Wom)
Blaine Luetkemeyer (R)...47 / 9 / 80 / 44 / 50 / 44 (-2 from last, 9/18)
Judy Baker (D)...........42 / 84 / 8 / 42 / 40 / 44 (+2)

Republican Luetkemeyer has consistently led polls in the seat left open by GOP Rep. Kenny Hulshof, who is an underdog in his race for governor. Still, if Hulshof drives turnout in his own district, Luetkemeyer could be the beneficiary.