While polls have indicated that this Sarasota-based district will likely give Barack Obama more support than John Kerry received, Rep. Vern Buchanan shouldn't be too worried. A Research 2000/DailyKos poll surveyed 400 likely voters from 10/20-22 for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Buchanan and 2006 candidate Christine Jennings were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind)
Buchanan (R)........45 / 12 / 71 / 42 (+2 from last, 9/25)
Jennings (D)...34 / 69 / 8 / 33 (+3)

In 2006, Buchanan won by just 369 votes. He looks like he'll win by a wider margin this time, so the many car dealerships he owns will have to go on without him for at least two more years.