2006 nominee Gary Trauner (D) and former state Treasurer Cynthia Lummis (R) are in a dead heat for Wyoming's sole House seat, which has been held by Republican Barbara Cubin since 1994. Trauner held the incumbent to a 1,012-vote victory two years ago, despite the Republican lean to the state -- Wyoming hasn't given a Democratic presidential candidate its electoral votes since the landslide election of 1964.

The poll, conducted by Research2000 for Daily Kos, surveyed 500 likely voters between 9/22-24 for a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. Trauner and Lummis were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Men / Wom / Dem / GOP / Ind)
Trauner....42 / 39 / 45 / 85 / 13 / 56
Lummis.....42 / 46 / 38 / 12 / 62 / 33

Trauner holds a 23-point lead among independents, whom he'll need if he's to pull out a victory here. The poll also shows Trauner's base has already largely gotten behind him, while Lummis receives support of just 62% of Republicans.