The economy is even impacting the vulnerability of incumbents like eight-term Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart in Miami-Dade County, who's used to comfortable re-elections. A Research 2000/Daily Kos poll of 400 likely voters was conducted 10/20-23 for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Diaz-Balart and Ex-Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Men / Wom)
L. Diaz-Balart (R)...45 / 10 / 83 / 44 / 48 / 42
Martinez (D).........44 / 81 / 5 / 43 / 43 / 45

Martinez is the latest target of a new NRCC ad as the party works with its limited resources to protect every incumbent it can. Democrats have already spent $550,000 for Martinez, who trails Diaz-Balart in cash-on-hand by a two-to-one margin.