After holding the ethically-challenged GOP Rep. John Doolittle to a 3-point win in 2006, retired Air Force officer Charlie Brown looks poised to win this district located in the Northeast corner of California. A Research 2000/DailyKos poll surveyed 400 likely voters from 10/20-22 for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Brown and State Senator Tom McClintock were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Men / Wom)
Brown (D)....48 / 88 / 14 / 51 / 44 / 52 (+2 from last, 9/25)
McClintock (R)...42 / 7 / 74 / 34 / 47 / 37 (+1)

McClintock has been off television for a few weeks now, fueling speculation that his campaign is simply out of money and giving Brown an opportunity at a very Republican seat. The latest FEC reports show Brown with close to a four-to-one advantage in cash-on-hand.